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This project will use a Bayesian statistical framework to predict coastal erosion and inundation under a range of sea level rise scenarios. The Bayesian framework will also develop visualization products that will help natural resource managers anticipate sea level rise and adapt to the projected changes. Lastly, the frameworks will asses the potential impacts of sea level rise on coastal ecosystems and related wildlife resources.
This project will support the hiring of a detail position to work with the Geomatics Coordinator to complete current assessments of terrestrial systems focusing on landscape endpoints as described in the GCPO LCC’s Integrated Science Agenda, then begin the process of applying species endpoints to these landscapes through a Landscape Conservation Design process for the entire GCPO geography. This rapid ecological assessment will seek to answer the following questions: (1) How much habitat is in a desired ecological state, as defined by the Integrated Science Agenda? (2) How much more habitat is needed? (3) Where is habitat that is in the desired ecological state? (4) Where are opportunities to manage improved or...
This project will determine the effects of climate change, urbanization, succession, disturbance, and management on forest landscape change in the Gulf Coastal Plains and Ozarks (GCPO) region for the period 2000-2100. The effects will be analyzed at 90-270 m resolution for the entire region under 4 climate scenarios, 3 forest management scenarios, and 2 urban growth scenarios.
The GCPO LCC region contains some of the most diverse aquatic biota in the world. The streams and rivers on which this biota depends are valuable conservation and economic resources. However, fragmentation of streams and rivers by dams and other barriers is a primary threat to the health of resident and anadromous fish species in southern rivers. Conservation planning in the region requires an assessment of the degree of fragmentation of streams and rivers and potential impacts on fish populations. However, the ability to conduct a connectivity assessment is limited in the GCPO LCC region due to the lack of a comprehensive dataset of fish barrier locations, attributes, and links to basic river maps. SARP proposes...
This project integrates dynamic landscape population viability models and structured decision making to choose among conservation scenarios that best meet desired endpoints for focal wildlife species in the Ozark Highlands region under climate change.
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How did this multi-LCC initiative develop? The framework for this landscape conservation design is objective-driven across three sectors for wildlife, water quality and agriculture – ultimately doing our part to strategically maximize the value of every conservation dollar for the Mississippi River Basin and Gulf of Mexico. An intensive year-long dialogue culminated in the Memphis workshop in August 2014, setting the stage for research and development of design tools this past year. For more information, see: https://www.fws.gov/science/catalog….What is the workshop purpose? Reconvene multi-sector participants to examine the set of high impact conservation practices, web-based spatial analysis tools, and research...
The goal of the Ozark Highlands Comprehensive Conservation Strategy (CCS) is to take an ecoregional approach to designing landscapes capable of sustaining healthy plant and animal communities in the Ozark Highlands. A comprehensive conservation strategy is Strategic Habitat Conservation. SHC is a continuous dialogue for habitat conservation. In a rapidly changing world this is necessarily a process rather than a product. An important milestone towards the CCS goal is the development of Conservation Opportunity Areas (COAs) that will focus conservation delivery efforts by the partners and other stakeholders. Although that product is important, this project goes beyond defining COAs to develop a preliminary network...
This project will combine existing biotic and abiotic metrics for open pine savannas and woodlands developed by the US Forest Service and NatureServe with metrics developed to assess wildlife habitat value as part of the EGCPJV’s desired forest conditions project. The final desired forest condition metrics will address wildlife habitat and ecological integrity for the full range of open pine ecosystems within the region, and protocols will be developed to facilitate on-the-ground assessments.
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The multi-LCC Mississippi River Basin/Gulf Hypoxia Initiative is a joint effort to find the nexus of water quality, wildlife, and people in the Mississippi River Basin. Integrating hundreds of data layers into a coherent spatial analysis tool, the Precision Conservation Blueprint v1.0 will provide a significant targeting and planning tool for individuals and organizations across the basin to identify opportunity areas for the implementation of specific conservation practices that have maximum multiple benefits for wildlife, water quality (gulf hypoxia), and people and agricultural productivity.Practice Fact Sheets identify a dozen or more high impact conservation actions that have potential for multi-sector benefits...
Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2015, AZ-01, Applications and Tools, Arkansas, CO-04, All tags...
The Conservation Blueprint provides a foundation to design strategies for collaborative conservation effort to achieve sustainable landscapes in the face of change. It builds on the Ecological Assesment project to develop a set of linked geospatial data products related to the nine priority systems of the GCPO LCC to provide a scientific (i.e. transparent, replicable & defensible) approach to identifying the next best places for collaborative conservation effort toward the partnership’s shared vision.
This project maps floodplain inundation frequency at the landscape scale in the south central United States. Using 15-40 images per Landsat scene, we established a wide range of possible flood frequencies across a variety of rising and falling river stages. This method represents a flexible approach that can be configured to define habitat availability for a variety of terrestrial and aquatic species.
The Southeast Aquatic Resources Partnership will engage regional aquatic experts to provide input into the development of desired ecological states - defined by landscape and species endpoints - for each of the broadly defined Freshwater Aquatic habitat types listed in the Gulf Coastal Plains and Ozarks Landscape Conservation Cooperative’s draft Integrated Science Agenda. The final product will include recommendations for next steps to validate and achieve the desired landscape conditions, including potential modeling and tool development to facilitate spatial projection of final desired states.
This project will evaluate the extent to which planted pine can provide Desired Ecological States for wildlife species using literature review and meta-analyses. Based on this review, harvest scheduling software (HabPlan) will be used to simulate a variety of management options across a 50-year time span to quantify the availability of Desired Ecological States over the course of each simulation and to identify options for providing open pine conditions in managed forests of theGulf Coastal Plains and Ozarks region.
This project will address species-habitat relationships for a priority aquatic system for the GCPO LCC, Mainstem Big Rivers. Specifically, the project will collect subsurface aquatic habitat data using side-scan sonar and high resolution bathymetry data in the Pearl River system of Louisiana. This project expands on current work ongoing in the Pearl River, and would extend habitat data collection for the purposes of making recommendations on restoration of aquatic habitat for species endpoints in this aquatic system. This project directly addresses landscape conservation design and will be used to inform Adaptation Strategies.
This project studies the Clapper Rail (Rallus longirostris) as an indicator of Gulf Coast tidal marsh habitat change. In spite of much data on the Clapper Rail, critical data is lacking - annual survivorship - which will allow development of species-habitat models to predict the effects of future environmental change. This project will compile existing secretive marsh bird point count data into a breeding marsh bird atlas for the northern Gulf of Mexico and use these data to develop population estimates. Second, nano-tags will be employed to collect survivorship data for Clapper Rails. Those data will be combined with other existing data sets to develop individual-based population models for Clapper Rails. The development...
Pilot an approach that integrates dynamic landscape population viability models and structured decision making to choose among conservation scenarios that best meet desired endpoints for focal wildlife species. Our combined approach will Identify 3-4 species for each inland terrestrial habitat system listed in the Integrated Science Agenda (15-20 total). Using the combined approach, we will identify potential conservation strategy alternaties intended to meet desired endpoints for focal wildlife species in the Gulf Coastal Plains & Ozarks region under land use change. Scenarios will likely be habitat based, but could include other approaches (e.g. policy).
This project integrates a reforestation decision support model for priority forest breeding birds and a restoration decision support tool for the federally-threatened Louisiana Black Bear. It was developed specifically to focus habitat restoration projects on frequently flooded agricultural lands within priority portions of the delta of Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi, which were funded primarily by the Walton Family Foundation in 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013.
Long-term, large-scale (i.e. landscape) conservation struggles with big questions such as how can a single strategy be identified when there are multiple possible future outcomes? How do we decide which management action or portfolio of actions is the best for all species when different species will likely have conflicting responses to each action? Successful natural resource decision making processes also incorporate an assessment of baseline conditions; current and future stressors; a set of potential management actions; and formal linkages between conditions, actions and biological responses (i.e. a model). It also requires bringing together the elements of conservation decisions into a framework that allows...
Submersed aquatic vegetation, a critical component of highly productive coastal ecosystems, is greatly affected by sea level rise. The Gulf Coast Prairie Landscape Conservation Cooperative needs consistent information on these natural resources along the Gulf of Mexico Coast to develop computer modeling tools. These tools will contribute to efforts to forecast the effects of climate change on the distribution, abundance, and diversity of submersed aquatic vegetation and the fish and wildlife that depend on them. This project was co-funded by the Gulf Coast Prairie and the Gulf Coastal Plains and Ozarks Landscape Conservation Cooperatives and the South Central Climate Adaptation Science Center. An alternate reference...
This project will use more than 10 years of monitoring data to develop biometric habitat models for 9 of the Gulf Coastal Plains and Ozarks Landscape Conservation Cooperative’s species endpoints within the open pine woodland and savanna habitat type. This project will also evaluate desired ecological states as defined in the Integrated Science Agenda for their ability to predict species occurrence and identify habitat attributes that can be manipulated to create suitable habitat conditions for these species.


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