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Longer, drier summers projected for arid and semi-arid regions of western North America under climate change are likely to have enormous consequences for water resources and river-dependent ecosystems. Many climate change scenarios for this region involve decreases in mean annual streamflow, latesummer precipitation and late-summer streamflow in the coming decades. Intermittent streams are already common in this region, and it is likely that minimum flows will decrease and some perennial streams will shift to intermittent flow under climate-driven changes in timing and magnitude of precipitation and runoff, combined with increases in temperature. To understand current intermittency among streams and analyze the...
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Project ObjectivesConnect scientists/researchers to resource managers, review relevant science projects recently completed by the SRLCC and others, and discuss how resulting data and tools can be applied or incorporated into decision-making processes;Facilitate identification of landscape-scale resource stressors (climate and non-climate related) and managers most pressing needs and questions within each of the geographic areas;Facilitate identification of locally significant focal resources not currently prioritized by the SRLCC;Facilitate identification of key attributes of focal resources (both initial and newly identified) indicative desirable conditions;Facilitate identification of most significant direct threats...
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Executive Summary: Riparian ecosystems are vital components of the semi-arid landscape because woody riparian plants provide resources that are absent in adjacent vegetation types. Historically, flood played a key role in shaping the composition and structure of riparian forests. In recent decades, however, the frequency and magnitude of floods has decreased and the timing of peak discharge has been altered. In addition, wildfire has increased in importance as an agent of disturbance along many streams. We initiated this study to increase our understanding of fire, flood, and drought processes at our Middle Rio Grande study sites and develop tools that managers of other systems can use to project the response of...
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The Conservation Biology Institute will develop a Southern Rockies LCC Conservation Planning Atlas (SRLCC CPA) powered by Data Basin that will make it easier for resource managers and other stakeholders to discover, analyze, and interpret spatial data on priority topics including aquatic resource management and climate impacts. The SRLCC CPA will facilitate conservation planning, analyses and evaluation from common datasets and provide basic mapping capability to users without desktop GIS software. The SRLCC CPA will most directly support science needs in Funding Category II, however because of the design of this flexible web-based platform, it can be used to inform management decisions spanning a wide range of...
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A strong data foundation is needed to inform science-based decisions for fisheries management at a watershed level. In preparation for a shift towards comprehensive watershed-scale planning, Arizona Game and Fish Department (AGFD) is developing a fisheries data management system with an initial focus on compiling and formatting several hundred thousand fish survey and stocking records. Fish data will be integrated within a Geographic Information System (GIS) by georeferencing observations to an existing national spatial framework (National Hydrography Dataset), which will allow for broader transferability to watersheds shared with neighboring states, creating a seamless layer not limited by state boundaries. In...
Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, AZ-01, AZ-02, AZ-03, AZ-04, All tags...
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By collaborating with water managers and combining climate modeling and paleoclimate methods, the project team will incorporate prediction tools to assess risk of extreme wet/dry climate conditions for the next 10-15 years (i.e. decadal prediction). Our target area is the Wasatch Range Metropolitan Area that includes Salt Lake City one of the largest population centers within the Southern Rockies LCC. We will focus on projecting future water availability and quality with a specific goal for decadal prediction. The project team has partnered with numerous water agencies in the Wasatch Range who have made in-kind contributions towards this project. This partnership guarantees that the results will be disseminated,...
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This data product contains estimates of habitat quality and connectivity for mountain lion, mule deer, desert bighorn sheep, and black bear, and combined estimates of high habitat and connectivity areas for all species. The analysis area was a 236,000 square kilometers that encompassed the Navajo Nation, which includes portions of Arizona, New Mexico, and Utah. The estimates of habitat quality were created with spatially explicit habitat variables and either an expert-based linear combination process (for mountain lion and mule deer) or a generalized linear mixed model-based estimation that used radio-collar telemetry data (for desert bighorn sheep, black bear, and pronghorn; collected between 2005-2011). Habitat...
Categories: Data; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Antilocapra americana, Antilocapra americana, Arizona, Arizona, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, All tags...
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This project aims to improve seasonal water supply forecasts on the Upper Rio Grande River basin and, in doing so, help to minimize the substantial costs associated with erroneous forecasts and related sub-optimal allocations of water for surface irrigation, groundwater recharge and endangered specifies management. Erroneous seasonal water supply forecasts in the Upper Rio Grande River basin have a profound impact on water management, agricultural production and economic vitality.The specific goals of this project are to: Develop state-of the art precipitation and snowpack monitoring products through the use of experimental radar, surface observations and land data assimilation systems Improve the spatial and...
Categories: Data, Project; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service, Raster; Tags: CO-03, Colorado, Colorado, Data Acquisition and Development, Federal resource managers, All tags...
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The Gunnison Climate Working Group is a chartered partnership of 14 public and private organizations in Colorados Upper Gunnison Basin. The Southern Rockies LCC (SRLCC) funded The Nature Conservancy to complete a comprehensive vulnerability assessment identifying species and ecosystems most at risk from climate change. The assessment included a set of habitat adaptation strategies for priority species, such as the Gunnison sage-grouse. As a final product, local demonstration projects were designed and installed.The financial support and partnership provided by the SRLCC was critical to the Gunnison Climate Working Groups success and progress towards addressing climate change. As a direct result of the SRLCC involvement,...
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Resource managers must often balance the management goals of protecting wildlife species and habitats with control of non-native and invasive plants. This project will determine if the introduction of the biocontrol agent (tamarisk leaf beetle, Diorhabda spp.) as an insect consumer and defoliator of saltcedar influences wildlife populations and communities via alterations to food resources and/or habitat. By taking advantage of an unprecedented natural experiment and two years of pre-biocontrol monitoring, the researchers will track changes in amphibian and reptile (herpetofauna), and avian communities as biocontrol enters a system dominated by a non-native plant species. The investigators predict that the introduction...
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The Colorado River Cutthroat Trout (CRCT) conservation team identified a need to further develop a long-term approach to updating and maintaining the CRCT GIS-based database that was created using the Inland Cutthroat Trout Protocol (ICP). The University of Wyoming Geographic Information Science Center was contracted to develop a multi-state, web-based database and a web-based application for viewing and editing the data to aid in conservation activities. Previously, Colorado, Utah and Wyoming all used separate, desktop databases that could not be shared with partnering agencies nor updated for all users simultaneously. The database and application is for CRCT as well as other cutthroat species (Greenback cutthroat...
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The purpose of this agreement is to initiate SRLCC-wide data discovery, cataloging, and general GIS analysis to characterize the landscape across the SRLCC geographic area. The SRLCC has identified the need for a data management activity to support all aspects of data discovery, dissemination, cataloging, and analysis. An existing agreement between FWS and the USGS provides for an SRLCC catalog inside the U.S. Geological Survey-sponsored ScienceBase scientific data and information management platform and provides the ability for partner organizations to maintain and contribute to this work environment. Initial information and data discovery process will compile existing resources in the ScienceBase SRLCC data portal...
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​Abstract: Climate change predictions include warming and drying trends, which are expected to be particularly pronounced in the southwestern United States. In this region, grassland dynamics are tightly linked to available moisture, yet it has proven difficult to resolve what aspects of climate drive vegetation change. In part, this is because it is unclear how heterogeneity in soils affects plant responses to climate. Here, we combine climate and soil properties with a mechanistic soil water model to explain temporal fluctuations in perennial grass cover, quantify where and the degree to which incorporating soil water dynamics enhances our ability to understand temporal patterns, and explore the potential consequences...
Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, AZ-02, AZ-03, AZ-04, Academics & scientific researchers, All tags...
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Modeling streamflow is an important approach for understanding landscape-scale drivers of flow and estimating flows where there are no streamgage records. In this study conducted by the U.S. Geological Survey in cooperation with Colorado State University, the objectives were to model streamflow metrics on small, ungaged streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin and identify streams that are potentially threatened with becoming intermittent under drier climate conditions. The Upper Colorado River Basin is a region that is critical for water resources and also projected to experience large future climate shifts toward a drying climate. A random forest modeling approach was used to model the relationship between streamflow...
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Streamflows in late spring and summer have declined over the last century in the western U.S. and mean annual streamflow is projected to decrease by six to 25% over the next 100 years. In arid and semi-arid regions of the western US, it is likely that some perennial streams will shift to intermittent flow regimes in response to climate-driven changes in timing and magnitude of precipitation, runoff, and evaporation. The project will address the following two research question: how will small stream (1st-3rd order) low flow hydrology be impacted by predicted longer, drier summers in the Upper Colorado River Basin under climate change and in turn, what will be the resulting impacts on riparian plant communities?...
Categories: Data, Project; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: AZ-01, Applications and Tools, Arizona, CO-03, Colorado, All tags...
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The Grassland, Shrubland, Desert Program of the U.S. Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station intends to evaluate the interactive effects of fire and climate change on the presence and long-term persistence of native and non-native species within Rio Grande riparian and wetland habitats of the Desert and Southern Rockies LCCs. Decision support tools and maps will be produced that will help resource managers identify conditions and locations where biodiversity will be most affected by future changes and identify needs with respect to species conservation and invasive species management.This project was co-funded by multiple Landscape Conservation Cooperatives: Desert LCC and the Southern Rockies LCC.
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The University of California, Davis in partnership with the Navajo Nation is partnering with the Southern Rockies LCC to provide estimates of habitat connectivity for focal species on the Navajo Nation and adjacent lands that the tribe wishes to incorporate into planning and implementation of adaptive management. The project will derive habitat variables as inputs for connectivity models, and model outputs likely will include habitat quality and conductance. Species-specific models will be mathematically integrated to permit probabilistic statements about simultaneous connectivity for two or more species. The spatial data developed on wildlife distributions and habitat to model connectivity and, ultimately, viability...
Categories: Data, Project; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: AZ-01, Applications and Tools, Arizona, Arizona, Cultural Resources, All tags...
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Amphibians and reptiles (herpetofauna) have been linked to specific microhabitat characteristics, microclimates, and water resources in riparian forests. Our objective was to relate variation in herpetofauna abundance to changes in habitat caused by a beetle used for Tamarix biocontrol (Diorhabda carinulata; Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae) and riparian restoration. During 2013 and 2014, we measured vegetation and monitored herpetofauna via trapping and visual encounter surveys (VES) at locations affected by biocontrol along the Virgin River in the Mojave Desert of the southwestern United States. Twenty-one sites were divided into four riparian stand types based on density and percent cover of dominant trees (Tamarix,...
Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, AZ-01, AZ-02, AZ-03, AZ-04, All tags...
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We propose to identify future risk of wildlife population decline for species inhabiting the Rio Grande, New Mexico. Specifically, we will examine and quantify the interactive effect of fire and climate change on the presence and long-term persistence of native and nonnative species in residing within Rio Grande riparian and wetland habitats. We will build upon recent species vulnerability assessment work conducted for the Rio Grande and incorporate new data and model output regarding fire behavior under different climate scenarios. Predictions for future species distributions will be coupled with scores representing species adaptive capacity to quantify vulnerability to changing climate and disturbance regimes....
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Stream flow in the Colorado River and Dolores River corridors has been significantly modified by water management, and continued flow alteration is anticipated in future decades with projected increases in human water demand. Bottomland vegetation has been altered as well, with invasion of non-native species, increases in wildfire and human disturbance, and currently, rapid shifts in riparian communities due to biological and mechanical tamarisk control efforts. In light of these conditions, land managers are in need of scientific information to support management of vegetation communities for values such as healthy populations of sensitive fish and wildlife species and human recreation. We propose to address these...


map background search result map search result map Modeling Low Stream Flows and Assessing the Ecological Impacts of Potential Stream Drying under Climate Change in the Upper Colorado River Basin Assessment of Connectivity and Enhancement of Adaptive Management Capacity on Navajo Nation Lands A Regional Model for Building Resilience to Climate Change: Development and Demonstration in Colorado Effects of Bio-control and Restoration on Wildlife in Southwestern Riparian Habitats (Not listed in the LCC Science Catalog due to Desert LCC co-funding and catalog administering) Southern Rockies LCC Conservation Planning Atlas Science-Based Riparian Restoration Planning on the Colorado and Dolores Rivers: A Decision Support Tool and Investigation of Habitat Complexity at Tributary Junctions Improving Seasonal Water Supply Predictions and Water Management in the Upper Rio Grande River Basin through use of Enhanced Observations of Snowfall, Snowpack and Physics-Based Modeling Systems WaterSMART: Building Decadal Prediction of Extreme Climate for Managing Water Supply in Intermountain West A Landscape Approach for Fisheries Database Compilation and Predictive Modeling Vulnerability of Riparian Obligate Species in the Rio Grande to the Interactive Effects of Fire, Hydrological Variation and Climate Change Vulnerability of Riparian Obligate Species in the Rio Grande to the Interactive Effects of Fire, Hydrological Variation and Climate Change Modeling Woody Plant Regeneration and Debris Accumulation under Future Streamflow and Wildfire Scenarios in the SRLCC (Not listed in the LCC Science Catalog due to Desert LCC co-funding and catalog administering) U.S. Geological Survey Core Science Analytics and Synthesis Collaboration with the Southern Rockies LCC Metadata Four Corners and Upper Rio Grande Adaption Forums Modeled intermittency risk for small streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin under climate change Modeled Streamflow Metrics on Small, Ungaged Stream Reaches in the Upper Colorado River Basin Inland Cutthroat Trout Protocol (ICP) Web-mapping Application: Native Cutthroat Trout Data Compilation and Internet Database Development Publication and Report: Ecosystem Water Balance in a Desert Grassland Publication: The effects of riparian restoration following saltcedar (Tamarix spp.) biocontrol on habitat and herpetofauna along a desert stream Final Reports: Modeling Woody Plant Regeneration and Debris Accumulation under Future Streamflow and Wildfire Scenarios in the DLCC Effects of Bio-control and Restoration on Wildlife in Southwestern Riparian Habitats (Not listed in the LCC Science Catalog due to Desert LCC co-funding and catalog administering) A Regional Model for Building Resilience to Climate Change: Development and Demonstration in Colorado Publication: The effects of riparian restoration following saltcedar (Tamarix spp.) biocontrol on habitat and herpetofauna along a desert stream Science-Based Riparian Restoration Planning on the Colorado and Dolores Rivers: A Decision Support Tool and Investigation of Habitat Complexity at Tributary Junctions Improving Seasonal Water Supply Predictions and Water Management in the Upper Rio Grande River Basin through use of Enhanced Observations of Snowfall, Snowpack and Physics-Based Modeling Systems Inland Cutthroat Trout Protocol (ICP) Web-mapping Application: Native Cutthroat Trout Data Compilation and Internet Database Development Metadata Final Reports: Modeling Woody Plant Regeneration and Debris Accumulation under Future Streamflow and Wildfire Scenarios in the DLCC Vulnerability of Riparian Obligate Species in the Rio Grande to the Interactive Effects of Fire, Hydrological Variation and Climate Change Modeling Woody Plant Regeneration and Debris Accumulation under Future Streamflow and Wildfire Scenarios in the SRLCC (Not listed in the LCC Science Catalog due to Desert LCC co-funding and catalog administering) Assessment of Connectivity and Enhancement of Adaptive Management Capacity on Navajo Nation Lands Vulnerability of Riparian Obligate Species in the Rio Grande to the Interactive Effects of Fire, Hydrological Variation and Climate Change WaterSMART: Building Decadal Prediction of Extreme Climate for Managing Water Supply in Intermountain West Modeled intermittency risk for small streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin under climate change Modeled Streamflow Metrics on Small, Ungaged Stream Reaches in the Upper Colorado River Basin Modeling Low Stream Flows and Assessing the Ecological Impacts of Potential Stream Drying under Climate Change in the Upper Colorado River Basin A Landscape Approach for Fisheries Database Compilation and Predictive Modeling Southern Rockies LCC Conservation Planning Atlas U.S. Geological Survey Core Science Analytics and Synthesis Collaboration with the Southern Rockies LCC Four Corners and Upper Rio Grande Adaption Forums Publication and Report: Ecosystem Water Balance in a Desert Grassland