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A seismic hazard model for South America, based on a smoothed (gridded) seismicity model, a subduction model, a crustal fault model, and a ground motion model, has been produced by the U.S. Geological Survey. These models are combined to account for ground shaking from earthquakes on known faults as well as earthquakes on un-modeled faults. This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.1 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for peak ground acceleration with a 10 percent probability of exceedance in 50 years.
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A seismic hazard model for South America, based on a smoothed (gridded) seismicity model, a subduction model, a crustal fault model, and a ground motion model, has been produced by the U.S. Geological Survey. These models are combined to account for ground shaking from earthquakes on known faults as well as earthquakes on un-modeled faults. This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.1 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for horizontal spectral response acceleration for 0.2-second period with a 50 percent probability of exceedance in 50 years.
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A seismic hazard model for South America, based on a smoothed (gridded) seismicity model, a subduction model, a crustal fault model, and a ground motion model, has been produced by the U.S. Geological Survey. These models are combined to account for ground shaking from earthquakes on known faults as well as earthquakes on un-modeled faults. This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.1 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period with a 10 percent probability of exceedance in 50 years.
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A comparison of the 2017 USGS South America seismic hazard model and the 2010 USGS preliminary model was made to see how the models differ. The comparison was made as the ratio of PGA at 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years. The ratio map is included here as a geo-referenced tiff (GeoTIFF). The gridded data for the 2017 PGA at 10% probability can be found here, while the gridded data for the 2010 PGA at 10% probability can be found in the zip archive that can be downloaded using a link on this page.
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Maximum considered earthquake geometric mean peak ground acceleration maps (MCEG) are for assessment of the potential for liquefaction and soil strength loss, as well as for determination of lateral earth pressures in the design of basement and retaining walls. The maps are derived from the USGS seismic hazard maps in accordance with the site-specific ground-motion procedures of the NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions for New Building and Other Structures and the ASCE Minimum Design Loads for Buildings and Other Structures (also known as the ASCE 7 Standard; ASCE, 2016). The MCEG ground motions are taken as the lesser of probabilistic and deterministic values, as explained in the Provisions. The gridded probabilistic...
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A comparison of the 2017 USGS South America seismic hazard model and the Global Seismic Hazard Assessment Program (GSHAP) model was made to see how the models differ. The comparison was made as the ratio of PGA at 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years. The ratio map is included here as a geo-referenced tiff (GeoTIFF). The gridded data for the 2017 PGA at 10% probability can be found here, while the GSHAP data can be found here. Shedlock, K.M., Giardini, Domenico, Grünthal, Gottfried, and Zhang, Peizhan, 2000, The GSHAP Global Seismic Hazar Map, Sesimological Research Letters, 71, 679-686. https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.71.6.679
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Output from the 2021 National Seismic Hazard Model for Hawaii includes probabilistic seismic hazard curves calculated for a 0.02° x 0.02° grid of latitude/longitude locations across Hawaii. The new model provides an expanded suite of hazard curves for twenty-three different ground motion intensity measures, including PGA, PGV, and spectral accelerations for 0.01, 0.02, 0.03, 0.05, 0.075, 0.1, 0.15, 0.2, 0.25, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.75, 1, 1.5, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7.5 and 10 second, and eight separate soil site classes (VS30 = 1500, 1080, 760, 530, 365, 260, 185, and 150 m/sec), representing NEHRP site classes A/B, B, B/C, C, C/D, D, D/E, and E. This data set represents the hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing...
A seismic hazard model for South America, based on a smoothed (gridded) seismicity model, a subduction model, a crustal fault model, and a ground motion model, has been produced by the U.S. Geological Survey. These models are combined to account for ground shaking from earthquakes on known faults as well as earthquakes on un-modeled faults. This data set represents the hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.1 degrees in latitude and longitude. It represents the annual rate of exceedance versus 0.2-second spectral response acceleration.
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A seismic hazard model for South America, based on a smoothed (gridded) seismicity model, a subduction model, a crustal fault model, and a ground motion model, has been produced by the U.S. Geological Survey. These models are combined to account for ground shaking from earthquakes on known faults as well as earthquakes on un-modeled faults. This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.1 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for peak ground acceleration with a 2 percent probability of exceedance in 50 years.
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A seismic hazard model for South America, based on a smoothed (gridded) seismicity model, a subduction model, a crustal fault model, and a ground motion model, has been produced by the U.S. Geological Survey. These models are combined to account for ground shaking from earthquakes on known faults as well as earthquakes on un-modeled faults. This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.1 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for Modified Mercalli Intensity with a 50 percent probability of exceedance in 50 years. The maps and data were derived from PGA ground-motion conversions of Worden et al. (2012), and include soil amplification...
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A seismic hazard model for South America, based on a smoothed (gridded) seismicity model, a subduction model, a crustal fault model, and a ground motion model, has been produced by the U.S. Geological Survey. These models are combined to account for ground shaking from earthquakes on known faults as well as earthquakes on un-modeled faults. This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.1 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for horizontal spectral response acceleration for 0.2-second period with a 2 percent probability of exceedance in 50 years.
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Peak ground acceleration ground motion values for 50, 10, and 2 percent probability of exceedance in 50 years are converted to equivalent modified Mercalli intensity using the relationships of Worden and others (2012). Values are for NEHRP site class B/C with a VS30 = 760 m/s.
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Risk-targeted maximum considered earthquake ground acceleration maps (MCER) are for the design of buildings and other structures. The maps are derived from the USGS seismic hazard maps in accordance with the site-specific ground-motion procedures of the NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions for New Building and Other Structures and the ASCE Minimum Design Loads for Buildings and Other Structures (also known as the ASCE 7 Standard; ASCE, 2016). The MCER ground motions are taken as the lesser of probabilistic and deterministic values, as explained in the Provisions. The gridded probabilistic and deterministic values for 0.2-second spectral response acceleration are available here.
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A seismic hazard model for South America, based on a smoothed (gridded) seismicity model, a subduction model, a crustal fault model, and a ground motion model, has been produced by the U.S. Geological Survey. These models are combined to account for ground shaking from earthquakes on known faults as well as earthquakes on un-modeled faults. This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.1 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period with a 50 percent probability of exceedance in 50 years.
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The U. S. Geological Survey (USGS) makes long-term seismic hazard forecasts that are used in building codes. The hazard models usually consider only natural seismicity; non-tectonic (man-made) earthquakes are excluded because they are transitory or too small. In the past decade, however, thousands of earthquakes related to underground fluid injection have occurred in the central and eastern U.S. (CEUS), and some have caused damage. In response, the USGS is now also making short-term forecasts that account for the hazard from these induced earthquakes. A uniform earthquake catalog is assembled by combining and winnowing pre-existing source catalogs. Seismicity statistics are analyzed to develop recurrence models,...
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These data sets are the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. They represent the chance of experiencing potentially damaging ground shaking for fixed ground shaking levels that corresponds with MMI = VI. The values are obtained by averaging the probability of experiencing MMI = VI based on a peak ground acceleration value of 0.1155 g for site class D, and the probability of experiencing MMI = VI based on 1.0-second spectral acceleration value of 0.102 g for site class D. The data are for the Western United States.
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Gridded, uniform-hazard data for 2%, 5%, and 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years were extracted from the hazard curves for all twenty-three ground-motion intensity measures and all eight soil site classes. The ground-motion intensity measures, including PGA, PGV, and spectral accelerations for 0.01, 0.02, 0.03, 0.05, 0.075, 0.1, 0.15, 0.2, 0.25, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.75, 1, 1.5, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7.5 and 10 second, and the soil site classes include VS30 = 1500, 1080, 760, 530, 365, 260, 185, and 150 m/sec, representing NEHRP site classes A/B, B, B/C, C, C/D, D, D/E, and E.
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This maps portrays the spatial potential for damaging earthquake ground shaking quantified as moderate (MMI ≥ VII) in 100 years. The maps and data are based on the average of the results obtained from peak ground acceleration and 1.0-second horizontal spectral acceleration. Site specific soil factors based on Vs30 shear wave velocities were implemented using a simple topographic proxy technique (Allen and Wald, 2009) and site amplification based on the relationships of Seyhan and Stewart (2014). MMI ≥ VII is equivalent to peak ground acceleration of 0.22g and 1.0-second horizontal spectral acceleration of 0.23g (Worden et al., 2012). Allen, T.A. and Wald, D.J. 2009,. On the use of high-resolution topographic...
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A seismic hazard model for South America, based on a smoothed (gridded) seismicity model, a subduction model, a crustal fault model, and a ground motion model, has been produced by the U.S. Geological Survey. These models are combined to account for ground shaking from earthquakes on known faults as well as earthquakes on un-modeled faults. This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.1 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for Modified Mercalli Intensity with a 2 percent probability of exceedance in 50 years. The maps and data were derived from PGA ground-motion conversions of Worden et al. (2012), and include soil amplification...
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A seismic hazard model for South America, based on a smoothed (gridded) seismicity model, a subduction model, a crustal fault model, and a ground motion model, has been produced by the U.S. Geological Survey. These models are combined to account for ground shaking from earthquakes on known faults as well as earthquakes on un-modeled faults. This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.1 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for horizontal spectral response acceleration for 0.2-second period with a 10 percent probability of exceedance in 50 years.


map background search result map search result map Peak ground acceleration with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years Peak ground acceleration with a 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years 0.2-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years 0.2-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years 1.0-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years Comparison with the 2010 USGS preliminary model Comparison with the 1999 Global Seismic Hazard Assessment (GSHAP) model 1.0-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 50% probability of exceedance in 50 years 0.2-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 50% probability of exceedance in 50 years Modified Mercalli Intensity, based on peak ground acceleration, with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years Modified Mercalli Intensity, based on peak ground acceleration, with a 50% probability of exceedance in 50 years Chance of potentially minor-damage ground shaking in 2018 based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration for the Western United States 01. Hazard curves 02. Gridded uniform-hazard ground motion data 07.  Modified Mercalli Intensity maps for the conterminous U.S., Alaska, and Hawaii 01. Hazard curves 02. Gridded uniform-hazard ground motion data Chance of potentially minor-damage ground shaking in 2018 based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration for the Western United States Comparison with the 2010 USGS preliminary model Comparison with the 1999 Global Seismic Hazard Assessment (GSHAP) model 1.0-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years 0.2-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years 0.2-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 50% probability of exceedance in 50 years 1.0-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 50% probability of exceedance in 50 years Peak ground acceleration with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years 0.2-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years Peak ground acceleration with a 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years Modified Mercalli Intensity, based on peak ground acceleration, with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years Modified Mercalli Intensity, based on peak ground acceleration, with a 50% probability of exceedance in 50 years 07.  Modified Mercalli Intensity maps for the conterminous U.S., Alaska, and Hawaii