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Projecting the Future Encroachment of Woody Vegetation into Grasslands of the Northern Great Plains by Simulating Climate Conditions and Possible Management Actions Maintaining the native prairie lands of the Northern Great Plains (NGP), which provide an important habitat for declining grassland species, requires anticipating the effects of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations and climate change on the region’s vegetation. Specifically, climate change threatens NGP grasslands by increasing the potential encroachment of native woody species into areas where they were previously only present in minor numbers. This project used a dynamic vegetation model to simulate vegetation type (grassland, shrubland, woodland, and forest) for the NGP for a range of projected future climates and relevant management scenarios. Comparing results of these simulations illustrates... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, Biology, CASC, Climate change, Completed, All tags... Conservation, Conterminous United States, Ecology, Ecosystem, Fire, Grasslands and Plains, Grasslands and Plains, Great Plains, Land, Land Management, Landscapes, Landscapes, Natural Resources, North Central, North Central CASC, Projects by Region, United States, biota, boundaries, environment, grasslands, grazing, location, woody encroachment, Fewer tags Understanding the Impacts of Permafrost Change: Providing Input into the Alaska Integrated Ecosystem Model Ongoing climate change has the potential to negatively impact Alaska’s ecosystems and the critical services that they provide. These ecosystem services include supplying food and fiber for Alaskan communities, offering opportunities for recreational, cultural, and spiritual activities, and regulating temperature and water flow (runoff, flooding, etc.). Scientists build models to better understand processes and interactions in the natural environment and to use what we know to predict what will happen in the future, so that we can plan for it. Researchers from multiple institutions and disciplines developed an Integrated Ecosystem Model (IEM) for Alaska and Northwest Canada. The model helps forecast how climate... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, Alaska, Alaska CASC, CASC, Completed, All tags... Ecology, Glaciers and Permafrost, Glaciers and Permafrost, Projects by Region, Soil carbon, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, permafrost, Fewer tags Understanding and Projecting Changes in Climate, Hydrology, and Ecology in the Great Basin for the Next 30 Years This project links climate, hydrological, and ecological changes over the next 30 years in a Great Basin watershed. In recent years, climate variability on annual and decadal time scales has been recognized as greater than commonly perceived with increasing impacts on ecosystems and available water resources. Changes in vegetation distribution, composition and productivity resulting from climate change affect plant water use, which in turn can alter stream flow, groundwater and eventually available water resources. To better understand these links, project researchers implemented two computer-based numeric models in the Cleve Creek watershed in the Schell Creek Range, east of Ely, Nevada. The application of the... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2013, CASC, Cleve Creek, Climate, Completed, All tags... Drought, Drought, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Federal, Great Basin, Landscapes, Landscapes, NV, Other Landscapes, Other Landscapes, Pinyon/Juniper, Plants, Plants, Projects by Region, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Southwest, Southwest CASC, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wildlife and Plants, carbon flux, desert shrub, downscale, drought, ecology, evaporation, gcm, great basin, hydrology, lai, maps, model, phenology, plants, pluvial, population growth, precipitation, productivity, rhessys, sage brush, snow, soil moisture, temperature, transpiration, vegetation, water, Fewer tags Niche model results predicting fundamentally suitable and unsuitable habitat for freshwater mussel concentrations in the Meramec Basin This layer represents fundamentally suitable and unsuitable habitat for freshwater mussels in the Meramec Basin as modeled by these authors on May 17, 2017 based on spatial data ranging from 1990 to 2014. Identification of habitat characteristics associated with the presence of freshwater mussels is challenging but crucial for the conservation of this declining fauna. Most mussel species are found in multi-species assemblages suggesting that physical factors influence presence similarly across species. In lotic environments, geomorphic and hydraulic characteristics appear to be important factors for predicting mussel presence. We used maximum entropy (MaxEnt) modeling to evaluate hydrogeomorphic variables associated... Categories: Data, Project; Types: Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, Shapefile; Tags: Aquatic Biology, Ecology, Hydrology, MaxEnt, Meramec, All tags... Missouri, Ozark, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), Water Quality, Water Resources, biota, conservation planning, freshwater mussels, hydrogeomorphology, riverscape, unionids, Fewer tags An Ecosystem Conservation Assessment for the lower San Pedro Watershed in Arizona University of Arizona will conduct an ecosystem conservation assessment for the lower San Pedro (LSP) watershed. The assessment will provide a science-based strategic design for prioritizing where conservation efforts are most needed for high-value biodiversity conservation at the landscape-level and offer insights on conservation actions practical for implementation. The assessment will include an evaluation of high-value biodiversity, hydro-ecological processes, protected areas, landscape connectivity, and climate change adaptation. The study will suggest approaches for developing a new conservation framework for watershed conservation planning. Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2013, AZ-01, AZ-02, Arizona, Arizona, All tags... Conservation Design, Conservation NGOs, Conservation Plan/Design/Framework, Conservation Planning, Datasets/Database, Desert Landscape Conservation Cooperative, EARTH SCIENCE > HUMAN DIMENSIONS > ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS > CONSERVATION, Federal resource managers, Informing Conservation Delivery, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Lower San Pedro River, Lower San Pedro Watershed, Map, Project, Report, State agencies, Transboundary Madrean Watersheds Pilot Area, United States, biodiversity conservation, climate change adaptation, completed, ecology, environment, hydrology, landscape connectivity, landscape scale, water, watershed conservation planning, watershed management, Fewer tags