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This data set describes the predicted daily climate (temperature and rainfall) for low, mid, and high-elevations on Mona Loa, Island of Hawaii from 2098-2100. Climate predictions are based on 3 alternative climate scenarios (RCP 4.5, A1B, and RCP 8.5) - see Liao et al. 2015 for more details and climate references. The predicted daily risk of susceptible Hawaiian honeycreepers are based on the daily climate data, mosquito abundance and other factors. Also see Samuel et al. 2011 The dynamics, transmission, and population impacts of avian malaria in native Hawaiian birds: a modeling approach. Ecological Applications 21:2960-2973 for description of the epidemiological model used for avian malaria risk predictions.
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Hawaiʹi’s most widespread native tree, ʹōhiʹa lehua (Metrosideros polymorpha), has been dying across large areas of Hawaiʹi Island mainly due to two fungal pathogens (Ceratocystis lukuohia and Ceratocystis huliohia) that cause a disease collectively known as Rapid ʹŌhiʹa Death (ROD). Here we examine patterns of positive detections of C. lukuohia as it has been linked to the larger mortality events across Hawaiʹi Island. Our analysis compares the environmental range of C. lukuohia and its spread over time through the known climatic range and distribution of ʹōhiʹa. This data set is a georeferenced raster file, containing the projected potential presence of C.lukuohia across the main Hawaiian Islands using climatic...
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Landscape-scale conservation of threatened and endangered species is often challenged by multiple, sometimes conflicting, land uses. In Hawaiʻi, efforts to conserve native forests have come into conflict with objectives to sustain non-native game mammals, such as feral pigs, goats, and deer, for subsistence and sport hunting. Maintaining stable or increasing game populations represents one of the greatest obstacles to the recovery of Hawaii’s 425 threatened and endangered plant species. Many endemic Hawaiian species have declined and become endangered as a result of herbivorous non-native game mammals. Meanwhile, other environmental changes, including the spread of invasive grasses and changing precipitation patterns...
The Hawaiian Islands are home to a variety of native species that have been subject to numerous threats including development of habitat for human use, predation by introduced herbivores, and competition with invasive plant species. In addition to these threats global climate change is expected to increase temperature and alter patterns of precipitation in Hawaii. This project models the relative vulnerability of native plant species to the effects of climate change, in order to assist resource managers in effectively allocating limited resources to efficiently preserve and protect current and future habitat for native plants. We modeled vulnerability by creating an expert system – a network model linking biological...
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This dataset was developed to model habitat suitability for two ungulate species on the island of Lanai. This includes raster data derived from WorldView-2 data to create a normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). This index, in addition to other datasets, was used to develop habitat suitability models for Axis deer and mouflon sheep. Datasets and indices derived for use in modeling efforts, as well as suitability models, are included within this data release.
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This dataset was developed to model habitat suitability for two ungulate species on the island of Lanai. This includes raster data derived from WorldView-2 data to create a bare ground index. This index, in addition to other datasets, was used to create the habitat suitability models. Datasets and indices derived for use in modeling efforts, as well as suitability models, are included within this data release.
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Hawaiʹi’s most widespread native tree, ʹōhiʹa lehua (Metrosideros polymorpha), has been dying across large areas of Hawaiʹi Island mainly due to two fungal pathogens (Ceratocystis lukuohia and Ceratocystis huliohia) that cause a disease collectively known as Rapid ʹŌhiʹa Death (ROD). Here we examine patterns of positive detections of C. lukuohia as it has been linked to the larger mortality events across Hawaiʹi Island. Our analysis compares the environmental range of C. lukuohia and its spread over time through the known climatic range and distribution of ʹōhiʹa. This data set is a georeferenced raster file, containing the projected suitability for C.lukuohia across the main Hawaiian Islands using climatic variables...
XML document specifying the categorical network model used to estimate relative vulnerability to climate change. Viewable in teh GeNiE graphical interface to the S.M.I.L.E. network learning software package.
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Dataset includes publicly available geologic and rainfall data, and environmental and ecological data derived or collected for this project. Specifically, water infiltration measurements, interepreted field-saturated hydraulic conductivity values, ungulate activity, vegetation cover, general soil and weather conditions data are included. Soil samples were collected, lab analyzed, and are included in the dataset. Field-collected data are associated with plots that encompassed approximately a 3 x 3 m area; site data represent approximately 20 x 20 m. First posted: 4 March 2020 (available from author) Revised: April 13, 2020 (version 2.0) The revision is provided due to minor refinement of the dataset and updated...
The Pacific Islands Landscape Conservation Cooperative (PILCC), better known as the Pacific Islands Climate Change Cooperative, is one of 22 LCCs established by Secretarial Order No. 3289, which focus on on-the-ground strategic conservation efforts at the landscape level. LCCs are management-science partnerships that inform integrated resource-management actions addressing climate change and other stressors within and across landscapes.
Watershed degradation due to invasion threatens downstream water flows and associated ecosystem services. While this topic has been studied across landscapes that have undergone invasive-driven state changes (e.g., native forest to invaded grassland), it is less well understood in ecosystems experiencing within-system invasion (e.g. native forest to invaded forest). To address this subject, we conducted an integrated ecological and ecohydrological study in tropical forests impacted by invasive plants and animals. We measured soil infiltration capacity in multiple fenced (i.e., ungulate-free)/unfenced and native/invaded forest site pairs along moisture and substrate age gradients across Hawaii to explore the effects...
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation
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Conservation efforts in isolated archipelagos such as Hawaii often focus on habitat-based conservation and restoration efforts that benefit multiple species. Unfortunately, identifying locations where such efforts are safer from climatic shifts is still challenging. We aimed to provide a method to approximate these potential habitat shifts for similar data- and research-limited contexts. We modeled the relationship between climate and the potential distribution of native biomes across the Hawaiian archipelago to provide a first approximation of potential native biome shifts under end-of-century projected climate. Our correlative model circumvents the lack of data necessary for the parameterization of mechanistic...
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This series of five raster datasets includes three input rasters developed to model habitat suitability for two ungulate species on the island of Lanai; the two habitat suitability model raster datasets are also part of this data release. Input datasets were derived from WorldView-2 data to create vegetation (hereafter, NDVI) and bare ground indices, and from a Digital Elevation Model (DEM) to create a ground surface slope dataset. These indices and data, in addition to other datasets, were used to create habitat suitability models for Axis deer and mouflon sheep.
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This dataset was developed to model habitat suitability for two ungulate species on the island of Lanai. Slope was derived from a 10-m resolution DEM raster dataset created by NOAA. This dataset, in addition to other datasets, was used to create the habitat suitability models. Datasets and indices derived for use in modeling efforts, as well as suitability models, are included within this data release.
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2018 was a record-breaking year for wildfires in Hawai‘i with over 30,000 acres burned statewide, including the habitat of the Oʻahu chewstick, a critically endangered flowering plant with less than 50 individuals remaining. The frequency and severity of wildfire in Hawai‘i has been increasing, and this trend is predicted to worsen with climate change. Wildfires are promoted by highly flammable invasive plants, which can spread across the landscape, providing a widespread fuel source to feed large fires that are hard to control. However, different plant species vary in their flammability, so wildfire risk depends not only on climate, but also on which plants are present. A major concern is that new non-native plants...
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This dataset was developed to model habitat suitability for mouflon sheep on the island of Lanai. Model parameters include: cloud cover at 1400 HST, ground surface slope, mean annual precipitation, NDVI, elevation, bare soil, and deer habitat suitability. Datasets and indices derived for use in modeling efforts, as well as the suitability model developed for axis deer, are included within this data release.
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This dataset was developed to model habitat suitability for axis deer on the island of Lanai. Model parameters include: cloud cover at 1400 HST, ground surface slope, mean annual precipitation, NDVI, elevation, and bare soil. Datasets and indices derived for use in modeling efforts, as well as the suitability model developed for mouflon sheep, are included within this data release.
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Hawaiʹi’s most widespread native tree, ʹōhiʹa lehua (Metrosideros polymorpha), has been dying across large areas of Hawaiʹi Island mainly due to two fungal pathogens (Ceratocystis lukuohia and Ceratocystis huliohia) that cause a disease collectively known as Rapid ʹŌhiʹa Death (ROD). Here we examine patterns of positive detections of C. lukuohia as it has been linked to the larger mortality events across Hawaiʹi Island. Our analysis compares the environmental range of C. lukuohia and its spread over time through the known climatic range and distribution of ʹōhiʹa. This data release consists of two rasters, one containing the projected suitability for C.lukuohia and another consisting of modeled presence/absence...
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Climate change in Hawaiʻi is expected to result in increasing temperatures and varying precipitation through the twenty-first century. Already, high elevation areas have experienced rapidly increasing temperatures and there has been an increase in the frequency of drought across the Islands. These climatic changes could have significant impacts on Hawaiʻi’s plants and animals. Changes in temperature and moisture may make current habitat no longer suitable for some species, and could allow invasive species to spread into new areas. Hawaiʻi Volcanoes National Park is home to 23 species of endangered vascular plants and 15 species of endangered trees. Understanding how climate change may impact the park’s plants...


    map background search result map search result map Assessing the Potential Effects of Climate Change on Vegetation in Hawaiʻi Volcanoes National Park Predicted climate and avian malaria risk to Hawaiian honeycreepers on the Island of Hawaii from 2098-2100 Managing Non-native Game Mammals to Reduce Future Conflicts with Native Plant Conservation in Hawai‘i Hawaiian Islands Ceratocystis rapid ohia death spatial analysis 2019 Identifying opportunities for long-lasting habitat conservation and restoration in Hawaii’s shifting climate Modeled potential presence of Ceratocystis luhuohia across Hawaiian Islands Hawaiian Islands Ceratocystis luhuohia modeled habitat suitability Predicting the Effects of Climate Change on the Spread of Fire-Promoting Plants in Hawai‘i: Assessing Emerging Threats to Rare Native Plants and Ecosystems Hawaiian Islands datasets quantifying the effects of invasive animals and plants on native forests across the archipelago 2019 (ver. 2.0 April 2020) Lanai habitat and ecological associations of two non-native ungulate species 2011 Bare Ground Index Data for the Hawaiian Island of Lanai, Derived from 2011 WV2 Imagery Habitat suitability for axis deer on the Hawaiian Island of Lanai Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) Data for the Hawaiian Island of Lanai, Derived from 2011 WV2 imagery Habitat Suitability for Mouflon Sheep on the Hawaiian Island of Lanai Slope Values for the Island of Lanai Derived from 2007 NOAA DEM Data Lanai habitat and ecological associations of two non-native ungulate species 2011 Bare Ground Index Data for the Hawaiian Island of Lanai, Derived from 2011 WV2 Imagery Habitat suitability for axis deer on the Hawaiian Island of Lanai Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) Data for the Hawaiian Island of Lanai, Derived from 2011 WV2 imagery Habitat Suitability for Mouflon Sheep on the Hawaiian Island of Lanai Slope Values for the Island of Lanai Derived from 2007 NOAA DEM Data Assessing the Potential Effects of Climate Change on Vegetation in Hawaiʻi Volcanoes National Park Managing Non-native Game Mammals to Reduce Future Conflicts with Native Plant Conservation in Hawai‘i Predicted climate and avian malaria risk to Hawaiian honeycreepers on the Island of Hawaii from 2098-2100 Hawaiian Islands datasets quantifying the effects of invasive animals and plants on native forests across the archipelago 2019 (ver. 2.0 April 2020) Predicting the Effects of Climate Change on the Spread of Fire-Promoting Plants in Hawai‘i: Assessing Emerging Threats to Rare Native Plants and Ecosystems Hawaiian Islands Ceratocystis rapid ohia death spatial analysis 2019 Modeled potential presence of Ceratocystis luhuohia across Hawaiian Islands Hawaiian Islands Ceratocystis luhuohia modeled habitat suitability Identifying opportunities for long-lasting habitat conservation and restoration in Hawaii’s shifting climate