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Filters: Tags: {"type":"USGS Scientific Topic Keyword"} (X) > partyWithName: Kenneth S Rukstales (X)

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This dataset presents where, why, and how much probabilistic ground motions have changed with the 2018 update of the National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) for the conterminous U.S. (CONUS) vs. the 2014 NSHM. In the central and eastern U.S., hazard changes are the result of updated ground motion models (further broken down by median and epistemic uncertainty, aleatory variability, and site effects models) and gridded seismicity models. In the western U.S., hazard changes are the result of updated ground motion models in four urban areas with deep sedimentary basins and gridded seismicity models. Probabilistic ground motion changes (2% in 50 years probability of exceedance for a firm rock site, VS30 = 760 m/s, NEHRP...
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The 2018 Update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model defines the potential for earthquake ground shaking for various probability levels across the conterminous United States and is applied in seismic provisions of building codes, insurance rate structures, risk assessments, and other public policy. The updated model represents an assessment of the best available science in earthquake hazards and incorporates new findings on earthquake ground shaking, seismicity, and long-period amplification over deep sedimentary basins. The new model represents an update of the seismic hazard model; previous versions were developed in 1996, 2002, 2008, and 2014. The output from the National Seismic Hazard Model is a suite...
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This data release contains data sets associated with the 2023 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model Update. The 2023 50-State National Seimsic Hazard Model (NSHM) Update includes an update to the NSHMs for the conterminous U.S (CONUS, last updated in 2018), Alaska (AK, last updated in 2007), and Hawaii (last updated in 2001). Data sets include inputs like seismicity catalogs used as input to the smoothed seismicity model and updated induced seismicity zone polygons in the central and eastern U.S., as well as outputs like hazard curves and uniform-hazard ground motion values. Plots of selected data sets are also included. The data sets provided here are primarily for the 2023 CONUS NHSM and 2023 AK NSHM. Additional...
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We produce the 2017 one-year seismic hazard forecast for the central and eastern United States from induced and natural earthquakes that updates the 2016 one-year forecast; this map is intended to provide information to the public and to facilitate the development of induced seismicity forecasting models, methods, and data. The 2017 hazard model applies the same methodology and input logic tree as the 2016 forecast, but with an updated earthquake catalog. We also evaluate the 2016 seismic hazard forecast to improve future assessments. The 2016 forecast indicated high seismic hazard (greater than 1% probability of potentially damaging ground shaking in one-year) in five focus areas: Oklahoma-Kansas, the Raton Basin...
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We produce the USGS 2018 one-year probabilistic seismic hazard forecast for the central and eastern United States from induced and natural earthquakes. For consistency, the updated 2018 forecast is developed using the same probabilistic seismicity-based methodology as applied in the two previous forecasts for 2016 and 2017. Rates of earthquakes across the U.S. (M ≥ 3.0) grew rapidly between 2008 and 2015 but have steadily declined over the past three years, especially in areas of Oklahoma and southern Kansas where fluid injection has decreased. The seismicity pattern in 2017 was complex with earthquakes more spatially dispersed than in previous years. Some areas of west-central Oklahoma experienced increased activity...
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The 2021 update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model for Hawaii succeeds the twenty-year-old former model by incorporating new data and modeling techniques to improve the ground shaking forecasts. Output from the model includes probabilistic seismic hazard curves calculated for a 0.02° x 0.02° grid of latitude/longitude locations across Hawaii. The new model provides an expanded suite of hazard curves for twenty-three different ground motion intensity measures, including PGA, PGV, and spectral accelerations between 0.01 and 10 second, and for eight separate soil site classes (VS30 = 1500 m/sec to 150 m/sec), representing NEHRP site classes A/B to E. In addition, gridded uniform- hazard data are provided...
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This dataset consists of shapefiles that are digitized contours of the structure of Cenozoic and late Cretaceous strata along the Gulf and Atlantic Coastal plains from Texas to New Jersey, not including Maryland and Delaware. Well depths and seismic profiles indicating depth to or elevation of subsurface geologic contacts present in some datasets have also been digitized. Metadata files (.xml) describing each dataset are present within the SHP.zip file subdirectories. Original ArcGIS rasters and overlays from which the contours were digitized are available in the TIF.zip file subdirectories. Digitized datasets are: Arthur, J.K., and Taylor, R.E., 1990, Definition of the Geohydrological Framework and Preliminary...
For designing buildings and other structures, the 2020 NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions and the 2022 ASCE/SEI 7 Standard provide Risk-Targeted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) spectral response accelerations and Maximum Considered Earthquake Geometric Mean (MCEG) peak ground accelerations. The MCER ground motions are also expected to be in the 2023 ASCE/SEI 41 Standard and the 2024 and 2027 editions of the International Building Code. Both sets of ground motions are derived from USGS National Seismic Hazard Models via the gridded values of this data release. The files in the "Child Items" below also underlie corresponding USGS Seismic Design Web Services. See the "Related External Resources" below for...
    map background search result map search result map Data Release for 2018 One-Year Seismic Hazard Forecast for the Central and Eastern United States from Induced and Natural Earthquakes Data Release for the 2018 Update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model Digitized datasets of the structure of Cenozoic and late Cretaceous strata along the Atlantic and Gulf Coastal Plains from Texas to New Jersey Data Release for the 2018 Update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model: Where, Why, and How Much Probabilistic Ground Motion Maps Changed Data Release for the 2021 Update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model for Hawaii Data Release for the 2023 U.S. 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model - Overview Data Release for the 2021 Update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model for Hawaii Digitized datasets of the structure of Cenozoic and late Cretaceous strata along the Atlantic and Gulf Coastal Plains from Texas to New Jersey Data Release for the 2018 Update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model Data Release for the 2018 Update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model: Where, Why, and How Much Probabilistic Ground Motion Maps Changed Data Release for 2018 One-Year Seismic Hazard Forecast for the Central and Eastern United States from Induced and Natural Earthquakes Data Release for the 2023 U.S. 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model - Overview