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Assessing and Mapping Rare Plant Species Vulnerability to Climate Change This project used species distribution modeling to assess the risk to habitat change under various climate change scenarios for rare plants. To predict the response of rare plant species to climate change, the project modeled the current distribution of the species using climate and environmental data (e.g., soils, disturbance, land-use), use these models to predict the species distribution given climate change, calculate current and future range size, calculate the amount of overlap of predicted future distribution with current distribution, and assess where barriers and protected areas are located with reference to the change in species distribution. Given the results of the distribution modeling, each species... Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2010, CA, CA-wide, California, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, All tags... Conservation NGOs, Conservation Planning, Conservation planning, Datasets/Database, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Project, Science Project, Southwest CSC, State agencies, Vulnerability Assessment, Vulnerability Assessment, assessment, completed, environment, mapping, multiple, vulnerability, Fewer tags Tidal Marsh Bird Population and Habitat Assessment This project assessed the potential effects of climate change on tidal marsh habitats and bird populations, identified priority sites for tidal marsh conservation and restoration, and developed a web-based mapping tool for managers to interactively display and query results. Project results can be found at PRBO’s San Francisco Bay Sea-Level Rise Website Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2010, 2013, Applications and Tools, CA, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, All tags... Conservation NGOs, Decision Support, Decision support, Estuarine, Federal, Federal resource managers, Informing Conservation Delivery, Informing Conservation Delivery, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Marine, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Population and Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Private land owners, Project, SF Bay/Delta, San Francisco Bay, Science Project, Tidal, Training/Outreach/Workshop, adaptation, birds, completed, conservation, decision support tool, environment, gis, levee, management, mapping, on-line, restoration, salinity, scenario planning, scenarios, sea level rise, sediment, shorebirds, slr, south bay salt ponds, tidal marsh, wetlands, Fewer tags San Francisco Bay Area Upland Habitat Goals This project completed a Conservation Lands Network for biodiversity preservation which includes an on-line decision support tool, a GIS database, a computer software for finer scale planning, and a report card template. Project results may be found at The Conservation Lands Network website. Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2010, Applications and Tools, CA, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Conservation NGOs, All tags... Conservation Plan/Design/Framework, Conservation Planning, Conservation planning, Consevation design, Data Management and Integration, Data Management and Integration, Decision Support, Estuarine, Federal, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Private land owners, Project, SF Bay/Delta, San Francisco Bay Area, Science Project, State agencies, Terrestrial, Upland, acquisition, biodiversity, completed, connectivity, conservation, environment, gis database, on-line tool, plants, Fewer tags Vulnerability Analysis and Monitoring Program for Detecting Changes in San Francisco Bay Tidal Marsh Bird Populations This project designed a monitoring program and protocol to detect the effects of climate change on tidal marsh bird population abundance and distribution. It is a companion to “Tidal Marsh Bird Population and Habitat Assessment for San Francisco Bay under Future Climate Change Conditions” and will build on its products, enabling evaluation of the long-term viability of four tidal-marsh bird species threatened by impacts of climate change: Clapper Rail, Black Rail, Common Yellowthroat, and Song Sparrow (three endemic subspecies: San Pablo, Suisun, and Alameda). Information is available through the California Avian Data Center. See also: http://data.prbo.org/apps/sfbslr/index.php?page=lcc-page Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2010, CA, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Conservation NGOs, Datasets/Database, All tags... Estuarine, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Marine, Monitoring, Monitoring, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Population and Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Project, SF Bay/Delta, San Francisco Bay, Science Project, State agencies, Tidal, Vulnerability Assessment, Vulnerability Assessment, Wetland, bird, birds, completed, conservation, environment, marsh, model, monitor, monitoring, tidal, vulnerability, wetland, Fewer tags Climate-Driven Alteration of Intertidal Habitats for Migratory Birds in the San Francisco Bay Estuary This project evaluates the effects of global climate change and sea level rise on estuarine intertidal habitat in the San Francisco Bay and the Pacific Flyway migratory waterbirds that rely on this habitat. Phase 2 of this project is a continuation of work to evaluate the effects of global climate change and sea level rise (SLR) on intertidal shoals in the San Francisco Bay Estuary and the migratory waterbirds that rely on this critically important resource in the Pacific Flyway. The primary objectives are to: 1) use downscaled global climate change models to translate SLR and climate scenarios into habitat quantity predictions through Delft3D and Dflow-FM (unstructured grid) geomorphic modeling; 2) model the response... Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2010, 2012, Applications and Tools, CA, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, All tags... Conservation NGOs, Datasets/Database, Decision Support, Decision support, Estuarine, Federal, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Marine, Marsh, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Population and Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Project, SF Bay/Delta, San Francisco Bay, Science Project, Southwest CSC, State agencies, Wetland, benthic, birds, cascade, completed, currents, delft, dem, downscale, environment, geomorphology, intertidal, invertebrate, invertebrates, model, sea level rise, sediment flux, shoals, slr, tidal, waterbirds, wave energy, Fewer tags Decision support for climate change adaptation and fire management strategies for at risk species in southern California This project integrates fire risk models, species distribution models (SDMs) and population models with scenarios of future climate and land cover to project how the effects of climate-induced changes to species distributions and land use change will impact threatened species in fire-prone ecosystems. This project also identifies and prioritizes potential management responses to climate change (e.g. assisted colonization, fire management, land protection, dispersal corridors). Anticipated products include: 1) maps (digital and hard copy) of habitat suitability under current and future climate change, current and future projected urban growth and combinations of climate change and future projected urban growth, under... Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2011, Academics & scientific researchers, CA, CA-Southern, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, All tags... Conservation NGOs, Conservation Plan/Design/Framework, Conservation Planning, Conservation planning, Decision Support, Decision support, Federal, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Population and Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Project, Regional & county planners, Science Project, Southern California, Southwest CSC, adaptation, assisted colonization, assisted colonization, completed, corridor, data basin, decision support, environment, fire, listed, management, map, moisture, mscp, multiple, multiple, population model, risk model, sdm, sleuth model, species distribution model, threatened, translocation, urban, vulnerability, Fewer tags Determining Landscape Connectivity and Climate Change Refugia Across the Sierra Nevada This project used species distribution modeling, population genetics, and geospatial analysis of historical vs. modern vertebrate populations to identify climate change refugia and population connectivity across the Sierra Nevada. It is hypothesized that climate change refugia will increase persistence and stability of populations and, as a result, maintain higher genetic diversity. This work helps managers assess the need to include connectivity and refugia in climate change adaptation strategies. Results help Sierra Nevada land managers allocate limited resources, aid future scenario assessment at landscape scales, and develop a performance measure for assessing resilience. Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2011, 2013, CA, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Conservation Design, All tags... Conservation Planning, Conservation planning, Consevation design, Data Acquisition and Development, Data Acquisition and Development, Federal, Federal resource managers, Forest, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Project, Publication, Science Project, Sierra Nevada, Sierra Nevada, Southwest CSC, State agencies, Training/Outreach/Workshop, Website, adaptation, aet, biodiversity, communication, completed, connectivity, connectivity, downscaling, environment, genetics, grinnell, historical, mammals, management, maxent, microsatellite, multiple, online, pet, prism, refugia, refugia, resilience, seminar, species distribution modeling, squirrels, vertebrates, website, workshop, Fewer tags Sustaining healthy ecosystems in the face of sea level rise The main goal of this project is to ensure that the 2011-13 climate change update to the Baylands Ecosystem Habitat Goals Report (Baylands Goals) and other key, ongoing conservation activities in the San Francisco Bay region use the latest information about the current and future status of San Francisco Bay tidal marsh ecosystems, particularly in the context of sea-level rise. The main product of the project is the improved Sea Level Rise (SLR) Tool, specifically upgraded to inform the Baylands Goals Report update. The tool will continue to be available online at www.prbo.org/sfbayslr. All data layers going into the tool are and will continue to be downloadable from the site. Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2011, CA, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Conservation Plan/Design/Framework, Data Management and Integration, All tags... Data Management and Integration, Decision Support, Decision support, Estuarine, Federal, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Population and Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Project, Publication, Regional & county planners, SF Bay/Delta, San Francisco Bay, Science Project, State agencies, Training/Outreach/Workshop, acquisition, acquisition, acquisition, adaptation, baeccc, bayland goals, bird, birds, completed, environment, lidar, managers, marsh, prbo, restoration, sea level rise, sf bay, sfbjv, slr, vegetation, vegetation, Fewer tags Understanding and Projecting Changes in Climate, Hydrology, and Ecology in the Great Basin for the Next 30 Years This project links climate, hydrological, and ecological changes over the next 30 years in a Great Basin watershed. In recent years, climate variability on annual and decadal time scales has been recognized as greater than commonly perceived with increasing impacts on ecosystems and available water resources. Changes in vegetation distribution, composition and productivity resulting from climate change affect plant water use, which in turn can alter stream flow, groundwater and eventually available water resources. To better understand these links, project researchers implemented two computer-based numeric models in the Cleve Creek watershed in the Schell Creek Range, east of Ely, Nevada. The application of the... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2013, CASC, Cleve Creek, Climate, Completed, All tags... Drought, Drought, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Federal, Great Basin, Landscapes, Landscapes, NV, Other Landscapes, Other Landscapes, Pinyon/Juniper, Plants, Plants, Projects by Region, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Southwest, Southwest CASC, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wildlife and Plants, carbon flux, desert shrub, downscale, drought, ecology, evaporation, gcm, great basin, hydrology, lai, maps, model, phenology, plants, pluvial, population growth, precipitation, productivity, rhessys, sage brush, snow, soil moisture, temperature, transpiration, vegetation, water, Fewer tags Analysis of Downscaled Climate Simulations and Projections and Their Use in Decision Making for the Southwest To understand potential climate change impacts on ecosystems, water resources, and numerous other natural and managed resources, climate change data and projections must be downscaled from coarse global climate models to much finer resolutions and more applicable formats. This project conducted comparative analyses to better understand the accuracy and properties of these downscaled climate simulations and climate-change projections. Interpretation, guidance and evaluation, including measures of uncertainties, strengths and weaknesses of the different methodologies for each simulation, can enable potential users with the necessary information to select and apply the models. Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, CASC, Completed, Data Visualization & Tools, Data Visualization & Tools, All tags... Downscaling, Federal, Projects by Region, Science Tools for Managers, Science Tools for Managers, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest CASC, bcsd, climate, climate change, downscale, downscaled climate projections, dynamical, ecosystem, gcm, maca, model, modeling, multiple, roms, simulation, statistical, water, wrf, Fewer tags Effects of Sea-Level Rise and Extreme Storms on California Coastal Habitats: Part 1 In California, the near-shore area where the ocean meets the land is a highly productive yet sensitive region that supports a wealth of wildlife, including several native bird species. These saltmarshes, mudflats, and shallow bays are not only critical for wildlife, but they also provide economic and recreational benefits to local communities. Today, sea-level rise, more frequent and stronger storms, saltwater intrusion, and warming water temperatures are among the threats that are altering these important habitats. To support future planning and conservation of California’s near-shore habitats, researchers examined current weather patterns, elevations, tides, and sediments at these sites to see how they affect... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, Bolinas Lagoon, CA, CASC, California, All tags... Coastal, Coastal Habitats, Completed, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Federal, Humboldt Bay, Morro Bay, Newport Bay, Projects by Region, Pt. Mugu, SF Bay/Delta, San Pablo Bay, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Southwest, Southwest CASC, Tijuana River, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, animals, assessment, birds, climate change, coastal, conservation, dem, downscale, dynamical, gcm, geomorphology, gis, hydrology, intertidal, management, marsh, model, multiple, nearshore, plants, sea level rise, sediment, sf bay, shoals, slr, storm, tidal, vegetation, vulnerability, wrf, Fewer tags Sea-level rise modeling across the California salt marsh gradient This project uses bottom-up modeling at a parcel scale to measure the effects of sea-level rise (SLR) on coastal ecosystems and tidal salt marshes. At selected tidal marshes, the project team will measure several parameters that will be incorporated into ArcGIS models creating comparable datasets across the Pacific coast tidal gradient with a focus on 2-4 sites in the California LCC (e.g. San Diego, San Francisco Bay Refuges). The ultimate goal is to provide science support tools for local adaptation planning from the bottom-up that may be implemented under a structured decision-making framework.Science Delivery Phase (2013): The objectives are to: (1) Disseminate site-specific baseline data and modeling results,... Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2011, 2013, Applications and Tools, CA, CA-Northern, All tags... CA-Southern, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, California coast, Coastal, Conservation NGOs, Datasets/Database, Decision Support, Decision support, Estuarine, Federal, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Marsh, OR, OR-Northern, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Population and Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Project, SF Bay/Delta, Science Project, Tidal, Vulnerability Assessment, Vulnerability Assessment, WA, WA-Southern, birds, communication, completed, conservation, decision support tool, dem, elevation, environment, gps, invertebrates, lidar, management, marsh, microclimate, model, monitoring, multiple, nerr, nplcc, outreach, risk, rtk, sea level rise, sediment cores, stakeholder, structured decision making, subtidal, tidal, vertebrates, vulnerability, workshop, Fewer tags The Vulnerability of Forests to Climate Change and Wildfire in the Southwestern U.S. Fire in the western U.S. poses one of the greatest threats to human and ecological communities alike. In fact, fire management is the largest single expenditure of land management funds on federal lands. Now, climate change is altering wildfire patterns. Climate change in the West is creating warmer and drier conditions, resulting in an increase in the amount of dead vegetation available to fuel fires. This project sought to assess the vulnerability of forests in the southwestern U.S. to climate change and wildfire, in order to understand how these ecosystems might become altered as a result. Researchers (a) examined how climate change impacts wildfires in the region, to better understand fire risk; (b) identified... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, CA, CASC, CO, Completed, All tags... Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Federal, Fire, Fire, Forests, Forests, Landscapes, Landscapes, NM, NV, OR, Plants, Plants, Projects by Region, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest CASC, Southwest US, UT, Wildlife and Plants, Wildlife and Plants, adaptive capacity, assessment, climate change, connectivity, ecosystem, ensemble, exposure, fire, forests, forests, management, model, multiple, prism, sensitivity, trees, vegetation, vulnerability, vulnerability assessment, wildfire, woodlands, woodlands, Fewer tags Assessing climate change vulnerability and developing a climate change adaptation strategy for Sierra Nevada birds This project used the NatureServe Climate Change Vulnerability Index tool to assess vulnerability of 140 bird species that breed in the Sierra Nevada and will develop a peer-reviewed Climate Change Adaptation Strategy for Sierra Nevada bird species that are most vulnerable to climate change. The Strategy provides recommendations for actions that managers can take now and in the future to bolster resilience to climate change. Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, Applications and Tools, CA, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Conservation NGOs, All tags... Conservation Plan/Design/Framework, Conservation Planning, Conservation planning, Datasets/Database, EARTH SCIENCE > BIOLOGICAL CLASSIFICATION > ANIMALS/VERTEBRATES > BIRDS, Federal, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Multiple, Project, Science Project, Sierra Nevada, Sierra Nevada, State agencies, Vulnerability Assessment, Vulnerability Assessment, adaptation, birds, birds, birds, completed, conservation, environment, gcm, sierra nevada, uncertainty, vulnerability, Fewer tags Confronting uncertainty in species distribution projections The CA Academy of Science and Point Blue Conservation Science conducted a systematic analysis of uncertainty in modeling the future distributions of ~50 California endemic plant species and ~50 California land birds, explicitly partitioning among 5 alternative sources of variation and testing for their respective contributions to overall variation among modeled outcomes. They mapped the uncertainty from identified sources, which can guide decisions about monitoring, restoration, acquisition, infrastructure, etc., in relation to climate change. Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2011, Academics & scientific researchers, CA, California, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, All tags... Data Acquisition and Development, Data Acquisition and Development, Datasets/Database, Decision Support, Decision support, Federal, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Multiple, Multiple, Project, Publication, Science Project, Southwest CSC, State agencies, adaptation, birds, completed, endemic species, ensemble, environment, gcm, land birds, maps, modeling, planning, plants, plants, species distribution modeling, species range shifts, statistical downscaling, uncertainty, Fewer tags Species Distribution Modeling and Conservation Planning Training Workshop Most natural resource managers, planners and policy makers are now dependent upon spatially explicit environmental suitability and spatial allocation analyses to inform policy and management decisions. However, staff across agencies has been unable to stay current on understanding and applying these new data, tools and analyses. Currently, this information may be underutilized or used inappropriately, which could result in poor decisions. Two training curricula were developed – one for managers and one for GIS analysts – on current best practices for developing and using spatial information to support conservation decision making. The training materials are open-source and widely distributed to California LCC stakeholders. Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2012, CA, CA-wide, California, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, All tags... Decision Support, Decision support, Federal, Federal resource managers, Informing Conservation Delivery, Informing Conservation Delivery, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Multiple, Private land owners, Project, Science Project, State agencies, Traditional Ecological Knowledge, Traditional Ecological Knowledge, Training/Outreach/Workshop, animals, completed, connectivity, environment, gis, invasive species, management, maxent, multiple, plants, policy, stakeholder, suitability model, training, uncertainty, workshop, Fewer tags Maximizing evolutionary potential under climate change in southern California protected areas. The project objective is to transfer to California a previously developed prioritization framework that combines intraspecific genetic and morphological variation with traditionally used indices of biodiversity, and test its general utility for conservation prioritization. This project will integrate existing data on intraspecific variation of multiple species in the Santa Monica Mountains National Recreational Area with climate data and space-borne measurements of the environment to identify areas with high intraspecific variation. Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2012, Applications and Tools, CA, CA-Southern, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, All tags... Conservation NGOs, Conservation Planning, Conservation planning, Datasets/Database, Decision Support, Decision support, Federal, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Multiple, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Population and Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Project, Santa Monica Mountains, Science Project, Southern California, adaptation, biodiversity, birds, completed, conservation, environment, evolution, genetic, map, reptiles, spatially explicit model, Fewer tags Identifying the Vulnerability of Birds and Reptiles to Changes in Climate in the Southwest Biodiversity is declining worldwide, and this trend could potentially become more severe as climate conditions change. An integral component of proactive adaptive management planning requires forecasts of how changes in climate will affect individual species. This need has been identified my multiple federal agencies, including the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, National Park Service, Bureau of Land Management, and U.S. Forest Service. The goal of this project was to assist land and wildlife managers in anticipating which species are most vulnerable to changes in climate in the Southwest, and how resources can best be invested to facilitate adaptation. Researchers evaluated the current and future breeding ranges... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, AZ, Birds, Birds, CA, All tags... CASC, CO, Federal, Multiple, NM, NV, OR, Other Wildlife, Other Wildlife, Projects by Region, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest CASC, UT, Wildlife and Plants, Wildlife and Plants, biodiverstiy, birds, birds, climate change, downscale, gcm, management, model, multiple, natureserve, reptiles, reptiles, species distribution, species distribution model, statistical, vulnerability assessment, Fewer tags Effects of Climate Change on Inland Fishes of California California’s native fishes are mostly endemic, with no place to go as climate change increases water temperatures and alters stream flows. Many of the alien fishes, however, are likely to benefit from the effects of climate change. The goal of this project is to synthesize life history traits, population trends, status, and threats, including climate change, for all fishes in the state. We have found that 25% of the endemic fishes are now in danger of extinction. Climate change in conjunction with alien species, agriculture, and dams pose the greatest threat to native fishes. Preliminary results from two regional analyses suggest that native fishes in the Sierra Nevada are slightly less (74%) vulnerable to climate... Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2011, Academics & scientific researchers, CA, CA-wide, California, All tags... California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Conservation Design, Conservation NGOs, Conservation Plan/Design/Framework, Conservation planning, Consevation design, Data Management and Integration, Data Management and Integration, Datasets/Database, Decision Support, Decision support, Federal, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Multiple, Project, Science Project, Southwest CSC, State agencies, Stream, alien, completed, conservation, endemic, environment, fish, fish, gis, inland, management, native, policy, precipitation, risk, stream, temperature, vulnerability, Fewer tags The Environmental Change Network This project developed a foundation for monitoring environmental change by identifying where and what to monitor in order to evaluate climate-change impacts. Phase 1 focused on landbirds, however a framework will be developed that recommends standardized monitoring for other taxa and environmental attributes. Phase II Deliverables produced as part of this proposed work include a Business Plan that 1) refines site selection by developing a decision model in combination with analyses of sites (or clusters of sites) arrayed by climate space, 2) works with the LCC science committee, Joint Ventures, and other partners to choose a manageable number of core monitoring variables, 3) develops and/or adopting existing protocols... Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2010, 2011, CA, CA-wide, California, All tags... California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Conservation NGOs, Conservation Plan/Design/Framework, Conservation Planning, Conservation planning, Data Acquisition and Development, Data Acquisition and Development, Datasets/Database, Federal, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Monitoring, Monitoring, Multiple, Project, Science Project, State agencies, Website, birds, birds, completed, connectivity, conservation, data management, environment, fish, invertebrates, model, monitor, multiple, on-line, Fewer tags 1 2 »