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The Arctic Coastal Plain (ACP) of Alaska is an important region for millions of migrating and nesting shorebirds. However, this region is threatened by climate change and increased human development (e.g., oil and gas production) that have the potential to greatly impact shorebird populations and breeding habitat in the near future. Because historic data on shorebird distributions in the ACP are very coarse and incomplete, we sought to develop detailed, contemporary distribution maps so that the potential impacts of climate-mediated changes and development could be ascertained. To do this, we developed and mapped habitat suitability indices for eight species of shorebirds (Black-bellied Plover [Pluvialis squatarola],...
Categories: Data,
Publication;
Types: Citation,
Map Service,
OGC WFS Layer,
OGC WMS Layer,
OGC WMS Service;
Tags: Academics & scientific researchers,
BIRDS,
Conservation NGOs,
Federal resource managers,
GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEMS,
Results indicate that the regions most vulnerable to ecological shifts under the influence of climate change are likely to be the interior and northern mountainous portions of Alaska; the northern Yukon; and much of the Northwest Territories. Although the A1B and A2 emissions scenarios predict more cliome shift overall, as compared to the more conservative B1 scenario, the patterns hold true across all three. Notably, there are no areas of the NWT predicted to retain their current cliomes.
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