Climate, Wildfire, and Erosion Data, Western US

These data were used to examine how post-fire sedimentation might change in western USA watersheds with future fire from the decade of 2001-10 through 2041-50. The data include previously published projections (Hawbaker and Zhu, 2012a, b) of areas burned by future wildfires for several climate change scenarios and general circulation models (GCMs) that we summarized for 471 watersheds of the western USA. The data also include previously published predictions (Miller et al., 2011) of first year post-fire hillslope soil erosion from GeoWEPP that we summarized for 471 watersheds of the western USA. We synthesized these summarized data in order to project sediment yield from future fires for 471 watersheds through the...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: A1B emission scenario, A2 emission scenario, Annual Post-fire Sediment Yield, Arizona, Average Burned Area, All tags... B1 emission scenario, Burned area projections, California, Climate Change, Colorado, Decadal summaries, Erosion, First year post-fire, Future post-fire sediment yield, Future wildfires, GCM, GIS-based erosion model, General circulation model, HUC, HUC8, Hillslope soil erosion rates, Hydrologic unit code, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Post-fire, Projected watershed sediment yield, Sediment, Sediment yield, Simulations, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), Utah, Washington, Watershed sediment yield estimates, Watersheds, Western US, Wildfire perimeters, Wildfires, Fewer tags

World Climate Change Projections (divided into seasons)

Link to Data in Data Basin. These data sets from the California Academy of Sciences show climate projections (temperature and precipitation) for all four seasons. From the California Academy of Sciences' metadata (for a precipitation projection): Using the simple anomaly method (modifying a historical baseline with differences or ratios projected by General Circulation Models), scientists from the California Academy of Sciences downscaled monthly total precipitation from 16 different global circulation models (GCMs). The GCMs were described in the latest Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC 2007) and archived at the WCRP PCMDI ( http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php). Monthly total precipitation...

Categories: Data, Web Site; Tags: Data Basin, GCM, climate change, downscaled climate projections, emissions scenario, All tags... impacts analysis, precipitation, Fewer tags

Seasonal summer maximum temperature (Celsius), 2080-2099, average of 6 GCMs, A2 emission scenario

Using the simple anomaly method (modifying a historical baseline with differences or ratios projected by General Circulation Models), scientists from the California Academy of Sciences downscaled monthly average temperature and monthly total precipitation from 16 different global circulation models (GCMs). The GCMs were described in the latest Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC 2007) and archived at the WCRP PCMDI (http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php). Monthly maximum temperature and monthly minimum temperatures were downscaled from the only 6 GCMs that archived these particular variables. Scientists used Worldclim v.1.4 (Hijmans et al 2005) at 5 arc-minute (~10km) spatial grain as the current...

Tags: DataBasin, Effects of change in air temp. and precip. on forests, GCM, NPLCC, North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative, All tags... climate change, downscale, emissions scenario, impacts analysis, precipitation, temperature, Fewer tags

Projecting Future Streamflow in the Colorado River Basin

The Colorado River is the dominant water source for the southwestern United States, crossing through seven states before reaching Mexico. The river supplies water to approximately 36 million people, irrigates nearly six million acres of farmland within and beyond the basin, and contributes an estimated 26 billion dollars each year to the region’s recreational economy. Yet the Colorado River’s water supply is already fully allocated, meaning that the economic and environmental health of the region is closely tied to the river’s streamflow. Climate projections for the Southwest show a future marked by chronic drought and substantial reductions in streamflow. The region has already been impacted by climate change,...

Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2013, CA, CASC, CMIP5, CO River Basin, All tags... Colorado River, Completed, Drought, Drought, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Federal, Morro Bay, Multiple, NV, Projects by Region, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest CASC, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, bay-delta, drought, dynamical downscaling, ecosystem, ensemble, enso, gcm, hydrology, la nina, management, model, monsoon, multiple, pdf, precipitation, public health, regional climate projection, season, semi-arid, snowpack, sst, streamflow, streamflow projection, weather, Fewer tags

Understanding and Projecting Changes in Climate, Hydrology, and Ecology in the Great Basin for the Next 30 Years

This project links climate, hydrological, and ecological changes over the next 30 years in a Great Basin watershed. In recent years, climate variability on annual and decadal time scales has been recognized as greater than commonly perceived with increasing impacts on ecosystems and available water resources. Changes in vegetation distribution, composition and productivity resulting from climate change affect plant water use, which in turn can alter stream flow, groundwater and eventually available water resources. To better understand these links, project researchers implemented two computer-based numeric models in the Cleve Creek watershed in the Schell Creek Range, east of Ely, Nevada. The application of the...

Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2013, CASC, Cleve Creek, Climate, Completed, All tags... Drought, Drought, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Federal, Great Basin, Landscapes, Landscapes, NV, Other Landscapes, Other Landscapes, Pinyon/Juniper, Plants, Plants, Projects by Region, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Southwest, Southwest CASC, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wildlife and Plants, carbon flux, desert shrub, downscale, drought, ecology, evaporation, gcm, great basin, hydrology, lai, maps, model, phenology, plants, pluvial, population growth, precipitation, productivity, rhessys, sage brush, snow, soil moisture, temperature, transpiration, vegetation, water, Fewer tags

Analysis of Downscaled Climate Simulations and Projections and Their Use in Decision Making for the Southwest

To understand potential climate change impacts on ecosystems, water resources, and numerous other natural and managed resources, climate change data and projections must be downscaled from coarse global climate models to much finer resolutions and more applicable formats. This project conducted comparative analyses to better understand the accuracy and properties of these downscaled climate simulations and climate-change projections. Interpretation, guidance and evaluation, including measures of uncertainties, strengths and weaknesses of the different methodologies for each simulation, can enable potential users with the necessary information to select and apply the models.

Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, CASC, Completed, Data Visualization & Tools, Data Visualization & Tools, All tags... Downscaling, Federal, Projects by Region, Science Tools for Managers, Science Tools for Managers, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest CASC, bcsd, climate, climate change, downscale, downscaled climate projections, dynamical, ecosystem, gcm, maca, model, modeling, multiple, roms, simulation, statistical, water, wrf, Fewer tags

Effects of Sea-Level Rise and Extreme Storms on California Coastal Habitats: Part 1

In California, the near-shore area where the ocean meets the land is a highly productive yet sensitive region that supports a wealth of wildlife, including several native bird species. These saltmarshes, mudflats, and shallow bays are not only critical for wildlife, but they also provide economic and recreational benefits to local communities. Today, sea-level rise, more frequent and stronger storms, saltwater intrusion, and warming water temperatures are among the threats that are altering these important habitats. To support future planning and conservation of California’s near-shore habitats, researchers examined current weather patterns, elevations, tides, and sediments at these sites to see how they affect...

Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, Bolinas Lagoon, CA, CASC, California, All tags... Coastal, Coastal Habitats, Completed, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Federal, Humboldt Bay, Morro Bay, Newport Bay, Projects by Region, Pt. Mugu, SF Bay/Delta, San Pablo Bay, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Southwest, Southwest CASC, Tijuana River, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, animals, assessment, birds, climate change, coastal, conservation, dem, downscale, dynamical, gcm, geomorphology, gis, hydrology, intertidal, management, marsh, model, multiple, nearshore, plants, sea level rise, sediment, sf bay, shoals, slr, storm, tidal, vegetation, vulnerability, wrf, Fewer tags

Sea-level rise projections for and observational data of tidal marshes along the California coast

The overarching goal of this research was to use site-specific data to develop local and regionally-applicable climate change models that inform management of tidal wetlands along the Pacific Northwest coast. The overarching questions were: (1) how do tidal marsh site characteristics vary across estuaries, and (2) does tidal marsh susceptibility to sea-level rise (SLR) vary along a latitudinal gradient and between estuaries? These questions are addressed in this data collection with three specific objectives: (1) measure topographical and ecological characteristics (e.g., elevation, tidal range, vegetation composition) for tidal marsh and intertidal mudflats, (2) model SLR vulnerability of these habitats, and (3)...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, Bolinas Lagoon, CA, CASC, California, All tags... Coastal, Coastal Habitats, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Education, Modeling and Tools, Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Federal, Humboldt Bay, Morro Bay, Newport Bay, Pt. Mugu, SF Bay/Delta, San Pablo Bay, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Southwest CASC, Southwest CASC, Tijuana River, Water and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, animals, assessment, birds, climate change, coastal, conservation, dem, downscale, dynamical, gcm, geomorphology, gis, hydrology, intertidal, management, marsh, model, multiple, nearshore, plants, sea level rise, sediment, sf bay, shoals, slr, storm, tidal, vegetation, vulnerability, wrf, Fewer tags

Assessing climate change vulnerability and developing a climate change adaptation strategy for Sierra Nevada birds

This project used the NatureServe Climate Change Vulnerability Index tool to assess vulnerability of 140 bird species that breed in the Sierra Nevada and will develop a peer-reviewed Climate Change Adaptation Strategy for Sierra Nevada bird species that are most vulnerable to climate change. The Strategy provides recommendations for actions that managers can take now and in the future to bolster resilience to climate change.

Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, Applications and Tools, CA, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Conservation NGOs, All tags... Conservation Plan/Design/Framework, Conservation Planning, Conservation planning, Datasets/Database, EARTH SCIENCE > BIOLOGICAL CLASSIFICATION > ANIMALS/VERTEBRATES > BIRDS, Federal, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Multiple, Project, Science Project, Sierra Nevada, Sierra Nevada, State agencies, Vulnerability Assessment, Vulnerability Assessment, adaptation, birds, birds, birds, completed, conservation, environment, gcm, sierra nevada, uncertainty, vulnerability, Fewer tags

Assessing climate change vulnerability and developing a climate change adaptation strategy for Sierra Nevada birds

This project used the NatureServe Climate Change Vulnerability Index tool to assess vulnerability of 140 bird species that breed in the Sierra Nevada and will develop a peer-reviewed Climate Change Adaptation Strategy for Sierra Nevada bird species that are most vulnerable to climate change. The Strategy provides recommendations for actions that managers can take now and in the future to bolster resilience to climate change.

Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, Applications and Tools, CA, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Conservation NGOs, All tags... Conservation Plan/Design/Framework, Conservation Planning, Conservation planning, Datasets/Database, EARTH SCIENCE > BIOLOGICAL CLASSIFICATION > ANIMALS/VERTEBRATES > BIRDS, Federal, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Multiple, Project, Science Project, Sierra Nevada, Sierra Nevada, State agencies, Vulnerability Assessment, Vulnerability Assessment, adaptation, birds, birds, birds, completed, conservation, environment, gcm, sierra nevada, uncertainty, vulnerability, Fewer tags

Confronting uncertainty in species distribution projections

The CA Academy of Science and Point Blue Conservation Science conducted a systematic analysis of uncertainty in modeling the future distributions of ~50 California endemic plant species and ~50 California land birds, explicitly partitioning among 5 alternative sources of variation and testing for their respective contributions to overall variation among modeled outcomes. They mapped the uncertainty from identified sources, which can guide decisions about monitoring, restoration, acquisition, infrastructure, etc., in relation to climate change.

Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2011, Academics & scientific researchers, CA, California, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, All tags... Data Acquisition and Development, Data Acquisition and Development, Datasets/Database, Decision Support, Decision support, Federal, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Multiple, Multiple, Project, Publication, Science Project, Southwest CSC, State agencies, adaptation, birds, completed, endemic species, ensemble, environment, gcm, land birds, maps, modeling, planning, plants, plants, species distribution modeling, species range shifts, statistical downscaling, uncertainty, Fewer tags

Identifying the Vulnerability of Birds and Reptiles to Changes in Climate in the Southwest

Biodiversity is declining worldwide, and this trend could potentially become more severe as climate conditions change. An integral component of proactive adaptive management planning requires forecasts of how changes in climate will affect individual species. This need has been identified my multiple federal agencies, including the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, National Park Service, Bureau of Land Management, and U.S. Forest Service. The goal of this project was to assist land and wildlife managers in anticipating which species are most vulnerable to changes in climate in the Southwest, and how resources can best be invested to facilitate adaptation. Researchers evaluated the current and future breeding ranges...

Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, AZ, Birds, Birds, CA, All tags... CASC, CO, Federal, Multiple, NM, NV, OR, Other Wildlife, Other Wildlife, Projects by Region, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest CASC, UT, Wildlife and Plants, Wildlife and Plants, biodiverstiy, birds, birds, climate change, downscale, gcm, management, model, multiple, natureserve, reptiles, reptiles, species distribution, species distribution model, statistical, vulnerability assessment, Fewer tags

Seasonal winter minimum temperature (Celsius), 2080-2099, average of 6 GCMs, A2 emission scenario

Using the simple anomaly method (modifying a historical baseline with differences or ratios projected by General Circulation Models), scientists from the California Academy of Sciences downscaled monthly average temperature and monthly total precipitation from 16 different global circulation models (GCMs). The GCMs were described in the latest Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC 2007) and archived at the WCRP PCMDI (http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php). Monthly maximum temperature and monthly minimum temperatures were downscaled from the only 6 GCMs that archived these particular variables. Scientists used Worldclim v.1.4 (Hijmans et al 2005) at 5 arc-minute (~10km) spatial grain as the current...

Tags: DataBasin, Effects of change in air temp. and precip. on forests, GCM, NPLCC, North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative, All tags... climate change, downscale, emissions scenario, impacts analysis, precipitation, temperature, Fewer tags

Using Climate and Water Models to Examine Future Water Availability and Biodiversity in California and the Great Basin

As the predicted impacts of climate change are becoming more apparent, natural resource managers are faced with the task of developing climate adaptation plans. These managers need state-of-the-art, scientifically based information upon which to base these management plans and decisions consistently across California and the Great Basin. This project applies historical, current, and projected climate data to a regional water model to examine water availability, biodiversity, and conservation. Analysis of this climate and hydrology data is expected to help managers understand areas in the region and landscape where the effects of climate change are expected to be the most profound. The study also addresses how the...

Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, CA, CA Central Valley, CA-wide, CASC, All tags... Completed, Federal, Great Basin, Multiple, Other Water, Other Water, Projects by Region, Southwest, Southwest CASC, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, air temperature, basin characteristics, climate change, climatic water deficit, downscale, et, gcm, great basin, hydrology, model, precipitation, recharge, runoff, snowpack, stream flow, tools, vulnerability, website, Fewer tags