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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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This dataset contains a projection of land use and land cover for the conterminous United States for the period 2001 - 2061. This projection used the USGS's LUCAS (Land Use and Carbon Scenario Simulator) model to project a business as usual scenario of land cover and land use change. By running the LUCAS model on the USGS's YETI high performance computer and parallelizing the computation, we ran 100 Monte Carlo simulations based on empirically observed rates of change at a relatively fine scale (270m). We sampled from multiple observed rates of change at the county level to introduce heterogeneity into the Monte Carlo simulations. Using this approach allowed the model to project different outcomes that were summarized...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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Policy-relevant flood risk modeling must capture interactions between physical and social processes to accurately project impacts from scenarios of sea level rise and inland flooding due to climate change. Here we simultaneously model urban growth, flood hazard change, and adaptive response using the FUTure Urban-Regional Environment Simulation (FUTURES) version 3 framework (Sanchez et al., 2023). FUTURES is an open source urban growth model designed to address the regional-scale ecological and environmental impacts of urbanization; it is one of the few land change models that explicitly captures the spatial structure of development in response to user-specified scenarios. We present probabilistic land change projections...
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The USGS Forecasting Scenarios of Land-use Change (FORE-SCE) model was used to produce an agricultural biofuel scenarios for the Northern Glaciated Plains, from 2012 to 2030. The modeling used parcel data from the USDA's Common Land Unit (CLU) data set to represent real, contiguous ownership and land management units. A Monte Carlo approach was used to create 50 unique replicates of potential landscape conditions in the future, based on a agricultural scenario from the U.S. Department of Energy's Billion Ton Update. The data are spatially explicit, covering the entire Northern Glaciated Plains ecoregions (an EPA Level III ecoregion), with a spatial resolution of 30-meters and 22 unique land-cover classes (including...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
thumbnail
The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...


map background search result map search result map Hot, Wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for single-leaf pinyon pine (Pinus monophylla) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Hot, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for joshua tree (Yucca brevifolia) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MIROC3.2 A2  projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for spineless horsebrush (Tetradymia canescens) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2  projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for California black oak (Quercus kelloggii) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2 projections Hot, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for California white oak (Quercus lobata) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MIROC3.2 A2  projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2  projections Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for California sycamore (Platanus racemosa) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for sugar pine (Pinus lambertiana) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2  projections Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta murrayana) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Ensemble forecast of climate suitability for rubber rabbitbrush (Chrysothamnus nauseosus) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon multiple (n=11) downscaled 2045-2065 A2 GCM projections Hot, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for mountain mahogany (Cercocarpus betuloides) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MIROC3.2 A2  projections Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for mountain mahogany (Cercocarpus betuloides) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Hot, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for big sagebrush (Artemisia tridentata) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MIROC3.2 A2  projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for California buckeye (Aesculus californica) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2  projections Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for California buckeye (Aesculus californica) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for common chamise (Adenostoma fasciculatum) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for white fir (Abies concolor) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Modeled 2030 land cover for the Northern Glaciated Plains ecoregion A National Land Use And Land Cover Projection For Threat Assessment And Conservation Planning FUTURES v3: Scenarios of Future Patterns of Urbanization in Response to Sea Level Rise and Frequent Flooding Across the Southeast United States from 2020 to 2100 Hot, Wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for single-leaf pinyon pine (Pinus monophylla) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Hot, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for joshua tree (Yucca brevifolia) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MIROC3.2 A2  projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for spineless horsebrush (Tetradymia canescens) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2  projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for California black oak (Quercus kelloggii) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2 projections Hot, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for California white oak (Quercus lobata) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MIROC3.2 A2  projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2  projections Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for California sycamore (Platanus racemosa) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for sugar pine (Pinus lambertiana) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2  projections Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta murrayana) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Ensemble forecast of climate suitability for rubber rabbitbrush (Chrysothamnus nauseosus) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon multiple (n=11) downscaled 2045-2065 A2 GCM projections Hot, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for mountain mahogany (Cercocarpus betuloides) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MIROC3.2 A2  projections Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for mountain mahogany (Cercocarpus betuloides) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Hot, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for big sagebrush (Artemisia tridentata) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MIROC3.2 A2  projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for California buckeye (Aesculus californica) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2  projections Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for California buckeye (Aesculus californica) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for common chamise (Adenostoma fasciculatum) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for white fir (Abies concolor) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Modeled 2030 land cover for the Northern Glaciated Plains ecoregion A National Land Use And Land Cover Projection For Threat Assessment And Conservation Planning FUTURES v3: Scenarios of Future Patterns of Urbanization in Response to Sea Level Rise and Frequent Flooding Across the Southeast United States from 2020 to 2100