Filters: partyWithName: Nancy Fresco, PhD (X)
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Appendices excerpted from the “Predicting Future Potential Climate-Biomes for the Yukon, Northwest Territories and Alaska” report.
The Alaska Climate-Biome Shift Project (AK Cliomes) and the Yukon (YT) and NorthwestTerritories (NWT) Climate-Biome Shift Project (Ca Cliomes) were collaborative efforts thatused progressive clustering methodology, existing land cover classifications, and historicaland projected climate data to identify areas of Alaska, the Yukon, and NWT that are likely toundergo the greatest or least ecological pressure, given climate change. Project results and datapresented in this report are intended to serve as a framework for research and planning byland managers and other stakeholders with an interest in ecological and socioeconomic sustainability.
This project used historical climate records for Alaska and Western Canada to identify patterns in temperature and precipitation reflecting the distribution of biomes seen across this region today. These climate-biome models used downscaled climate data to help identify areas which were most vulnerable to change, and areas of “refugia” where the temperature and precipitation conditions will be most similar to what they are today. The results may help managers, landscape planners, conservationists and others; understand how dramatically the temperature and precipitation patterns are expected to change.
Researchers from the University of Alaska (UAF), The NatureConservancy, and U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service will use‘climate envelope’ models (i.e., models that infer a species’environmental requirements from locations where they arecurrently found) to explore how patterns in temperature,precipitation, and landcover (i.e., climate-biomes) may shift as aresult of changing climate.
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