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Vulnerability of Breeding Waterbirds to Climate Change in the Prairie Pothole Region The Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) of the north-central U.S. and south-central Canada contains millions of small prairie wetlands that provide critical habitat to many migrating and breeding waterbirds. Due to their small size and the relatively dry climate of the region, these wetlands are considered at high risk for negative climate change effects as temperatures increase. To estimate the potential impacts of climate change on breeding waterbirds, we predicted current and future distributions of species common in the PPR using species distribution models (SDMs). We created regional-scale SDMs for the U.S. PPR using Breeding Bird Survey occurrence records for 1971–2011 and wetland, upland, and climate variables.... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2010, 2011, 2012, Climate change, Conservation NGOs, All tags... Datasets/Database, Decision Support, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Landscape Conservation Cooperatives, Plains and Prairie Potholes Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Prairie Pothole Region, Presentation, Publication, Regional & county planners, Report, State agencies, Training/Outreach/Workshop, Vulnerability Assessment, avian conservation, climate models, completed, downscale climate models, environment, environment, migratory birds, plains and prairie potholes landscape conservation cooperative, Fewer tags The Washington-British Columbia Transboundary Climate-Connectivity Project This project gallery includes all project reports and associated assessment materials, including interactive and downloadable connectivity and climate datasets for the project " Creating Practitioner-driven, Science-based Plans for Connectivity Conservation in a Changing Climate: A Collaborative Assessment of Climate-Connectivity Needs in the Washington-British Columbia Transboundary Region". Categories: Data, Web Site; Types: Downloadable, Map Service, Raster, Static Map Image; Tags: Climatic Niche Model, Data Visualization & Tools, Dry Spell, Frost Days, Landscapes, All tags... Map Layer Package, Northwest CASC, Other Landscapes, Precipitation, Precipitation gradient, Science Tools For Managers, Snowpack, Soil Moisture, Water deficit, climate change, climate models, distribution, vegetation modeling, Fewer tags Current and Future Abundance of North Pacific Birds in the Context of Climate Change - GIS Files This project acquired, federated and curated approximately one million new observations to the Avian Knowledge Network. These new observations, in addition to millions of existing records, were used to model the distribution and abundance of 26 species of land birds in the southern portion of the North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative (NPLCC) region including CA, OR and WA. The models were based on climate and modeled vegetation.Using the models, maps were created showing the distribution and abundance of each species for current (late 20th century) conditions and projected the models to future conditions (2070) based on five regional climate models. The bird models were also used to create maps of conservation... Categories: Data; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, Academics & scientific researchers, Assessenspecies migration, BIOSPHERICINDICATORS, CA-2, All tags... CA-2, California, California, Climate Change, Conservation Planning, Conservation Planning, Conservation Planning, Conservation Planning and Design, Data.gov North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Decision Support, Decision Support, Decision Support Tools and Data, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, NPLCC, NPLCC, NPLCC, North Pacific Birds, North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative, OR-1, OR-1, OR-3, OR-3, OR-4, OR-4, OR-5, OR-5, Oregon, Oregon, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Pre-Strategy, 2013, Science Project, State agencies, WA-1, WA-1, WA-10, WA-10, WA-2, WA-2, WA-3, WA-3, WA-6, WA-6, WA-7, WA-7, WA-9, WA-9, Washington, Washington, abundance, abundance, climate models, climate models, completed, dataset, distribution, distribution, geoscientificInformation, land birds, north Pacific birds, product, Fewer tags Observed Percent Suitable Prescribed Burn Days - Summer 1980-2017 ​This map shows the observed percentage of suitable prescribed burning days in the south-eastern United States during the summer season (June to August) for the years 1980 to 2017. Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: climate change, climate change, climate models Percent Suitable Prescribed Burn Days - Summer 2010-2099 - RCP 4.5 This map shows the projected percentage of suitable prescribed burning days in the south-eastern United States during the summer season (June to August) for the years 2010 to 2099. Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: climate change, climate change, climate change, climate models Current and Future Distribution and Abundance of North Pacific Birds in the Context of Climate Change This project acquired, federated and curated approximately one million new observations to the Avian Knowledge Network. These new observations, in addition to millions of existing records, were used to model the distribution and abundance of 26 species of land birds in the southern portion of the North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative (NPLCC) region including CA, OR and WA. The models were based on climate and modeled vegetation.Using the models, maps were created showing the distribution and abundance of each species for current (late 20th century) conditions and projected the models to future conditions (2070) based on five regional climate models. The bird models were also used to create maps of conservation... Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, Academics & scientific researchers, Applications and Tools, Assessenspecies migration, BIOSPHERICINDICATORS, All tags... CA-2, CA-2, California, California, California, California, Climate Change, Conservation Planning, Conservation Planning, Conservation Planning, Conservation Planning and Design, Datasets/Database, Decision Support, Decision Support, Decision Support Tools and Data, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, NPLCC, NPLCC, NPLCC, North Pacific Birds, North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative, OR-1, OR-1, OR-1, OR-1, OR-3, OR-3, OR-3, OR-3, OR-4, OR-4, OR-4, OR-4, OR-5, OR-5, OR-5, OR-5, Oregon, Oregon, Oregon, Oregon, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Pre-Strategy, 2013, Project, Report, Science Project, State agencies, WA-1, WA-1, WA-1, WA-1, WA-10, WA-10, WA-10, WA-10, WA-2, WA-2, WA-2, WA-2, WA-3, WA-3, WA-3, WA-3, WA-6, WA-6, WA-6, WA-6, WA-7, WA-7, WA-7, WA-7, WA-9, WA-9, WA-9, WA-9, Washington, Washington, Washington, Washington, abundance, abundance, abundance, abundance, climate models, climate models, climate models, climate models, completed, distribution, distribution, distribution, distribution, land birds, north Pacific birds, product, Fewer tags Observed Percent Suitable Prescribed Burn Days - Fall 1980-2017 ​This map shows the observed percentage of suitable prescribed burning days in the south-eastern United States during the fall season (September to November) for the years 1980 to 2017. Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: climate change, climate change, climate models Implications of climate change for wetland-dependent birds in the Prairie Potholes Region The habitats and food resources required to support breeding and migrant birds dependent on North American prairie wetlands are threatened by impending climate change. The North American Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) hosts nearly 120 species of wetland-dependent birds representing 21 families. Strategic management requires knowledge of avian habitat requirements and assessment of species most vulnerable to future threats. We applied bioclimatic species distribution models (SDMs) to project range changes of 29 wetland-dependent bird species using ensemble modeling techniques, a large number of General Circulation Models (GCMs), and hydrological climate covariates. For the U.S. PPR, mean projected range change, expressed... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2010, 2011, 2012, Climate change, Conservation NGOs, All tags... Datasets/Database, Decision Support, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Landscape Conservation Cooperatives, Plains and Prairie Potholes Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Prairie Pothole Region, Presentation, Publication, Regional & county planners, Report, State agencies, Training/Outreach/Workshop, Vulnerability Assessment, avian conservation, climate models, completed, downscale climate models, environment, environment, migratory birds, plains and prairie potholes landscape conservation cooperative, Fewer tags Designing ecological climate change impact assessments to reflect key climatic drivers Identifying the climatic drivers of an ecological system is a key step in assessing its vulnerability to climate change. Theclimatic dimensions to which a species or system is most sensitive – such as means or extremes – can guide methodologicaldecisions for projections of ecological impacts and vulnerabilities. However, scientific workflows for combining climateprojections with ecological models have received little explicit attention. We review Global Climate Model (GCM)performance along different dimensions of change and compare frameworks for integrating GCM output into ecologicalmodels. In systems sensitive to climatological means, it is straightforward to base ecological impact assessments onmean projected... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2010, 2011, 2012, Climate change, Conservation NGOs, All tags... Datasets/Database, Decision Support, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Landscape Conservation Cooperatives, Plains and Prairie Potholes Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Prairie Pothole Region, Presentation, Publication, Regional & county planners, Report, State agencies, Training/Outreach/Workshop, Vulnerability Assessment, avian conservation, climate models, completed, downscale climate models, environment, environment, migratory birds, plains and prairie potholes landscape conservation cooperative, Fewer tags Capture of Down-Scale Climate Change Models. Part B: The Application of High Resolution Climate Models for Avian Conservation This project will develop species distribution models (SDM) to evaluate current and future occurrence and density of wetland-dependent birds relative to several predictors, including land use patterns, wetland condition and connectivity, geomorphic setting and climate. These tools will suggest which wetland-dependent bird species appear most vulnerable to climate and land use change based on the expected extent of range change under various scenarios. Knowledge of natural history and habitat associations of species coupled with coefficients from regression models will provide insight into the potential reasons for species vulnerability. This information will be valuable in the development of management strategies. Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2010, 2011, 2012, Conservation NGOs, Datasets/Database, All tags... Decision Support, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Landscape Conservation Cooperatives, Plains and Prairie Potholes Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Project, Report, State agencies, Tribes, Vulnerability Assessment, climate change, climate models, completed, environment, environment, migratory birds, plains and prairie potholes landscape conservation cooperative, Fewer tags Observed Percent Suitable Prescribed Burn Days - Spring 1980-2017 ​This map shows the observed percentage of suitable prescribed burning days in the south-eastern United States during the spring season (March to May) for the years 1980 to 2017. Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: climate change, climate change, climate models CMIP5 Climate Projection Deltas This model was used in Camouflage mismatch in seasonal coat color due to decreased snow duration (Mills et al. 2013, PNAS). Information about this model and analysis can be found at: http://www.pnas.org/content/110/18/7360.abstract. Categories: Data; Tags: Mammals, National CASC, Wildlife and Plants, camouflage, climate models Sediment Accumulation in Prairie Wetlands under a Changing Climate: the Relative Roles of Landscape and Precipitation Sediment accumulation threatens the viability and hydrologic functioning of many naturally formed depressional wetlands across the interior regions of North America. These wetlands provide many ecosystem services and vital habitats for diverse plant and animal communities. Climate change may further impact sediment accumulation rates in the context of current land use patterns. We estimated sediment accretion in wetlands within a region renowned for its large populations of breeding waterfowl and migrant shorebirds and examined the relative roles of precipitation and land use context in the sedimentation process. We modeled rates of sediment accumulation from 1971 through 2100 using the Revised Universal Soil Loss... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Climate change, Conservation NGOs, Datasets/Database, Decision Support, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, All tags... Federal resource managers, Landscape Conservation Cooperatives, Presentation, Regional & county planners, Report, State agencies, Training/Outreach/Workshop, Vulnerability Assessment, avian conservation, climate models, downscale climate models, environment, environment, migratory birds, plains and prairie potholes landscape conservation cooperative, publication, Fewer tags Observed Percent Suitable Prescribed Burn Days - Winter 1980-2017 ​This map shows the observed percentage of suitable prescribed burning days in the south-eastern United States during the winter season (December to February) for the years 1980 to 2017. Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: climate change, climate change, climate models Projected wetland densities under climate change: habitat loss but little geographic shift in conservation strategy Climate change poses major challenges for conservation and management because it alters the area, quality, and spatial distribution of habitat for natural populations. To assess species’ vulnerability to climate change and target ongoing conservation investments, researchers and managers often consider the effects of projected changes in climate and land use on future habitat availability and quality and the uncertainty associated with these projections. Here, we draw on tools from hydrology and climate science to project the impact of climate change on the density of wetlands in the Prairie Pothole Region of the USA, a critical area for breeding waterfowl and other wetland-dependent species. We evaluate the potential... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2010, 2011, 2012, Climate change, Conservation NGOs, All tags... Datasets/Database, Decision Support, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Landscape Conservation Cooperatives, Plains and Prairie Potholes Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Prairie Pothole Region, Presentation, Publication, Regional & county planners, Report, State agencies, Training/Outreach/Workshop, Vulnerability Assessment, avian conservation, climate models, completed, downscale climate models, environment, environment, migratory birds, plains and prairie potholes landscape conservation cooperative, Fewer tags Capture and interpretation of down-scaled climate change models to benefit avian conservation Will downscale climate data using statistical and dynamical approaches and project future climate at an 8-km grid resolution. Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2010, 2011, 2012, Climate change, Conservation NGOs, All tags... Datasets/Database, Decision Support, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Landscape Conservation Cooperatives, Plains and Prairie Potholes Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Prairie Pothole Region, Presentation, Project, Regional & county planners, Report, State agencies, Training/Outreach/Workshop, Vulnerability Assessment, avian conservation, climate models, completed, downscale climate models, environment, environment, migratory birds, plains and prairie potholes landscape conservation cooperative, Fewer tags Percent Suitable Prescribed Burn Days - Spring 2010-2099 - RCP 4.5 This map shows the projected percentage of suitable prescribed burning days in the south-eastern United States during the spring season (March to May) for the years 2010 to 2099. Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: climate change, climate change, climate change, climate models Percent Suitable Prescribed Burn Days - Fall 2010-2099 - RCP 4.5 This map shows the projected percentage of suitable prescribed burning days in the south-eastern United States during the fall season (September to November) for the years 2010 to 2099. Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: climate change, climate change, climate change, climate models Percent Suitable Prescribed Burn Days - Winter 2010-2099 - RCP 4.5 This map shows the projected percentage of suitable prescribed burning days in the south-eastern United States during the winter season (December to February) for the years 2010 to 2099. Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: climate change, climate change, climate change, climate models, fires, All tags... weather, Fewer tags