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Local-scale projections of coral reef futures and implications of the Paris Agreement These data are netcdf files of the projected timing of the onset of thermal stress severe enough (>8 Degree Heating Weeks) to cause coral bleaching 2x per decade and 10x per decade (annual) under emissions scenarios RCP8.5 and RCP4.5. The projected timing (a year between 2006 and 2100) is the data value. Values are only shown for the ~60,000 four-km pixels where coral reefs are known to occur. Categories: Data; Types: Citation, NetCDF OPeNDAP Service; Tags: Climate change, Coral bleaching, Coral reefs, Global, Marine ecology, All tags... Model projections, Pacific Islands CASC, Resilience, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Vulnerability, Water, Coasts and Ice, Fewer tags Publication: A blind spot in climate change Full life-cycle vulnerability assessments are identifying the effects of climate change on nongame migratory birds that are of conservation concern and breed in the upper Midwest and Great Lakes region. Full life-cycle analyses are critical, as current efforts likely underestimate the vulnerability of migratory land birds due to a focus on assessing only one component of the annual cycle. The approach provides a framework for integrating exposure to climate changes, sensitivity to these changes, and the potential for adaptation in both winter and summer seasons, and accounts for carry-over effects from one season to another. The results of this work will inform regional management by highlighting both local and... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, 2011, 2012, 2012, 2013, All tags... 2013, Conservation NGOs, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, Federal resource managers, Great Lakes, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Landscape Conservation Cooperatives, Publication, Report, State agencies, Tribes, Upper Midwest and Great Lakes Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Vulnerability Assessment, climate change, completed, environment, environment, migratory birds, upper midwest, vulnerability, Fewer tags Tsunami Evacuation Travel Time Map for Humboldt County, CA, 2010, for Bridges Intact and a Fast Walking Speed The travel time map was generated using the Pedestrian Evacuation Analyst model from the USGS. The travel time analysis uses ESRI's Path Distance tool to find the shortest distance across a cost surface from any point in the hazard zone to a safe zone. This cost analysis considers the direction of movement and assigns a higher cost to steeper slopes, based on a table contained within the model. The analysis also adds in the energy costs of crossing different types of land cover, assuming that less energy is expended walking along a road than walking across a sandy beach. To produce the time map, the evacuation surface output from the model is grouped into 1-minute increments for easier visualization. The times in... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, Shapefile; Tags: Humboldt County, evacuation, hazard preparedness, hazards, tsunamis, All tags... vulnerability, Fewer tags Tsunami Evacuation Travel Time Map for Del Norte County, CA, 2010, for Bridges Intact and a Fast Walking Speed The travel time map was generated using the Pedestrian Evacuation Analyst model from the USGS. The travel time analysis uses ESRI's Path Distance tool to find the shortest distance across a cost surface from any point in the hazard zone to a safe zone. This cost analysis considers the direction of movement and assigns a higher cost to steeper slopes, based on a table contained within the model. The analysis also adds in the energy costs of crossing different types of land cover, assuming that less energy is expended walking along a road than walking across a sandy beach. To produce the time map, the evacuation surface output from the model is grouped into 1-minute increments for easier visualization. The times in... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, Shapefile; Tags: Del Norte County, evacuation, hazard preparedness, hazards, tsunamis, All tags... vulnerability, Fewer tags Exposure potential of saltmarsh units in Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge to environmental health stressors (polygon shapefile) Natural and anthropogenic contaminants, pathogens, and viruses are found in soils and sediments throughout the United States. Enhanced dispersion and concentration of these environmental health stressors in coastal regions can result from sea level rise and storm-derived disturbances. The combination of existing environmental health stressors and those mobilized by natural or anthropogenic disasters could adversely impact the health and resilience of coastal communities and ecosystems. This dataset displays the exposure potential to environmental health stressors in the Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge (EBFNWR), which spans over Great Bay, Little Egg Harbor, and Barnegat Bay in New Jersey, USA. Exposure... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Citation, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: Atlantic Ocean, Barnegat Bay, Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge, Great Bay, Little Egg Island, All tags... New Jersey, United States, coastal ecosystems, coastal processes, contaminant transport, contamination, ecological processes, ecotoxicology, environment, environmental assessment, estuary, facility registry service, inlandWaters, marsh health, oceans, polygon shapefile, resilience, salt marsh, sediment, sedimentation, toxic release inventory, vegetation, vulnerability, wetland ecosystems, wetland ecosystems, wetland functions, Fewer tags Tsunami Evacuation Travel Time Map for Humboldt County, CA, 2010, for Bridges Removed and a Fast Walking Speed The travel time map was generated using the Pedestrian Evacuation Analyst model from the USGS. The travel time analysis uses ESRI's Path Distance tool to find the shortest distance across a cost surface from any point in the hazard zone to a safe zone. This cost analysis considers the direction of movement and assigns a higher cost to steeper slopes, based on a table contained within the model. The analysis also adds in the energy costs of crossing different types of land cover, assuming that less energy is expended walking along a road than walking across a sandy beach. To produce the time map, the evacuation surface output from the model is grouped into 1-minute increments for easier visualization. The times in... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, Shapefile; Tags: Humboldt County, evacuation, hazard preparedness, hazards, tsunamis, All tags... vulnerability, Fewer tags Change in salinity exposure of salt marsh units in Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge, New Jersey during Hurricane Sandy As part of the Hurricane Sandy Science Plan, the U.S. Geological Survey is expanding National Assessment of Coastal Change Hazards and forecast products to coastal wetlands. The intent is to provide federal, state, and local managers with tools to estimate the vulnerability of coastal wetlands to various factors and to evaluate their ecosystem service potential. For this purpose, the response and resilience of coastal wetlands to physical factors need to be assessed in terms of the ensuing change to their vulnerability and ecosystem services. Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge (EBFNWR), New Jersey, was selected as a pilot study area. As part of this data synthesis effort, hydrodynamic and sediment transport... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Citation, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: Atlantic Ocean, Barnegat Bay, Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge, Great Bay, Little Egg Island, All tags... New Jersey, United States, coastal ecosystems, coastal processes, contamination, ecological processes, environment, environment, environmental assessment, estuary, inlandWaters, marsh health, oceans, polygon shapefile, resilience, salinity, salinity, salinity exposure, salt marsh, vegetation, vegetation, vulnerability, wetland ecosystems, wetland functions, Fewer tags Tsunami Evacuation Travel Time Map for Humboldt County, CA, 2010, for Bridges Intact and a Slow Walking Speed The travel time map was generated using the Pedestrian Evacuation Analyst model from the USGS. The travel time analysis uses ESRI's Path Distance tool to find the shortest distance across a cost surface from any point in the hazard zone to a safe zone. This cost analysis considers the direction of movement and assigns a higher cost to steeper slopes, based on a table contained within the model. The analysis also adds in the energy costs of crossing different types of land cover, assuming that less energy is expended walking along a road than walking across a sandy beach. To produce the time map, the evacuation surface output from the model is grouped into 1-minute increments for easier visualization. The times in... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, Shapefile; Tags: Humboldt County, evacuation, hazard preparedness, hazards, tsunamis, All tags... vulnerability, Fewer tags Shoreline change rates in salt marsh units in Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge, New Jersey Monitoring shoreline change is of interest in many coastal areas because it enables quantification of land loss over time. Evolution of shoreline position is determined by the balance between erosion and accretion along the coast. In the case of salt marshes, erosion along the water boundary causes a loss of ecosystem services, such as habitat provision, carbon storage, and wave attenuation. In terms of vulnerability, higher shoreline erosion rates indicate higher vulnerability. This dataset displays shoreline change rates at the Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge (EBFNWR), which spans over Great Bay, Little Egg Harbor, and Barnegat Bay in New Jersey, USA. Shoreline change rates are based on... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Citation, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: Aquatic Biology, Atlantic Ocean, Barnegat Bay, Barnegat bay, Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge, All tags... Environmental Health, Geophysics, Great Bay, Land Use Change, Little Egg Island, Marine Geology, New Jersey, New Jersey, Soil Sciences, United States, Water Quality, Water Resources, accretion, coastal ecosystems, coastal processes, coastline, ecological processes, environment, environmental assessment, estuary, inlandWaters, marsh health, oceans, polygon shapefile, resilience, salt marsh, sediment, shoreline, shoreline change, vegetation, vegetation, vulnerability, wetland ecosystems, wetland functions, Fewer tags Sea-level rise projections for and observational data of tidal marshes along the California coast The overarching goal of this research was to use site-specific data to develop local and regionally-applicable climate change models that inform management of tidal wetlands along the Pacific Northwest coast. The overarching questions were: (1) how do tidal marsh site characteristics vary across estuaries, and (2) does tidal marsh susceptibility to sea-level rise (SLR) vary along a latitudinal gradient and between estuaries? These questions are addressed in this data collection with three specific objectives: (1) measure topographical and ecological characteristics (e.g., elevation, tidal range, vegetation composition) for tidal marsh and intertidal mudflats, (2) model SLR vulnerability of these habitats, and (3)... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, Bolinas Lagoon, CA, CASC, California, All tags... Coastal, Coastal Habitats, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Education, Modeling and Tools, Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Federal, Humboldt Bay, Morro Bay, Newport Bay, Pt. Mugu, SF Bay/Delta, San Pablo Bay, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Southwest CASC, Southwest CASC, Tijuana River, Water and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, animals, assessment, birds, climate change, coastal, conservation, dem, downscale, dynamical, gcm, geomorphology, gis, hydrology, intertidal, management, marsh, model, multiple, nearshore, plants, sea level rise, sediment, sf bay, shoals, slr, storm, tidal, vegetation, vulnerability, wrf, Fewer tags Change in salinity in salt marsh units in Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge, New Jersey during Hurricane Sandy As part of the Hurricane Sandy Science Plan, the U.S. Geological Survey is expanding National Assessment of Coastal Change Hazards and forecast products to coastal wetlands. The intent is to provide federal, state, and local managers with tools to estimate the vulnerability of coastal wetlands to various factors and to evaluate their ecosystem service potential. For this purpose, the response and resilience of coastal wetlands to physical factors need to be assessed in terms of the ensuing change to their vulnerability and ecosystem services. Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge (EBFNWR), New Jersey, was selected as a pilot study area. As part of this data synthesis effort, hydrodynamic and sediment transport... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Citation, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: Atlantic Ocean, Barnegat Bay, Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge, Great Bay, Little Egg Island, All tags... New Jersey, United States, coastal ecosystems, coastal processes, contamination, ecological processes, environment, environment, environmental assessment, estuary, inlandWaters, marsh health, oceans, polygon shapefile, resilience, salinity, salinity, salt marsh, vegetation, vegetation, vulnerability, wetland ecosystems, wetland functions, Fewer tags Publication: Climate variability drives population cycling and synchrony There is mounting concern that climate change will lead to the collapse of cyclic population dynamics, yet the influence of climate variability on population cycling remains poorly understood. We hypothesized that variability in survival and fecundity, driven by climate variability at different points in the life cycle, scales up from local populations to drive regional characteristics of population cycling and spatial synchronization. Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: 2010, 2011, 2013, 2013, Academics & scientific researchers, All tags... Conservation NGOs, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Landscape Conservation Cooperatives, Publication, Report, State agencies, Tribes, Upper Midwest and Great Lakes Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Vulnerability Assessment, climate change, completed, environment, environment, great lakes, upper midwest, vulnerability, Fewer tags Tsunami Evacuation Travel Time Map for Del Norte County, CA, 2010, for Bridges Intact and a Slow Walking Speed The travel time map was generated using the Pedestrian Evacuation Analyst model from the USGS. The travel time analysis uses ESRI's Path Distance tool to find the shortest distance across a cost surface from any point in the hazard zone to a safe zone. This cost analysis considers the direction of movement and assigns a higher cost to steeper slopes, based on a table contained within the model. The analysis also adds in the energy costs of crossing different types of land cover, assuming that less energy is expended walking along a road than walking across a sandy beach. To produce the time map, the evacuation surface output from the model is grouped into 1-minute increments for easier visualization. The times in... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, Shapefile; Tags: Del Norte County, evacuation, hazard preparedness, hazards, tsunamis, All tags... vulnerability, Fewer tags Well characteristics, water quality and age-date tracer data for wells along two regional flow paths in the Memphis aquifer, southwest Tennessee In 2013, water-quality and age-date tracer samples were collected at wells located along two flow paths in the Memphis aquifer, southwest Tennessee, as part of the National Water Quality Assessment (NAWQA) Project of the National Water-Quality Program to better understand the vulnerability of the aquifer to contamination.. Each flow path began in the aquifer outcrop area (shallow well depths) and ended at public supply wells (deep well depths) in Memphis, TN in the confined parts of the aquifer. This data release includes results for samples collected as part of this study and information for additional wells that provided supplemental data near the end of each flow path to support the findings in "Fraction of young... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Memphis, Tennessee, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), groundwater age, groundwater flow path, vulnerability, All tags... water supply, Fewer tags Inferred hydrodynamic residence time in salt marsh units in Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge, New Jersey As part of the Hurricane Sandy Science Plan, the U.S. Geological Survey is expanding National Assessment of Coastal Change Hazards and forecast products to coastal wetlands. The intent is to provide federal, state, and local managers with tools to estimate the vulnerability of coastal wetlands to various factors and to evaluate their ecosystem service potential. For this purpose, the response and resilience of coastal wetlands to physical factors need to be assessed in terms of the ensuing change to their vulnerability and ecosystem services. Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge (EBFNWR), New Jersey, was selected as a pilot study area. As part of this data synthesis effort, hydrodynamic and sediment transport... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Citation, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: Atlantic Ocean, Barnegat Bay, Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge, Great Bay, Little Egg Island, All tags... New Jersey, United States, coastal ecosystems, coastal processes, contaminant transport, contamination, ecological processes, environment, environmental assessment, estuary, flushing, inlandWaters, marsh health, oceans, polygon shapefile, residence time, resilience, salt marsh, vegetation, vulnerability, wetland ecosystems, wetland functions, Fewer tags Raster image of exposure potential to environmental health stressors in Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge (32-bit GeoTIFF) Natural and anthropogenic contaminants, pathogens, and viruses are found in soils and sediments throughout the United States. Enhanced dispersion and concentration of these environmental health stressors in coastal regions can result from sea level rise and storm-derived disturbances. The combination of existing environmental health stressors and those mobilized by natural or anthropogenic disasters could adversely impact the health and resilience of coastal communities and ecosystems. This dataset displays the exposure potential to environmental health stressors in the Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge (EBFNWR), which spans over Great Bay, Little Egg Harbor, and Barnegat Bay in New Jersey, USA. Exposure... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Citation, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: Atlantic Ocean, Barnegat Bay, Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge, Great Bay, Little Egg Island, All tags... New Jersey, United States, coastal ecosystems, coastal processes, contaminant transport, contamination, ecological processes, ecotoxicology, environment, environmental assessment, estuary, facility registry service, inlandWaters, marsh health, oceans, polygon shapefile, resilience, salt marsh, sediment, sedimentation, toxic release inventory, vegetation, vulnerability, wetland ecosystems, wetland ecosystems, wetland functions, Fewer tags Change in suspended sediment concentration over the salt marsh units in Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge, New Jersey during Hurricane Sandy As part of the Hurricane Sandy Science Plan, the U.S. Geological Survey is expanding National Assessment of Coastal Change Hazards and forecast products to coastal wetlands. The intent is to provide federal, state, and local managers with tools to estimate the vulnerability of coastal wetlands to various factors and to evaluate their ecosystem service potential. For this purpose, the response and resilience of coastal wetlands to physical factors need to be assessed in terms of the ensuing change to their vulnerability and ecosystem services. Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge (EBFNWR), New Jersey, was selected as a pilot study area. As part of this data synthesis effort, hydrodynamic and sediment transport... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Citation, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: Atlantic Ocean, Barnegat Bay, Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge, Great Bay, Little Egg Island, All tags... New Jersey, United States, coastal ecosystems, coastal processes, environment, environmental assessment, estuary, inlandWaters, marsh health, oceans, polygon shapefile, resilience, salt marsh, suspended sediment concentration, vegetation, vegetation, vulnerability, wetland ecosystems, wetland functions, Fewer tags Publication: Demographic consequences of climate change and land cover help explain a history of extirpations and range contraction in a declining snake species Developing conservation strategies for threatened species increasingly requires understanding vulnerabilities to climate change, in terms of both demographic sensitivities to climatic and other environmental factors, and exposure to variability in those factors over time and space. Weconducted a range-wide, spatially explicit climate change vulnerability assessment for Eastern Massasauga (Sistrurus catenatus), a declining endemic species in a region showing strong environmental change. Using active season and winter adult survival estimates derived from 17 data sets throughout the species’ range, we identified demographic sensitivities to winter drought, maximum precipitation during the summer, and the proportion... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: 2010, 2011, 2013, 2013, Academics & scientific researchers, All tags... Conservation NGOs, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Landscape Conservation Cooperatives, Publication, Report, State agencies, Tribes, Upper Midwest and Great Lakes Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Vulnerability Assessment, climate change, completed, environment, environment, great lakes, upper midwest, vulnerability, Fewer tags Tsunami Evacuation Travel Time Map for Del Norte County, CA, 2010, for Bridges Removed and a Slow Walking Speed The travel time map was generated using the Pedestrian Evacuation Analyst model from the USGS. The travel time analysis uses ESRI's Path Distance tool to find the shortest distance across a cost surface from any point in the hazard zone to a safe zone. This cost analysis considers the direction of movement and assigns a higher cost to steeper slopes, based on a table contained within the model. The analysis also adds in the energy costs of crossing different types of land cover, assuming that less energy is expended walking along a road than walking across a sandy beach. To produce the time map, the evacuation surface output from the model is grouped into 1-minute increments for easier visualization. The times in... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, Shapefile; Tags: Del Norte County, evacuation, hazard preparedness, hazards, tsunamis, All tags... vulnerability, Fewer tags Population vulnerability of marine birds within the California Current System Six metrics were used to determine Population Vulnerability: global population size, annual occurrence in the California Current System (CCS), percent of the population present in the CCS, threat status, breeding score, and annual adult survival. Global Population size (POP)—to determine population size estimates for each species we gathered information tabulated by American Bird Conservancy, Birdlife International, and other primary sources. Proportion of Population in CCS (CCSpop)—for each species, we generated the population size within the CCS by averaging region-wide population estimates, or by combining state estimates for California, Oregon, and Washington for each species (if estimates were not available... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Biota, California, California Current System, Environment, Ocean wind energy, All tags... Oregon, Pacific Outer Continental Shelf, Renewable energy, Seabirds, Vulnerability, Washington, Fewer tags 1 2 »