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Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative plans for restoring the Greater Everglades ecosystem. Modeling outputs were used in evaluations of alternative water control plans to be performed by the Combined Operational Plan (COP). The models used were: (1) Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Marl Prairie Indicator in conjunction with (2) Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Helper, (3) Florida apple snail (native) population model (EverSnail), (4) Wader Distribution Evaluation Modeling (WADEM), (5) Small-sized freshwater fish density, and (6) American alligator production probability (i.e., breeding potential). These ecological models are used to examine potential impacts on the above listed flora and fauna...
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Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative plans for restoring the Greater Everglades ecosystem. Modeling outputs were used in evaluations of alternative water control plans to be performed by the Combined Operational Plan (COP). The models used were: (1) Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Marl Prairie Indicator in conjunction with (2) Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Helper, (3) Florida apple snail (native) population model (EverSnail), (4) Wader Distribution Evaluation Modeling (WADEM), (5) Small-sized freshwater fish density, and (6) Alligator production probability (i.e., habitat suitability index (HSI)). These ecological models are used to examine potential impacts on the above listed flora and...
Restoration of the Florida Everglades, a substantial wetland ecosystem within the United States, is one of the largest ongoing restoration projects in the world. Decision-makers and managers within the Everglades ecosystem rely on ecological models forecasting indicator wildlife response to changes in the management of water flows within the system. One such indicator of ecosystem health, the presence of wading bird communities on the landscape, is currently assessed using three species distribution models that assume perfect detection and report output on different scales that are challenging to compare against one another. We sought to use current advancements in species distribution modeling to improve models...
Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management decisions. JEM is a partnership among Federal and state agencies, universities, and other organizations. Ecological models (i.e., ecological planning tools) were used by the multi-agency REstoration, COordination and VERification (RECOVER) science team during the Central Everglades Planning Project (CEPP) and Interim Goals...
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The Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) is a series of connected Bayesian networks that models the landscape-scale response of indicators of Everglades ecosystem health to changes in hydrology and salinity on the landscape. Using the uncertainty built into each network, it also produces surfaces of vulnerability in relation to user-defined ‘ideal’ outcomes. This dataset includes the code used to build the modules and generate outputs of module outcome probabilities and landscape vulnerability.
Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management decisions. JEM is a partnership among federal and state agencies, universities and other organizations. Ecological models (i.e., ecological planning tools) were developed and used by JEM during the Central Everglades Planning Project to evaluate potential effects to natural resources in the impacted areas. There is a desire...
Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management decisions. JEM is a partnership among federal and state agencies, universities and other organizations. Ecological models (i.e., ecological planning tools) were developed and used by JEM during the Central Everglades Planning Project to evaluate potential effects to natural resources in the impacted areas. There is a desire...
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Ecological models facilitate evaluation of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management decisions; ecological models were developed by JEM to evaluate potential effects of restoration projects on natural resources in the impacted areas. The Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Ecosystem Restoration (BBSEER) Project is part of the Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP). A goal of BBSEER is to identify potential...
The Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) is a series of connected, modular Bayesian networks that predict the response of several Everglades indicators of ecosystem health to changes in hydrology, salinity, and the landscape. This release provides the code to update the vegetation module of EVA, validate the updated module, and provides the process and outputs of a sensitivity analysis of the module. Key updates include expanding the number of vegetation classes predicted from 6 to 11 classes, simplifying the inputs to the module, and increasing the number of vegetation observations used to parameterize the network. The validation of the module includes the process to calculate receiver operating characteristic...
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The Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow (CSSS; Ammospiza maritima mirabilis) is an endangered species that has experienced population declines of more than 60% since the 1990s. The CSSS is restricted in geographic extent to a relatively small area of remaining marl prairie in the southern Florida Everglades and remains in six subpopulation areas (named A-F). There has been over two decades of field research conducted on the CSSS across its six subpopulations, but a statistically robust analysis of the bird’s demographic parameters utilizing all data has yet to be completed. To address this gap, we conducted demographic analysis of the CSSS population using an integrated population model (IPM). The IPM provides a flexible...
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Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative plans for restoring the Greater Everglades ecosystem. Modeling outputs were used in evaluations of alternative water control plans to be performed by the Combined Operational Plan (COP). The models used were: (1) Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Marl Prairie Indicator in conjunction with (2) Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Helper, (3) Florida apple snail (native) population model (EverSnail), (4) Wader Distribution Evaluation Modeling (WADEM), (5) Small-sized freshwater fish density, and (6) alligator production probability (i.e., habitat suitability index (HSI)). These ecological models are used to examine potential impacts on the above listed flora and...
Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management decisions. JEM is a partnership among federal and state agencies, universities, and other organizations. Ecological models (i.e., ecological planning tools) were developed and used by JEM during the Central Everglades Planning Project to evaluate potential effects to natural resources in the impacted areas. There is a desire...
Ecological models facilitate evaluation and assessment of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. The models of particular interest to the South Florida Water Management District for planning for the Everglades Agricultural Area (EAA) Reservoir were: (1) Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Marl Prairie Indicator, (2) Florida apple snail (native) population model (EverSnail), (3) Wader Distribution Evaluation Modeling (WADEM), (4) Small-sized freshwater fish density, and (5) American alligator production probability (i.e., habitat suitability index (HSI)). We ran these models using hydrologic conditions (provided by the South Florida Water Management District, see Process Steps section below) for...
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KiteNest is a spatially explicit model of Everglades snail kite (Rostrhamus sociabilis plumbeus) relative nest site selection that quantifies the relationships between a range of environmental factors and nest site selection specific to the southern portion of the species' range. Using hydrologic conditions such as mean 2-week water depth and water depth change rate, days since the last fire, distance to the nearest fire within the last year, and percent canopy cover, KiteNest provides biweekly probabilities of relative snail kite nest site selection on a 400 x 400 m grid. Here we provide the scripts to extract and calculate the model inputs, generate the model, validate the model, and produce predictions of snail...
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EverSparrow is a spatially explicit Bayesian model of Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow (Ammospiza maritima mirabilis; CSSS) presence that quantifies the interdependent relationships between a range of environmental factors and CSSS presence. Using hydrologic conditions such as mean 4-year hydroperiod and maximum depth, fire occurrence history, and vegetation structure throughout the range of CSSS, EverSparrow provides weekly probabilities of CSSS presence on a 400 x 400 m grid. Here we provide the modeling scripts used to develop EverSparrow (including the frequentist model developed and included in the ensemble model), the validation scripts, a script to run the EverSparrow model and create predicted surfaces of CSSS...


    map background search result map search result map Ecological modeling output for the Combined Operational Plan, Round 3 in the Greater Everglades, 2018-2019 Ecological modeling output for the Combined Operational Plan, Round 2 in the Greater Everglades, 2018-2019 Ecological Model Support for RECOVER’s Update of Interim Goals, 2019 Ecological modeling output for the Combined Operational Plan EverWaders species distribution model development and output in the Greater Everglades from 2000-2009 Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Four of Four, 2020 Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Two of Four, 2018 Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Three of Four, 2019 Ecological modeling output for the Everglades Agricultural Area Reservoir 2020 EverSparrow model scripts and outputs KiteNest modeling scripts and output (ver. 2.0, August 2022) Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) modeling scripts and output Updates to the Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) vegetation module Model code to build and run an integrated population model for the endangered Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Ecological model support for the Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Restoration (BBSEER) Project, Round 3 Model code to build and run an integrated population model for the endangered Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow EverSparrow model scripts and outputs Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) modeling scripts and output Ecological modeling output for the Combined Operational Plan, Round 3 in the Greater Everglades, 2018-2019 Ecological modeling output for the Combined Operational Plan, Round 2 in the Greater Everglades, 2018-2019 Ecological Model Support for RECOVER’s Update of Interim Goals, 2019 Ecological modeling output for the Combined Operational Plan Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Four of Four, 2020 Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Two of Four, 2018 Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Three of Four, 2019 Ecological modeling output for the Everglades Agricultural Area Reservoir 2020 EverWaders species distribution model development and output in the Greater Everglades from 2000-2009 KiteNest modeling scripts and output (ver. 2.0, August 2022) Updates to the Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) vegetation module Ecological model support for the Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Restoration (BBSEER) Project, Round 3