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Ecological models facilitate the evaluation and assessment of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) provides ecological models tailored to address specific management issues. The multi-agency REstoration, COordination and VERification (RECOVER) science team uses ecological models (i.e., ecological planning tools) to evaluate the potential effects of projects in the Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP) on natural resources. The planning agencies and bureaus involved in CERP desire to also use these ecological planning tools for the evaluation of alternative water control plans to be performed by the Lake Okeechobee System Operating Manual (LOSOM)...
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Ecological models facilitate the evaluation and assessment of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) provides ecological models tailored to address specific management issues. The multi-agency REstoration, COordination and VERification (RECOVER) science team uses ecological models (i.e., ecological planning tools) to evaluate the potential effects of projects in the Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP) on natural resources. The planning agencies and bureaus involved in CERP desire to also use these ecological planning tools for the evaluation of alternative water control plans to be performed by the Lake Okeechobee System Operating Manual (LOSOM)...
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Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative plans for restoring the Greater Everglades ecosystem. Modeling outputs were used in evaluations of alternative water control plans to be performed by the Combined Operational Plan (COP). The models used were: (1) Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Marl Prairie Indicator in conjunction with (2) Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Helper, (3) Florida apple snail (native) population model (EverSnail), (4) Wader Distribution Evaluation Modeling (WADEM), (5) Small-sized freshwater fish density, and (6) American alligator production probability (i.e., breeding potential). These ecological models are used to examine potential impacts on the above listed flora and fauna...
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Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative plans for restoring the Greater Everglades ecosystem. Modeling outputs were used in evaluations of alternative water control plans to be performed by the Combined Operational Plan (COP). The models used were: (1) Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Marl Prairie Indicator in conjunction with (2) Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Helper, (3) Florida apple snail (native) population model (EverSnail), (4) Wader Distribution Evaluation Modeling (WADEM), (5) Small-sized freshwater fish density, and (6) Alligator production probability (i.e., habitat suitability index (HSI)). These ecological models are used to examine potential impacts on the above listed flora and...
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Ecological models facilitate evaluation of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management decisions. Ecological models (i.e., ecological planning tools) were developed and used by JEM during the Central Everglades Planning Project to evaluate potential effects to natural resources in the impacted areas. There is a desire by the planning agencies and bureaus involved in the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) to use...
Restoration of the Florida Everglades, a substantial wetland ecosystem within the United States, is one of the largest ongoing restoration projects in the world. Decision-makers and managers within the Everglades ecosystem rely on ecological models forecasting indicator wildlife response to changes in the management of water flows within the system. One such indicator of ecosystem health, the presence of wading bird communities on the landscape, is currently assessed using three species distribution models that assume perfect detection and report output on different scales that are challenging to compare against one another. We sought to use current advancements in species distribution modeling to improve models...
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The endangered Cape Sable seaside sparrow (Ammospiza maritima mirabilis; CSSS) occurs in marl prairie habitat at the southern end of the Everglades, at the southernmost part of the Florida peninsula. The locations of three of its six subpopulations are proximate to the coast, putting them at risk for inundation caused by sea level rise (SLR). The spatially explicit predictive model EverSparrow provides probability of CSSS presence estimates based on hydrology, fire history, and vegetation. We developed two hydrologic scenarios of SLR using projections from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) and University of Florida's GeoPlan Center, using a modeled restoration scenario of the current landscape-scale water...
Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management decisions. JEM is a partnership among Federal and state agencies, universities, and other organizations. Ecological models (i.e., ecological planning tools) were used by the multi-agency REstoration, COordination and VERification (RECOVER) science team during the Central Everglades Planning Project (CEPP) and Interim Goals...
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The Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) is a series of connected Bayesian networks that models the landscape-scale response of indicators of Everglades ecosystem health to changes in hydrology and salinity on the landscape. Using the uncertainty built into each network, it also produces surfaces of vulnerability in relation to user-defined ‘ideal’ outcomes. This dataset includes the code used to build the modules and generate outputs of module outcome probabilities and landscape vulnerability.
Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management decisions. JEM is a partnership among federal and state agencies, universities and other organizations. Ecological models (i.e., ecological planning tools) were developed and used by JEM during the Central Everglades Planning Project to evaluate potential effects to natural resources in the impacted areas. There is a desire...
Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management decisions. JEM is a partnership among federal and state agencies, universities and other organizations. Ecological models (i.e., ecological planning tools) were developed and used by JEM during the Central Everglades Planning Project to evaluate potential effects to natural resources in the impacted areas. There is a desire...
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Ecological models facilitate evaluation of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management decisions; ecological models were developed by JEM to evaluate potential effects of restoration projects on natural resources in the impacted areas. The Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Ecosystem Restoration (BBSEER) Project is part of the Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP). A goal of BBSEER is to identify potential...
The Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) is a series of connected, modular Bayesian networks that predict the response of several Everglades indicators of ecosystem health to changes in hydrology, salinity, and the landscape. This release provides the code to update the vegetation module of EVA, validate the updated module, and provides the process and outputs of a sensitivity analysis of the module. Key updates include expanding the number of vegetation classes predicted from 6 to 11 classes, simplifying the inputs to the module, and increasing the number of vegetation observations used to parameterize the network. The validation of the module includes the process to calculate receiver operating characteristic...
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The Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow (CSSS; Ammospiza maritima mirabilis) is an endangered species that has experienced population declines of more than 60% since the 1990s. The CSSS is restricted in geographic extent to a relatively small area of remaining marl prairie in the southern Florida Everglades and remains in six subpopulation areas (named A-F). There has been over two decades of field research conducted on the CSSS across its six subpopulations, but a statistically robust analysis of the bird’s demographic parameters utilizing all data has yet to be completed. To address this gap, we conducted demographic analysis of the CSSS population using an integrated population model (IPM). The IPM provides a flexible...
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We used Sherman live traps to capture and mark rodents in the Picayune Strand State Forest between October 2014 and April 2016 (IACUC permit USGS/SESC 2014-12). We selected areas to trap small mammals within the major vegetative types within Picayune Strand State Forest: cypress, pine, hardwood hammock, and wet prairie. We trapped in paired “restored” and “unrestored” areas of each habitat type. Drainage canals in PSSF have been recorded to reduce the water table up from 1.6 – 4.8 km away (Chuirazzi and Duever 2008). Areas considered “restored” were within 1.4 km of Prairie Canal , which was plugged in 2007. Areas considered “unrestored” were at least 8.5 km from the easterly Prairie Canal, in areas that are heavily...
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Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative plans for restoring the Greater Everglades ecosystem. Modeling outputs were used in evaluations of alternative water control plans to be performed by the Combined Operational Plan (COP). The models used were: (1) Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Marl Prairie Indicator in conjunction with (2) Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Helper, (3) Florida apple snail (native) population model (EverSnail), (4) Wader Distribution Evaluation Modeling (WADEM), (5) Small-sized freshwater fish density, and (6) alligator production probability (i.e., breeding potential). These ecological models are used to examine potential impacts on the above listed flora and fauna from implementation...
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Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative plans for restoring the Greater Everglades ecosystem. Modeling outputs were used in evaluations of alternative water control plans to be performed by the Combined Operational Plan (COP). The models used were: (1) Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Marl Prairie Indicator in conjunction with (2) Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Helper, (3) Florida apple snail (native) population model (EverSnail), (4) Wader Distribution Evaluation Modeling (WADEM), (5) Small-sized freshwater fish density, and (6) alligator production probability (i.e., habitat suitability index (HSI)). These ecological models are used to examine potential impacts on the above listed flora and...
Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management decisions. JEM is a partnership among federal and state agencies, universities, and other organizations. Ecological models (i.e., ecological planning tools) were developed and used by JEM during the Central Everglades Planning Project to evaluate potential effects to natural resources in the impacted areas. There is a desire...
Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management decisions. JEM is a partnership among federal and state agencies, universities, and other organizations. Ecological models (i.e., ecological planning tools) were developed and used by JEM during the Central Everglades Planning Project to evaluate potential effects to natural resources in the impacted areas. There is a desire...
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Operational ecological forecasting is an emerging field that leverages ecological models in a new, cross-disciplinary way, using a real-time or nearly real-time climate forecast to project near-term ecosystem states. These applications give decision-makers lead time to anticipate and manage state changes that degrade ecosystem functions or directly impact humans. The Everglades Forecasting model (EverForecast) is an operational water stage forecast providing 6-month forecasts of daily projected, spatially continuous stage values across the Water Conservation Areas, Big Cypress National Preserve, Everglades National Park, Big Cypress Seminole Indian Reservation, and Miccosukee Federal Indian Reservation and Leased...


map background search result map search result map Small mammal captures at the Picayune Strand State Forest, October 2014 - April 2016 Ecological modeling output for the Combined Operational Plan, Round 3 in the Greater Everglades, 2018-2019 EverForecast hydrologic output for April 2020: a six-month water stage forecast for the Greater Everglades Ecological modeling output for the Combined Operational Plan, Round 1 in the Greater Everglades, 2018-2019 Ecological modeling output for the Combined Operational Plan, Round 2 in the Greater Everglades, 2018-2019 Ecological Model Support for RECOVER’s Update of Interim Goals, 2019 Ecological modeling output for the Combined Operational Plan EverWaders species distribution model development and output in the Greater Everglades from 2000-2009 Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Four of Four, 2020 Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Two of Four, 2018 Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round One of Four, 2018 Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Three of Four, 2019 Ecological modeling output for the Lake Okeechobee System Operating Manual iterations 1 and 2 (of 3), 2021 Ecological modeling output for the Lake Okeechobee System Operating Manual iteration 3 (of 3), 2022 Sea level rise scenarios for the Cape Sable seaside sparrow Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) modeling scripts and output Updates to the Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) vegetation module Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Five, 2023 Model code to build and run an integrated population model for the endangered Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Ecological model support for the Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Restoration (BBSEER) Project, Round 3 Small mammal captures at the Picayune Strand State Forest, October 2014 - April 2016 Model code to build and run an integrated population model for the endangered Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Sea level rise scenarios for the Cape Sable seaside sparrow Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) modeling scripts and output Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Five, 2023 Ecological modeling output for the Combined Operational Plan, Round 3 in the Greater Everglades, 2018-2019 Ecological modeling output for the Combined Operational Plan, Round 1 in the Greater Everglades, 2018-2019 Ecological modeling output for the Combined Operational Plan, Round 2 in the Greater Everglades, 2018-2019 Ecological Model Support for RECOVER’s Update of Interim Goals, 2019 Ecological modeling output for the Combined Operational Plan Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Four of Four, 2020 Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Two of Four, 2018 Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round One of Four, 2018 Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Three of Four, 2019 Ecological modeling output for the Lake Okeechobee System Operating Manual iterations 1 and 2 (of 3), 2021 Ecological modeling output for the Lake Okeechobee System Operating Manual iteration 3 (of 3), 2022 EverForecast hydrologic output for April 2020: a six-month water stage forecast for the Greater Everglades EverWaders species distribution model development and output in the Greater Everglades from 2000-2009 Updates to the Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) vegetation module Ecological model support for the Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Restoration (BBSEER) Project, Round 3