Assessing the impact of land use change on hydrology by ensemble modelling (LUCHEM) II: Ensemble combinations and predictions

This paper reports on a project to compare predictions from a range of catchment models applied to a mesoscale river basin in central Germany and to assess various ensemble predictions of catchment streamflow. The models encompass a large range in inherent complexity and input requirements. In approximate order of decreasing complexity, they are DHSVM, MIKE-SHE, TOPLATS, WASIM-ETH, SWAT, PRMS, SLURP, HBV, LASCAM and IHACRES. The models are calibrated twice using different sets of input data. The two predictions from each model are then combined by simple averaging to produce a single-model ensemble. The 10 resulting single-model ensembles are combined in various ways to produce multi-model ensemble predictions....

Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Catchment modelling, Ensemble combination, Land use change, Multi-model ensembles, Single-model ensembles, All tags... Uncertainty, Fewer tags

Predictive soil property map: Sodium adsorption ratio

These data were compiled to demonstrate new predictive mapping approaches and provide comprehensive gridded 30-meter resolution soil property maps for the Colorado River Basin above Hoover Dam. Random forest models related environmental raster layers representing soil forming factors with field samples to render predictive maps that interpolate between sample locations. Maps represented soil pH, texture fractions (sand, silt clay, fine sand, very fine sand), rock, electrical conductivity (ec), gypsum, CaCO3, sodium adsorption ratio (sar), available water capacity (awc), bulk density (dbovendry), erodibility (kwfact), and organic matter (om) at 7 depths (0, 5, 15, 30, 60, 100, and 200 cm) as well as depth to restrictive...

Tags: Arizona, Colorado, Colorado River, Colorado River Basin, Colorado River Basin above Hoover Dam, All tags... Hoover Dam, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, Wyoming, accuracy and error estimated, available water capacity, bulk density, calcium carbonate, digital soil mapping, electrical conductivity, environmental conditions, environmental raster layers, erodibility, geoscientificInformation, gypsum, interpolate, machine learning, maps and atlases, organic matter, predicitve modeling, predictive mapping, predictive maps, random forest models, random forests, restrictive layer, rock, sodium adsorption ratio, soil conductivity, soil density, soil forming factors, soil pH, soil properties, soil property maps, soil sciences, soil texture, soils, surface rock cover, surface rock size, texture fractions, uncertainty, Fewer tags

Florida Keys Reef Visual Census 1996

In 1998, the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission's (FWC) Fisheries Independent Monitoring (FIM) program began a long-term monitoring effort of key reef fish populations in the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary. This effort was aimed at evaluating the relative abundance, size structure, and habitat utilization of specific reef fish species that are targeted by commercial and recreational fisheries.; Smith, S.G., et al. 2011, Multispecies survey design for assessing reef-fish stocks, spatially explicit management performance, and ecosystem condition. Fisheries Research 109(2011)25-41; Brandt, M.E., et. al. 2009, A Cooperative Multi-agency Reef Fish Monitoring Protocol for the Florida Keys Coral...

Categories: Data; Types: NetCDF OPeNDAP Service; Tags: Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuaries Reef Fish Monitoring, array, array-data, basis, basisOfRecord, All tags... bibliographic, bibliographiccitation, body, citation, class, code, collection, collectionCode, comprehensive, coordinate, coordinateUncertaintyInMeters, count, country, data, data_set_ID, data_set_name, dataset, datasetID, datasetName, date, datum, dep, depth, dynamic, dynamicProperties, event, eventDate, eventDateRemarks, eventDateTimeZone, eventdate, eventdatetimezone, family, fish, fish sampling, florida, florida keys, genus, geodetic, geodeticDatum, geoscientificInformation, gulf of mexico, habitat, higher, higherInstitutionCode, identification, identifier, individual, institution, institutionCode, keys, kingdom, large, latitude, length, locality, longitude, marine, material, materialSampleID, max, maximum, maximumDepthInMeters, meters, min, minimum, minimumDepthInMeters, miniumDepthInMeters, monitoring, name, national, number, observed, observedIndividualLengthInCm, observedMeanLengthInCm, order, owner, ownerInstitutionCode, phylum, properties, province, quality, quantificationMethod, quantificationName, quantificationStatus, quantificationUnit, quantificationValue, rank, record, recorded, recordedBy, reef, sample, samples, sanctuaries, scientific, scientificName, sea, seawater, service, set, specificEpithet, state, stateProvince, statistics, status, stewardship, system, taxon, taxonRank, taxonomy, time, timeUncertainty, timeseries, timeuncertainty, type, typeStatus, uncertainty, vernacular, vernacularName, verticalDatum, water, waterBody, waterbody, zone, Fewer tags

Florida Keys Reef Visual Census 1994

In 1998, the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission's (FWC) Fisheries Independent Monitoring (FIM) program began a long-term monitoring effort of key reef fish populations in the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary. This effort was aimed at evaluating the relative abundance, size structure, and habitat utilization of specific reef fish species that are targeted by commercial and recreational fisheries.; Smith, S.G., et al. 2011, Multispecies survey design for assessing reef-fish stocks, spatially explicit management performance, and ecosystem condition. Fisheries Research 109(2011)25-41; Brandt, M.E., et. al. 2009, A Cooperative Multi-agency Reef Fish Monitoring Protocol for the Florida Keys Coral...

Categories: Data; Types: NetCDF OPeNDAP Service; Tags: Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuaries Reef Fish Monitoring, array, array-data, basis, basisOfRecord, All tags... bibliographic, bibliographiccitation, body, citation, class, code, collection, collectionCode, comprehensive, coordinate, coordinateUncertaintyInMeters, count, country, data, data_set_name, dataset, datasetID, datasetName, date, datum, dep, depth, dynamic, dynamicProperties, event, eventDate, eventDateRemarks, eventDateTimeZone, eventdate, eventdatetimezone, family, fish, fish sampling, florida, florida keys, genus, geodetic, geodeticDatum, geoscientificInformation, gulf of mexico, habitat, higher, higherInstitutionCode, identification, identifier, individual, institution, institutionCode, keys, kingdom, large, latitude, length, locality, longitude, marine, material, materialSampleID, max, max_depth, maximum, maximumDepthInMeters, meters, min, min_depth, minimum, minimumDepthInMeters, monitoring, name, national, number, observed, observedIndividualLengthInCm, observedMeanLengthInCm, order, owner, ownerInstitutionCode, phylum, properties, province, quality, quantificationMethod, quantificationName, quantificationStatus, quantificationUnit, quantificationValue, rank, record, recorded, recordedBy, reef, sample, samples, sanctuaries, scientific, scientificName, sea, seawater, service, set, specificEpithet, state, stateProvince, statistics, status, stewardship, system, taxon, taxonRank, taxonomy, time, timeUncertainty, timeseries, timeuncertainty, type, typeStatus, uncertainty, vernacular, vernacularName, verticalDatum, water, waterBody, waterbody, zone, Fewer tags

Predictive soil property map: Very fine sand content

These data were compiled to demonstrate new predictive mapping approaches and provide comprehensive gridded 30-meter resolution soil property maps for the Colorado River Basin above Hoover Dam. Random forest models related environmental raster layers representing soil forming factors with field samples to render predictive maps that interpolate between sample locations. Maps represented soil pH, texture fractions (sand, silt clay, fine sand, very fine sand), rock, electrical conductivity (ec), gypsum, CaCO3, sodium adsorption ratio (sar), available water capacity (awc), bulk density (dbovendry), erodibility (kwfact), and organic matter (om) at 7 depths (0, 5, 15, 30, 60, 100, and 200 cm) as well as depth to restrictive...

Tags: Arizona, Colorado, Colorado River, Colorado River Basin, Colorado River Basin above Hoover Dam, All tags... Hoover Dam, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, Wyoming, accuracy and error estimated, available water capacity, bulk density, calcium carbonate, digital soil mapping, electrical conductivity, environmental conditions, environmental raster layers, erodibility, geoscientificInformation, gypsum, interpolate, machine learning, maps and atlases, organic matter, predicitve modeling, predictive mapping, predictive maps, random forest models, random forests, restrictive layer, rock, sodium adsorption ratio, soil conductivity, soil density, soil forming factors, soil pH, soil properties, soil property maps, soil sciences, soil texture, soils, surface rock cover, surface rock size, texture fractions, uncertainty, Fewer tags

Risk aversion and CO2 regulatory uncertainty in power generation investment: Policy and modeling implications

This article presents an application of a risk assessment approach in characterising the risks associated with safety violations in underground bituminous mines in Pennsylvania using the Mine Safety and Health Administration (MSHA) citation database. The MSHA database on citations provides an opportunity to assess risks in mines through scrutiny of violations of mandatory safety standards. In this study, quantitative risk assessment is performed, which allows determination of the frequency of occurrence of safety violations (through associated citations) as well as the consequences of them in terms of penalty assessments. Focus is on establishing risk matrices on citation experiences of mines, which can give early...

Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: CO2, Policy, Risk, aversion, generation, All tags... implications, investment, modeling, power, regulatory, uncertainty, Fewer tags

Uncertain long-run emissions targets, CO2 price and global energy transition: A general equilibrium approach

The persistent uncertainty about mid-century CO2 emissions targets is likely to affect not only the technological choices that energy-producing firms will make in the future but also their current investment decisions. We illustrate this effect on CO2 price and global energy transition within a MERGE-type general-equilibrium model framework, by considering simple stochastic CO2 policy scenarios. In these scenarios, economic agents know that credible long-run CO2 emissions targets will be set in 2020, with two possible outcomes: either a "hard cap" or a "soft cap". Each scenario is characterized by the relative probabilities of both possible caps. We derive consistent stochastic trajectories--with two branches after...

Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: CO2, Energy transition, Uncertainty

Rainfall-Runoff Modeling for Integrated Basin Management

Integrated basin management is concerned with the interactions of physical, ecological, economic, and social systems as they affect the operation, planning, and policy making processes inherent in the management of land and water resources. Systems of integrated hydrological, chemical, biological, ecological, and socioeconomic models are typically used to assess the effects of proposed management alternatives on basin resources, or to manage basin resources in real time. Water is a common thread linking many of the components among these models. The ability to adequately simulate rainfall-runoff processes and their interactions with processes related to other system components significantly affects the integrated...

Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Uncertainty, ecological models, hydrological models, modeling frameworks, resource management, All tags... water management, water-quality models, Fewer tags

Predictive soil property map: Organic matter

These data were compiled to demonstrate new predictive mapping approaches and provide comprehensive gridded 30-meter resolution soil property maps for the Colorado River Basin above Hoover Dam. Random forest models related environmental raster layers representing soil forming factors with field samples to render predictive maps that interpolate between sample locations. Maps represented soil pH, texture fractions (sand, silt clay, fine sand, very fine sand), rock, electrical conductivity (ec), gypsum, CaCO3, sodium adsorption ratio (sar), available water capacity (awc), bulk density (dbovendry), erodibility (kwfact), and organic matter (om) at 7 depths (0, 5, 15, 30, 60, 100, and 200 cm) as well as depth to restrictive...

Tags: Arizona, Colorado, Colorado River, Colorado River Basin, Colorado River Basin above Hoover Dam, All tags... Hoover Dam, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, Wyoming, accuracy and error estimated, available water capacity, bulk density, calcium carbonate, digital soil mapping, electrical conductivity, environmental conditions, environmental raster layers, erodibility, geoscientificInformation, gypsum, interpolate, machine learning, maps and atlases, organic matter, predicitve modeling, predictive mapping, predictive maps, random forest models, random forests, restrictive layer, rock, sodium adsorption ratio, soil conductivity, soil density, soil forming factors, soil pH, soil properties, soil property maps, soil sciences, soil texture, soils, surface rock cover, surface rock size, texture fractions, uncertainty, Fewer tags

Dry Tortugas Reef Visual Census 2010

In 1998, the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission's (FWC) Fisheries Independent Monitoring (FIM) program began a long-term monitoring effort of key reef fish populations in the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary. This effort was aimed at evaluating the relative abundance, size structure, and habitat utilization of specific reef fish species that are targeted by commercial and recreational fisheries.; Smith, S.G., et al. 2011, Multispecies survey design for assessing reef-fish stocks, spatially explicit management performance, and ecosystem condition. Fisheries Research 109(2011)25-41; Brandt, M.E., et. al. 2009, A Cooperative Multi-agency Reef Fish Monitoring Protocol for the Florida Keys Coral...

Categories: Data; Types: NetCDF OPeNDAP Service; Tags: Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuaries Reef Fish Monitoring, array, array-data, basis, basisOfRecord, All tags... bibliographic, bibliographiccitation, body, citation, class, code, collection, collectionCode, comprehensive, coordinate, coordinateUncertaintyInMeters, count, country, data, dataSetID, data_set_name, dataset, datasetName, date, datum, dep, depth, dynamic, dynamicProperties, event, eventDate, eventDateRemarks, eventDateTimeZone, eventdate, eventdatetimezone, family, fish, fish sampling, florida, florida keys, genus, geodetic, geodeticDatum, geoscientificInformation, gulf of mexico, habitat, higher, higherInstitutionCode, identification, identifier, individual, institution, institutionCode, keys, kingdom, large, latitude, length, locality, longitude, marine, material, materialSampleID, max, maximum, maximumDepthInMeters, meters, min, minimum, minimumDepthInMeters, miniumDepthInMeters, monitoring, name, national, number, observed, observedIndividualLengthInCm, observedMeanLengthInCm, order, owner, ownerInstitutionCode, phylum, properties, province, quality, quantificationMethod, quantificationName, quantificationStatus, quantificationUnit, quantificationValue, rank, record, recorded, recordedBy, reef, sample, samples, sanctuaries, scientific, scientificName, sea, seawater, service, set, state, stateProvince, statistics, status, stewardship, system, taxon, taxonRank, taxonomy, time, timeUncertainty, timeseries, timeuncertainty, type, typeStatus, uncertainty, vernacular, vernacularName, verticalDatum, water, waterBody, waterbody, zone, Fewer tags

Complying with the Kyoto Protocol under uncertainty: Taxes or tradable permits?

Corn ethanol produced in the US and sugarcane ethanol produced in Brazil are the world's leading sources of biofuel. Current US biofuel policies create both incentives and constraints for the import of ethanol from Brazil and together with the cost competitiveness and greenhouse gas intensity of sugarcane ethanol compared to corn ethanol will determine the extent of these imports. This study analyzes the supply-side determinants of cost competitiveness and compares the greenhouse gas intensity of corn ethanol and sugarcane ethanol delivered to US ports. We find that while the cost of sugarcane ethanol production in Brazil is lower than that of corn ethanol in the US, the inclusion of transportation costs for the...

Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Climate change, Economics, Kyoto Protocol, Taxes, uncertainty

Regional to local coarse to fine scale global change impact study on flow

Stream flows are essential for maintaining healthy aquatic ecosystems and for supporting human water supply needs. Integrated modeling approaches assessing the impact of changes in climate, land use, and water withdrawals on stream flows and the subsequent impact of changes in flow regime on aquatic biota at multiple spatial scales are necessary to insure an adequate supply of water for humans and healthy river ecosystems. We compared streamflow predictions from a regional-scale hydrological model to those of several fine-scale SW models under a range of hypothetical climate change scenarios to determine the range of predicted streamflow responses to fixed climate perturbations.This spreadsheet contains the results...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: ELOHA, Landscapes, Other Landscapes, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Science Tools For Managers, All tags... Southeast CASC, State of the Science, Water, Coasts and Ice, calibration, ecosystem health, environmental flow, hydrologic models, uncertainty, water supply, Fewer tags

Southeast modeling efforts for flow and ecology

Stream flows are essential for maintaining healthy aquatic ecosystems and for supporting human water supply needs. Integrated modeling approaches assessing the impact of changes in climate, land use, and water withdrawals on stream flows and the subsequent impact of changes in flow regime on aquatic biota at multiple spatial scales are necessary to insure an adequate supply of water for humans and healthy river ecosystems. This spreadsheet contains an inventory of existing hydrologic models in the Southeast region and Puerto Rico. Data were compiled by contacting federal and state agencies, members of academia, and environmental consultants.

Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: ELOHA, Landscapes, Other Landscapes, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Science Tools For Managers, All tags... Southeast CASC, State of the Science, Water, Coasts and Ice, calibration, ecosystem health, environmental flow, hydrologic models, uncertainty, water supply, Fewer tags

Uncertainty in ecosystem services valuation and implications for assessing land use tradeoffs: An agricultural case study in the Minnesota River Basin

Ecosystem services analysis can help recognize the full costs and benefits of land management decisions. Quantification and valuation of services can enhance policies and regulations and, if linked with payments or incentives, properly reward private decisions that yield public benefits. However, the field of ecosystem services research is relatively new and quantification and valuation remains highly uncertain. While there is significant uncertainty about the biophysical production of ecosystem services, there is additional uncertainty about the value of services. This paper explores how uncertainty associated with valuation of ecosystem services in agriculture affects the ranking of land use alternatives in terms...

Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Agricultural systems, Data Visualization & Tools, Ecosystem services, Landscapes, Northeast CASC, All tags... Other Landscapes, Scenarios, Science Tools For Managers, Uncertainty, Valuation, Fewer tags

Watershed reliability, resilience and vulnerability analysis under uncertainty using water quality data

A method for assessment of watershed health is developed by employing measures of reliability, resilience and vulnerability (R–R–V) using stream water quality data. Observed water quality data are usually sparse, so that a water quality time-series is often reconstructed using surrogate variables (streamflow). A Bayesian algorithm based on relevance vector machine (RVM) was employed to quantify the error in the reconstructed series, and a probabilistic assessment of watershed status was conducted based on established thresholds for various constituents. As an application example, observed water quality data for several constituents at different monitoring points within the Cedar Creek watershed in north-east Indiana...

Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Data Visualization & Tools, Landscapes, Northeast CASC, Other Landscapes, Reliability, All tags... Resilience, Risk assessment, Science Tools For Managers, Uncertainty, Vulnerability, Water quality, Watershed health, Fewer tags

Dry Tortugas Reef Visual Census 2000

In 1998, the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission's (FWC) Fisheries Independent Monitoring (FIM) program began a long-term monitoring effort of key reef fish populations in the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary. This effort was aimed at evaluating the relative abundance, size structure, and habitat utilization of specific reef fish species that are targeted by commercial and recreational fisheries.; Smith, S.G., et al. 2011, Multispecies survey design for assessing reef-fish stocks, spatially explicit management performance, and ecosystem condition. Fisheries Research 109(2011)25-41; Brandt, M.E., et. al. 2009, A Cooperative Multi-agency Reef Fish Monitoring Protocol for the Florida Keys Coral...

Categories: Data; Types: NetCDF OPeNDAP Service; Tags: Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuaries Reef Fish Monitoring, array, array-data, basis, basisOfRecord, All tags... bibliographic, bibliographiccitation, body, citation, class, code, collection, collectionCode, comprehensive, coordinate, coordinateUncertaintyInMeters, count, country, data, dataSetID, data_set_name, dataset, datasetName, date, datum, dep, depth, dynamic, dynamicProperties, event, eventDate, eventDateRemarks, eventDateTimeZone, eventdate, eventdatetimezone, family, fish, fish sampling, florida, florida keys, genus, geodetic, geodeticDatum, geoscientificInformation, gulf of mexico, habitat, higher, higherInstitutionCode, identification, identifier, individual, institution, institutionCode, keys, kingdom, large, latitude, length, locality, longitude, marine, material, materialSampleID, max, maximum, maximumDepthInMeters, meters, min, minimum, minimumDepthInMeters, miniumDepthInMeters, monitoring, name, national, number, observed, observedIndividualLengthInCm, observedMeanLengthInCm, order, owner, ownerInstitutionCode, phylum, properties, province, quality, quantificationMethod, quantificationName, quantificationStatus, quantificationUnit, quantificationValue, rank, record, recorded, recordedBy, reef, sample, samples, sanctuaries, scientific, scientificName, sea, seawater, service, set, state, stateProvince, statistics, status, stewardship, system, taxon, taxonRank, taxonomy, time, timeUncertainty, timeseries, timeuncertainty, type, typeStatus, uncertainty, vernacular, vernacularName, verticalDatum, water, waterBody, waterbody, zone, Fewer tags

Florida Keys Reef Visual Census 2002

In 1998, the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission's (FWC) Fisheries Independent Monitoring (FIM) program began a long-term monitoring effort of key reef fish populations in the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary. This effort was aimed at evaluating the relative abundance, size structure, and habitat utilization of specific reef fish species that are targeted by commercial and recreational fisheries.; Smith, S.G., et al. 2011, Multispecies survey design for assessing reef-fish stocks, spatially explicit management performance, and ecosystem condition. Fisheries Research 109(2011)25-41; Brandt, M.E., et. al. 2009, A Cooperative Multi-agency Reef Fish Monitoring Protocol for the Florida Keys Coral...

Categories: Data; Types: NetCDF OPeNDAP Service; Tags: Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuaries Reef Fish Monitoring, array, array-data, basis, basisOfRecord, All tags... bibliographic, bibliographiccitation, body, citation, class, code, collection, collectionCode, comprehensive, coordinate, coordinateUncertaintyInMeters, count, country, data, data_set_ID, data_set_name, dataset, datasetID, datasetName, date, datum, dep, depth, dynamic, dynamicProperties, event, eventDate, eventDateRemarks, eventDateTimeZone, eventdate, eventdatetimezone, family, fish, fish sampling, florida, florida keys, genus, geodetic, geodeticDatum, geoscientificInformation, gulf of mexico, habitat, higher, higherInstitutionCode, identification, identifier, individual, institution, institutionCode, keys, kingdom, large, latitude, length, locality, longitude, marine, material, materialSampleID, max, maximum, maximumDepthInMeters, meters, min, minimum, minimumDepthInMeters, miniumDepthInMeters, monitoring, name, national, number, observed, observedIndividualLengthInCm, observedMeanLengthInCm, order, owner, ownerInstitutionCode, phylum, properties, province, quality, quantificationMethod, quantificationName, quantificationStatus, quantificationUnit, quantificationValue, rank, record, recorded, recordedBy, reef, sample, samples, sanctuaries, scientific, scientificName, sea, seawater, service, set, specificEpithet, state, stateProvince, statistics, status, stewardship, system, taxon, taxonRank, taxonomy, time, timeUncertainty, timeseries, timeuncertainty, type, typeStatus, uncertainty, vernacular, vernacularName, verticalDatum, water, waterBody, waterbody, zone, Fewer tags

Parameter ensemble files required to run the Groundwater Nitrate Decision Support Tool for Wisconsin

A groundwater Nitrate Decision Support Tool (GW-NDST) for wells in Wisconsin was developed to assist resource managers with assessing how legacy and possible future nitrate leaching rates, combined with groundwater lag times and potential denitrification, influence nitrate concentrations in wells (Juckem et al. 2024). The GW-NDST relies on an ensemble of calibrated parameters to make nitrate predictions and to estimate the uncertainty of those predictions. This data release contains all of the calibrated parameter files required to run the tool. The files are packaged in a single ZIP file. To run the tool, the ZIP package needs to be downloaded and extracted within the pest/ies_parameter_ensembles/ subdirectory...

Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: PEST, PESTPP-IES, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), Wisconsin, hydrology, All tags... mathematical modeling, parameter ensemble, uncertainty, Fewer tags

Comprehensive exergetic and economic comparison of PWR and hybrid fossil fuel-PWR power plants

Corn ethanol produced in the US and sugarcane ethanol produced in Brazil are the world's leading sources of biofuel. Current US biofuel policies create both incentives and constraints for the import of ethanol from Brazil and together with the cost competitiveness and greenhouse gas intensity of sugarcane ethanol compared to corn ethanol will determine the extent of these imports. This study analyzes the supply-side determinants of cost competitiveness and compares the greenhouse gas intensity of corn ethanol and sugarcane ethanol delivered to US ports. We find that while the cost of sugarcane ethanol production in Brazil is lower than that of corn ethanol in the US, the inclusion of transportation costs for the...

Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Climate change, Economics, Kyoto Protocol, Taxes, uncertainty

Global oil depletion: A review of the evidence

Recently, an active debate has emerged around greenhouse gas emissions due to indirect land use change (iLUC) of expanding agricultural areas dedicated to biofuel production. In this paper we provide a detailed analysis of the iLUC effect, and further address the issues of deforestation, irrigation water use, and crop price increases due to expanding biofuel acreage. We use GLOBIOM – an economic partial equilibrium model of the global forest, agriculture, and biomass sectors with a bottom-up representation of agricultural and forestry management practices. The results indicate that second generation biofuel production fed by wood from sustainably managed existing forests would lead to a negative iLUC factor, meaning...

Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Uncertainty, data, energy, global, model, All tags... regional, residential, use, Fewer tags