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Forecasting Changes in Sagebrush Distribution and Abundance Under Climate Change: Integration of Spatial, Temporal, and Mechanistic Models FY2014Although the future of sage grouse depends on the future of sagebrush, we have limited ability to anticipate impacts of climate change on sagebrush populations. Current efforts to forecast sagebrush habitat typically rely on species distribution models (SDMs), which suffer from a variety of well-known weaknesses. However, by integrating SDMs with complementary research approaches, such as historical data analysis and mechanistic models, we can provide increased confidence in projections of habitat change. Our goal is to forecast the effect of climate change on the distribution and abundance of big sagebrush in order to inform conservation planning, and sage grouse management in particular, across the Intermountain... Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, Conservation Planning, Datasets/Database, Federal resource managers, Great Basin, All tags... Great Basin, Great Basin, Great Basin, Great Basin, LCC Network Science Catalog, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Project, Publication, State agencies, Vulnerability Assessment, big sagebrush, big sagebrush, big sagebrush, big sagebrush, climate change, climate change, climate change, climate change, completed, modeling, modeling, modeling, modeling, sagebrush, Fewer tags Watershed control of hydrologic sources and thermal conditions in SW Alaska streams: a framework for forecasting effects of changing climate Western Alaska is one of the fastest warming regions on the globe and recent trends are expected to continue into the next century, likely having substantial effects on the aquatic resources of this region. While increased air temperatures will have direct effects on water temperatures, indirect effects due to changes in precipitation, groundwater characteristics, and flow regimes may have much larger effects on aquatic ecosystems. Coastal watersheds of Western Alaska are expected to receive 25-50% more snow and 18-25% more rain in the next century. Future “climate warming” may actually cool some streams if the ratio of snow to rain increases for coastal watersheds, while rain-dominated streams are likely to become... Categories: Data, Project; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, Data Acquisition and Development, Decision Support, Federal resource managers, LCC Network Science Catalog, All tags... Project, Publication, Report, State agencies, Vulnerability Assessment, completed, environment, environment, inlandWaters, inlandWaters, Fewer tags Hydrologic Monitoring of Glacier-Influenced Watersheds (Hulahula Gage) The USGS and Arctic National Wildlife Refuge Staff operate and maintain a streamgage at Hulahula River near Kaktovik, Alaska. Data from this station is necessary to complement glacier mass-balance studies and provide information necessary to project stream flow regimes under various scenarios of climate change. This project includes operation, acquiring real-time data, analysis of the data, and internet access. The gauge continues to operate as of 2017. Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, DISCHARGE/FLOW, DISCHARGE/FLOW, Datasets/Database, Federal resource managers, All tags... LCC Network Science Catalog, Monitoring, Project, RIVERS/STREAMS, RIVERS/STREAMS, RUNOFF, RUNOFF, STAGE HEIGHT, STAGE HEIGHT, Training/Outreach/Workshop, environment, environment, inlandWaters, inlandWaters, onGoing, Fewer tags Streamgages Factsheet The Arctic LCC and partners are supporting stream gages infive different river systems. The rivers being monitored fall intothree broad categories: glacial streams originating in the BrooksRange (Hulahula river), streams with only minor glacial input(Kuparuk, Canning & Tamayariak rivers), and non-glacialstreams that are contained entirely within the Arctic CoastalPlain, such as the Putuligayuk River Categories: Data; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, Arctic Landscape Conservation Cooperative data.gov, DISCHARGE/FLOW, DISCHARGE/FLOW, Federal resource managers, All tags... LCC Network Science Catalog, RIVERS/STREAMS, RIVERS/STREAMS, RUNOFF, RUNOFF, STAGE HEIGHT, STAGE HEIGHT, completed, factSheet, inlandWaters, inlandWaters, Fewer tags Riding the crimson tide: mobile terrestrial consumers track phenological variation in spawning of an anadromous fish When resources are spatially and temporally variable, consumers can increasetheir foraging success by moving to track ephemeral feeding opportunitiesas these shift across the landscape; the best examples derive from herbivore–plant systems, where grazers migrate to capitalize on the seasonal waves ofvegetation growth. We evaluated whether analogous processes occur in watershedssupporting spawning sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka), askingwhether seasonal activities ofpredators and scavengers shift spatial distributionsto capitalize on asynchronous spawning among populations of salmon. Bothglaucous-winged gulls and coastal brown bears showed distinct shifts in theirspatial distributions over the course of the summer,... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, Federal resource managers, LAKES, LAKES, LCC Network Science Catalog, All tags... PRECIPITATION, PRECIPITATION, PRECIPITATION AMOUNT, PRECIPITATION AMOUNT, Publication, SALMONS/TROUTS, SALMONS/TROUTS, SNOW, SNOW, SNOW/ICE, SNOW/ICE, SNOW/ICE CHEMISTRY, SNOW/ICE CHEMISTRY, STREAM, STREAM, State agencies, Western Alaska Landscape Conservation Cooperative data.gov, biota, biota, climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere, climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere, completed, environment, environment, geoscientificInformation, geoscientificInformation, inlandWaters, inlandWaters, Fewer tags Watershed geomorphology and snowmelt control stream thermal sensitivity to air temperature. How local geomorphic and hydrologic features mediate the sensitivity of stream thermal regimesto variation in climatic conditions remains a critical uncertainty in understanding aquatic ecosystem responsesto climate change.We used stable isotopes of hydrogen and oxygen to estimate contributions of snow and rainfallto 80 boreal streams and show that differences in snow contribution are controlled by watershed topography.Time series analysis of streamthermal regimes revealed that streams in rain-dominated, low-elevation watershedswere 5–8 times more sensitive to variation in summer air temperature compared to streams draining steepertopography whose flows were dominated by snowmelt. This effect wasmore pronounced... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, Federal resource managers, LAKES, LAKES, LCC Network Science Catalog, All tags... PRECIPITATION, PRECIPITATION, PRECIPITATION AMOUNT, PRECIPITATION AMOUNT, Publication, SALMONS/TROUTS, SALMONS/TROUTS, SNOW, SNOW, SNOW/ICE, SNOW/ICE, SNOW/ICE CHEMISTRY, SNOW/ICE CHEMISTRY, STREAM, STREAM, State agencies, Western Alaska Landscape Conservation Cooperative data.gov, biota, biota, climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere, climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere, completed, environment, environment, geoscientificInformation, geoscientificInformation, inlandWaters, inlandWaters, Fewer tags Improving Seasonal Water Supply Predictions and Water Management in the Upper Rio Grande River Basin through use of Enhanced Observations of Snowfall, Snowpack and Physics-Based Modeling Systems This project aims to improve seasonal water supply forecasts on the Upper Rio Grande River basin and, in doing so, help to minimize the substantial costs associated with erroneous forecasts and related sub-optimal allocations of water for surface irrigation, groundwater recharge and endangered specifies management. Erroneous seasonal water supply forecasts in the Upper Rio Grande River basin have a profound impact on water management, agricultural production and economic vitality.The specific goals of this project are to: Develop state-of the art precipitation and snowpack monitoring products through the use of experimental radar, surface observations and land data assimilation systems Improve the spatial and... Categories: Data, Project; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service, Raster; Tags: CO-03, Colorado, Colorado, Data Acquisition and Development, Federal resource managers, All tags... LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Monitoring, NM-03, New Mexico, New Mexico, Project, SRLCC, State agencies, Streamflows, Upper Rio Grande, Upper Rio Grande, colorado, completed, hydrologic planning, hydrologic planning, hydrologic planning, new mexico, physics-based hydrologic modeling, physics-based hydrologic modeling, physics-based hydrologic modeling, precipitation monitoring, precipitation monitoring, precipitation monitoring, snowpack monitoring, snowpack monitoring, snowpack monitoring, srlcc, streamflow predictions, streamflow predictions, streamflow predictions, upper rio grande basin, water, water, water, water supply forecasting, water supply forecasting, water supply forecasting, Fewer tags Watershed Control of Hydrologic Sources and Thermal Conditions in SW Alaska Streams: A Framework for Forecasting Effects of Changing Climate Climate change is expected to impact the thermal regimes of streams and otherfreshwater ecosystems (Schindler 2001, Malmqvist and Rundle 2002, Poff et al. 2002). Whileincreased air temperatures will have direct effects on water temperature, indirect effects due tochanges in precipitation patterns, groundwater characteristics, and flow regimes (Perkins et al.2010) may have much larger effects. We explored 1) how variation in hydrologicalcharacteristics of streams mediate their thermal regimes, 2) how geomorphic features ofwatersheds regulated stream water sources and, therefore, thermal characteristics, and 3) whetherpatterns of thermal variation among streams correlate with the life-history characteristics ofPacific... Categories: Data; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, Federal resource managers, LAKES, LAKES, LCC Network Science Catalog, All tags... PRECIPITATION, PRECIPITATION, PRECIPITATION AMOUNT, PRECIPITATION AMOUNT, Report, SALMONS/TROUTS, SALMONS/TROUTS, SNOW, SNOW, SNOW/ICE, SNOW/ICE, SNOW/ICE CHEMISTRY, SNOW/ICE CHEMISTRY, STREAM, STREAM, State agencies, Western Alaska Landscape Conservation Cooperative data.gov, biota, biota, climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere, climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere, completed, environment, environment, inlandWaters, inlandWaters, Fewer tags USGS Hulahula River data The Arctic LCC supported installation of a new USGS stream gage on the Hulahula River. The funds provided by the LCC will support stream gage operation for a period of 5 years. These data are key to developing a better understanding of climate/glacier interactions (see project ARCT2010-07). Data will be integrated into the LCC Hydroclimatological database. Categories: Data; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, Arctic Landscape Conservation Cooperative data.gov, DISCHARGE/FLOW, DISCHARGE/FLOW, Data, All tags... Federal resource managers, LCC Network Science Catalog, RIVERS/STREAMS, RIVERS/STREAMS, RUNOFF, RUNOFF, STAGE HEIGHT, STAGE HEIGHT, completed, inlandWaters, inlandWaters, Fewer tags Divergent climate change effects on widespread dryland plant communities driven by climatic and ecohydrological gradients We used an individual-based plant simulation model that represents intra- and inter-specific competition for water availability, which is represented by a process-based soil water balance model. For dominant plant functional types, we quantified changes in biomass and characterized agreement among 52 future climate scenarios. We then used a multivariate matching algorithm to generate fine-scale interpolated surfaces of functional type biomass for our study area. Categories: Data; Tags: Artemisia tridentata, Biological sciences, Climate Change, Community dynamics, dryland, All tags... ecohydrology, individual-based model, sagebrush, warming, Fewer tags Association between geomorphic attributes of watersheds, water temperature, and salmon spawn timing in Alaskan streams Intraspecific variation in the seasonal reproductive timing of Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus sp.) has importantimplications for the resilience of salmon and for organisms in freshwater and terrestrial communities that dependon salmon resources. Stream temperature has well known associations with salmon spawn timing buthow stream and watershed geomorphology relates to the variation in salmon spawn timing is less understood.We used multivariate statistics applied to five environmental variables to compare conditions across36 watersheds in the Wood River basin in southwest Alaska. We found that the environmental conditionsin the first two axes of a principal components analysis (PCA) explained 76% of the variation in... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, Federal resource managers, LAKES, LAKES, LCC Network Science Catalog, All tags... PRECIPITATION, PRECIPITATION, PRECIPITATION AMOUNT, PRECIPITATION AMOUNT, Publication, SALMONS/TROUTS, SALMONS/TROUTS, SNOW, SNOW, SNOW/ICE, SNOW/ICE, SNOW/ICE CHEMISTRY, SNOW/ICE CHEMISTRY, STREAM, STREAM, State agencies, Western Alaska Landscape Conservation Cooperative data.gov, biota, biota, completed, environment, environment, geoscientificInformation, geoscientificInformation, inlandWaters, inlandWaters, Fewer tags