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Predicted climate and avian malaria risk to Hawaiian honeycreepers on the Island of Hawaii from 2098-2100 This data set describes the predicted daily climate (temperature and rainfall) for low, mid, and high-elevations on Mona Loa, Island of Hawaii from 2098-2100. Climate predictions are based on 3 alternative climate scenarios (RCP 4.5, A1B, and RCP 8.5) - see Liao et al. 2015 for more details and climate references. The predicted daily risk of susceptible Hawaiian honeycreepers are based on the daily climate data, mosquito abundance and other factors. Also see Samuel et al. 2011 The dynamics, transmission, and population impacts of avian malaria in native Hawaiian birds: a modeling approach. Ecological Applications 21:2960-2973 for description of the epidemiological model used for avian malaria risk predictions. Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Birds, Culex mosquitoes, Downscaled climate models, Hawaiian honeycreepers, Mona Loa, All tags... Pacific Islands CASC, Wildlife and Plants, avian malaria, epidemiological model, Fewer tags Charles M. Russell National Wildlife Refuge Spot Landcover Classification in Relation to Greater Sage Grouse This landcover raster was generated through a Random Forest predictive model developed in R using a combination of image-derived and ancillary variables, and field-derived training points grouped into 18 classes. Overall accuracy, generated internally through bootstrapping, was 75.5%. A series of post-modeling steps brought the final number of land cover classes to 28. Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Birds, CMR, Charles M. Russell National Wildlife Refuge, Data Visualization & Tools, Landcover, All tags... Montana, North Central CASC, SPOT Imagery, Science Tools For Managers, Wildlife and Plants, environment, imageryBaseMapsEarthCover, Fewer tags Training Points Training points collected in the field between 2012 and 2013 were grouped into 18 classes: Forested Burn (66), Foothill Woodland Steppe Transition (73), Greasewood Flat (73), Greasewood Steppe (239), Greasewood Sage Steppe (277), Great Plains Badlands (166), Great Plains Riparian (255), Low Density Sage Steppe (776), Medium Density Sage Steppe (783), Mixed Grass Prairie (555), Mixed Grass Prairie Burned (278), Ponderosa Pine Woodland and Shrubland (512), Riparian Floodplain (223), Semi-Desert Grassland (103), Sparsely Vegetated Mixed Shrub (252), Silver Sage Flat (70) , Silver Sage Steppe (64), and Water (246). When insufficient field data were available for a class, we augmented it through photointerpretation of... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Birds, Charles M. Russel Wildlife Refuge, Data Visualization & Tools, North Central CASC, Science Tools For Managers, All tags... Wildlife and Plants, environment, Fewer tags Combined county-level drought incidence, damage, and census data The threat of droughts and their associated impacts on the landscape and human communities have long been recognized in the United States, especially in high risk areas such as the southcentral region. This project examines whether existing drought indices can predict the occurrence of drought events and their actual damages, how the adaptive capacity (i.e., resilience) varies across space, and what public outreach and engagement effort would be most effective for mitigation of risk and impacts. The study region includes all 503 counties in Arkansas, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas. This data set was created to assess the community resilience to the drought hazards using the Resilience Inference Measurement... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Arkansas, Climatological hazard, Drought, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Louisiana, All tags... New Mexico, Oklahoma, Resilience Inference Measurement (RIM) model, South Central CASC, Texas, community resilience, drought, Fewer tags Submerged aquatic vegetation and environmental data along a salinity gradient in Barataria Bay, Louisiana (2015) This data set includes bi-monthly data on submerged aquatic vegetation species composition, percent cover, above and below ground biomass and environmental data at coastal sites across the fresh to saline gradient in Barataria Bay, LA. This project was co-funded by the South Central Climate Adaptation Science Center and the Gulf Coast Prairie and the Gulf Coastal Plains and Ozarks Landscape Conservation Cooperatives. An alternate reference to this product can be found here. Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Climatology, Gulf of Mexico, Louisiana Coastal, Plants, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, All tags... South Central CASC, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), Water, Coasts and Ice, Wetlands, Wildlife and Plants, aquatic vegetation, coastal zone management, coastal zones, estuary, salinity, wetland, wetland ecosystems, wetlands, Fewer tags Merged traits used to fit the Hawaiian native plant vulnerability model This dataset is a list of variables (in columns) corresponding to nodes in a categorical network model. Geographic variables vary according to the specific climate downscaling model used to project plant species range into the future. Continuous variables were discretized into two to five categories as required by the model, usually based on quantiles of distribution. Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Pacific Islands CASC, Pacific Islands Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Pacific Islands Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Plants, Wildlife and Plants, All tags... biota, elevation, location, network model, Fewer tags Regional to local coarse to fine scale global change impact study on flow Stream flows are essential for maintaining healthy aquatic ecosystems and for supporting human water supply needs. Integrated modeling approaches assessing the impact of changes in climate, land use, and water withdrawals on stream flows and the subsequent impact of changes in flow regime on aquatic biota at multiple spatial scales are necessary to insure an adequate supply of water for humans and healthy river ecosystems. We compared streamflow predictions from a regional-scale hydrological model to those of several fine-scale SW models under a range of hypothetical climate change scenarios to determine the range of predicted streamflow responses to fixed climate perturbations.This spreadsheet contains the results... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: ELOHA, Landscapes, Other Landscapes, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Science Tools For Managers, All tags... Southeast CASC, State of the Science, Water, Coasts and Ice, calibration, ecosystem health, environmental flow, hydrologic models, uncertainty, water supply, Fewer tags Structured decision-making to facilitate multi-stakeholder coastal conservation and restoration under climate change uncertainties: case study on barrier islands of the northern Gulf of Mexico (2015) The goal of barrier island restoration in the northern Gulf of Mexico is to restore barrier island morphology using sediment to support the functions and habitats the islands provide. Barrier island restoration typically involves placement of sediment either directly on the island footprint or within the littoral zone for system transport and distribution. The re-engineering of barrier islands presents numerous challenges and uncertainties associated with climate change induced hurricanes/storms and other dynamic components of the system such as sediment availability and erosional trends. The goal of this study was to use a collaborative SDM approach to develop two Bayesian decision network models (DMs) for restoration... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Data Visualization & Tools, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Gulf of Mexico, USA, Mississippi Coastal Improvements Program, All tags... Science Tools For Managers, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Ship Island, Mississippi, USA, Southeast CASC, Water, Coasts and Ice, adaptive management, barrier islands, decision support methods, ecosystem management, Fewer tags Southeast modeling efforts for flow and ecology Stream flows are essential for maintaining healthy aquatic ecosystems and for supporting human water supply needs. Integrated modeling approaches assessing the impact of changes in climate, land use, and water withdrawals on stream flows and the subsequent impact of changes in flow regime on aquatic biota at multiple spatial scales are necessary to insure an adequate supply of water for humans and healthy river ecosystems. This spreadsheet contains an inventory of existing hydrologic models in the Southeast region and Puerto Rico. Data were compiled by contacting federal and state agencies, members of academia, and environmental consultants. Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: ELOHA, Landscapes, Other Landscapes, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Science Tools For Managers, All tags... Southeast CASC, State of the Science, Water, Coasts and Ice, calibration, ecosystem health, environmental flow, hydrologic models, uncertainty, water supply, Fewer tags Changes in Forested Landscapes of the Northeastern U.S. Under Alternative Climate Scenarios Forests in the Eastern United States are in the early- and mid-successional stages recovering from historical land use. Succession, harvest, and climate are potentially important factors affecting forest composition and structure in the region. The goal of this project was to predict the distribution and abundance of dominant tree species across portions of the Eastern U.S. under alternative climate scenarios from present to the end of the century. We used the forest landscape change LANDIS PRO and hybrid empirical-physiological ecosystem model LINKAGES to model changes in forest biomass and species abundances and distribution in the North Atlantic region of the U.S. while accounting for climate change, succession,... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Forests, Landscapes, Northeast CASC, biota, environment RiverWare Daily Simulated values of Streamflow from 2006-2099: Louisiana Daily streamflow and reservoir water elevation data for modeled locations in the Red River Basin. Values reported are for 18 different GCM (Global Climate Model) / RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) / GDM Downscaling scenarios. Climate data from each scenario was input into a Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model, that output flow values. These values were then input into RiverWare, to determine the impacts on regulated flows, lake levels and water availability. RiverWare was used for this project, because of its ability to simulate water use, reservoir operations, and local/interstate regulations. Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Climate Change, Indigenous Peoples, Louisiana, National CASC, Red River, All tags... RiverWare, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, South Central CASC, Tribes and Tribal Organizations, Water Availability, Water, Coasts and Ice, Fewer tags Drought Indicators of the South Central Plains (1981-2014) The South Central U.S. is one of the main agricultural regions in North America: annual agricultural production is valued at more than $44 billion dollars. However, as climate conditions change, the region is experiencing more frequent and severe droughts, with significant impacts on agriculture and broader consequences for land management. For example, in 2011 drought caused an estimated $7.6 billion in agricultural losses in Texas and an additional $1.6 billion in Oklahoma. Although there are many drought monitoring tools available, most of these tools were developed without input from the stakeholders, such as farmers and ranchers, who are intended to use them. The goal of this project is to assess the information... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Data Visualization & Tools, Drought, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Science Tools For Managers, South Central CASC, All tags... agriculture, droughts, statistical analysis, Fewer tags Canada-US Terrestrial Habitat Map This is a 30-meter grid that maps upland and wetland wildlife habitats/ecological systems for the Northeastern US, including all 13 states from Maine to Virginia, west to New York, Pennsylvania and West Virginia, and for the Maritime provinces of Canada (Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, and New Brunswick) and southeastern Quebec. Mapped habitat types are drawn from the Northeastern Terrestrial Habitat Classification System (NETHCS) and from some ecological system types identifed by Canadian ecologists as being unique to Canada. The NETHCS is based on NatureServe’s Ecological Systems Classification, augmented with additional information from individual state wildlife classifications and other information specific... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Canada-Northeast Terrestrial Habitat Map, Ecological systems, Maritime Provinces, NETHCS, Northeast CASC, All tags... Northeast Terrestrial Habitat Classification System, Northeastern US, Southeastern Quebec, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wetlands, Wildlife habitats, biota, environment, Fewer tags Seed biomass from shallow coastal water areas along a salinity gradient in Barataria Bay, Louisiana (2015) This dataset provides bi-monthly data on seed biomass collected in shallow water habitats across the fresh to saline gradient at coastal sites in Barataria Bay, Louisiana. This project was co-funded by the South Central Climate Adaptation Science Center and the Gulf Coast Prairie and the Gulf Coastal Plains and Ozarks Landscape Conservation Cooperatives. An alternate reference to this product can be found here. Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Alabama, Climatology, Gulf of Mexico, Louisiana Coastal, Mississippi Coastal, All tags... Plants, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, South Central CASC, Texas, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), Water, Coasts and Ice, Wetlands, Wildlife and Plants, coastal ecosystems, coastal zones, wetlands, Fewer tags Low-Resolution North Pacific Nearshore Buffer shapefile This shapefile approximates the area less than 20 km offshore of the North Pacific Coastline as defined by the "World Country Boundaries (Generalized)" shapefile distributed by ESRI as part of their Data & Maps data series. Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, Shapefile; Tags: Asian Pacific, National CASC, North Pacific, Pacific Coast, Pacific Northwest, All tags... Pacific Ocean, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Water, Coasts and Ice, buffer, clip, coastlines, shapefile, Fewer tags U.S. Gulf of Mexico coast (TX, MS, AL, and FL) Macroclimate Landscape and Climate Data (2013-2014) The northern Gulf of Mexico coast spans two major climate gradients and represents an excellent natural laboratory for developing climate-influenced ecological models. In this project, we used these zones of remarkable transition to develop macroclimate-based models for quantifying the regional responses of coastal wetland ecosystems to climate variation. In addition to providing important fish and wildlife habitat and supporting coastal food webs, these coastal wetlands provide many ecosystem goods and services including clean water, stable coastlines, food, recreational opportunities, and stored carbon. Our objective was to examine and forecast the effects of macroclimatic drivers on wetland ecosystem structure... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Corpus Christi, Galveston, Grand Bay, Gulf of Mexico, Laguna Madre, All tags... Port Aransas, San Antonio, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Slidell, South Central CASC, State of Alabama, State of Florida, State of Louisiana, State of Mississippi, State of Texas, Tampa Bay, Ten Thousand Islands, Water, Coasts and Ice, Weeks Bay, Wetlands, climate, climate, elevation, elevation, landscape, landscape, latitude, latitude, longitude, longitude, Fewer tags U.S. Gulf of Mexico coast (TX, MS, AL, and FL) Macroclimate Vegetation Data Section 1 (2013-2014) The northern Gulf of Mexico coast spans two major climate gradients and represents an excellent natural laboratory for developing climate-influenced ecological models. In this project, we used these zones of remarkable transition to develop macroclimate-based models for quantifying the regional responses of coastal wetland ecosystems to climate variation. In addition to providing important fish and wildlife habitat and supporting coastal food webs, these coastal wetlands provide many ecosystem goods and services including clean water, stable coastlines, food, recreational opportunities, and stored carbon. Our objective was to examine and forecast the effects of macroclimatic drivers on wetland ecosystem structure... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Corpus Christi, Galveston, Grand Bay, Gulf of Mexico, Laguna Madre, All tags... Port Aransas, San Antonio, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Slidell, South Central CASC, State of Alabama, State of Florida, State of Louisiana, State of Mississippi, State of Texas, Tampa Bay, Ten Thousand Islands, Water, Coasts and Ice, Weeks Bay, Wetlands, environment, vegetation, vegetation, Fewer tags Model simulation and Expected Value of Information code This code was used in a simulated decision analysis project designed to evaluate the value of different kinds of information with regard to making optimal investments in invasive plant control programs. The code was developed in the R programming environment. The file "sim_code.R" contains the initialization of the parameters and analysis; the file "pop_sim.ccp" is a C++ program that executes the actual simulation and returns the results to R. We developed a hypothetical scenario in which a manager is tasked with control of invasive plants on 100 management units each 100 ha in size. 90 of these units were assumed to be under private management and 10 were assumed to be conservation units (i.e. under public management).... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Data Visualization & Tools, Iowa, Landscape Conservation Cooperatives, Minnesota, North Central CASC, All tags... North Dakota, Science Tools for Managers, South Dakota, decision analysis, invasive weed management, simulation model, value-of-information analysis, Fewer tags Temperate Northern Pacific Nearshore Points shapefile This point shapefile approximates locations within 20 km of the North Pacific Coastline, as defined by the "World Country Boundaries (Generalized)" shapefile distributed by ESRI as part of their Data & Maps data series. They are based on raster data at 4 km resolution. Therefore there are between 3-5 points extending out from each location along the shoreline (at 4 km intervals). Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, Shapefile; Tags: Aleutian, Asian Pacific, BC, Baja, British Columbia, All tags... CA, California, Canada, China, Gulf of Alaska, Japan, Kamchatka, Korea, Kuroshio, National CASC, North America, North Pacific, OR, Oregon, Oyashio, Pacific Northwest, Pacific Ocean, Russia, SST, Sea of Okhotsk, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Vancouver, WA, Washington, Water, Coasts and Ice, Yellow Sea, coast, coastal zone, coastline, location, oceans, points, sea surface temperature, shapefile, shore, shoreline, Fewer tags RiverWare Daily Simulated values of Streamflow from 2006-2099: Texas Daily streamflow and reservoir water elevation data for modeled locations in the Red River Basin. Values reported are for 18 different GCM (Global Climate Model) / RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) / GDM Downscaling scenarios. Climate data from each scenario was input into a Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model, that output flow values. These values were then input into RiverWare, to determine the impacts on regulated flows, lake levels and water availability. RiverWare was used for this project, because of its ability to simulate water use, reservoir operations, and local/interstate regulations. Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Climate Change, Indigenous Peoples, National CASC, Red River, RiverWare, All tags... Rivers, Streams and Lakes, South Central CASC, Texas, Tribes and Tribal Organizations, Water Availability, Water, Coasts and Ice, Fewer tags 1 2 »