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Final Report: Vulnerability of Riparian Obligate Species in the Rio Grande to the Interactive Effects of Fire, Hydrological Variation and Climate Change This project had two primary goals: 1) To develop a process for integrating data from multiple sources to improve predictions of climate impacts for wildlife species; and 2) To provide data on climate and related hydrological change, fire behavior under future climates, and species’ distributions for use by researchers and resource managers.We present within this report the process used to integrate species niche models, fire simulations, and vulnerability assessment methods and provide species’ reports that summarize the results of this work. Species niche model analysis provides information on species’ distributions under three climate scenarios and time periods. Niche model analysis allows us to estimate the... Categories: Data; Types: Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service, Shapefile; Tags: 2012, Applications and Tools, Data.gov Desert LCC, Decision Support, EARTH SCIENCE > HUMAN DIMENSIONS > ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS > CONSERVATION, All tags... Federal resource managers, Fire, Fire, Invasive species, Invasive species, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Methodology/Protocol, NM-01, NM-02, NM-03, New Mexico, New Mexico, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Report, Rio Grande, Rio Grande, Riparian, Riparian, Riparian obligates, Riparian obligates, Transboundary Madrean Watersheds Pilot Area, United States, Vulnerability, Vulnerability, Vulnerability Assessment, Wetlands, Wetlands, biota, completed, Fewer tags Maps and Data: Vulnerability of Riparian Obligate Species in the Rio Grande to the Interactive Effects of Fire, Hydrological Variation and Climate Change We are providing geospatial data layers of climate, fire, biome and predicted species distributions for download at our project website. Links to presentations, data descriptions and zip files containing data layers can be found here. Over the next few months, we will continue to upload webinars and new training tutorials that demonstrate the application of these datasets to new questions and species. Climate and environmental data can readily be used to generate new models for additional species or other applications to describe habitats and future conditions within New Mexico. Initial fire model output is available as raster images and tabulated values that can be used in analyses of wildfire risk or hazardous... Categories: Data; Types: Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service, Shapefile; Tags: 2012, Applications and Tools, Data.gov Desert LCC, Decision Support, EARTH SCIENCE > HUMAN DIMENSIONS > ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS > CONSERVATION, All tags... Federal resource managers, Fire, Invasive species, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Methodology/Protocol, NM-01, NM-02, NM-03, New Mexico, New Mexico, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Rio Grande, Riparian, Riparian obligates, Transboundary Madrean Watersheds Pilot Area, United States, Vulnerability, Vulnerability Assessment, Wetlands, biota, completed, map, repository, Fewer tags Developing a Geodatabase and Geocollaborative Tools to Support Springs and Springs Dependent Species The Museum of Northern Arizona will leverage tools previously developed through its Springs Stewardship Initiative to help resource managers in the southwestern U.S. collect, analyze, report upon, monitor and archive the complex and inter-related information associated with springs and spring-dependent species in the region. Building upon those past efforts, the project will include compilation of existing springs-related information to make the information more readily available online and further development of interactive online maps and climate change risk assessment tools of springs-dependent sensitive plant and animal species. This project builds on an effort funded in FY 2013 to complete similar work for... Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: AZ-01, AZ-04, Arizona, CO-02, CO-03, All tags... CO-05, Colorado, Conservation Planning, Federal resource managers, GIS, GIS, Informing Conservation Delivery, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, NM-01, NM-02, NM-03, New Mexico, Project, SRLCC, SRLCC, Southwest, State agencies, Tribes, UT-01, UT-02, UT-03, Utah, climate change, climate change, completed, seeps, seeps, species of concern, species of concern, springs, springs, springs dependent species, springs dependent species, vulnerability, vulnerability, water, water, Fewer tags Adaptive Capacity, Preliminary An estimated value for the ability of managers to dirct actions to protect, restore, or mitigate species and habitats. We recognize that our preliminary estimates are arbitrary and fairly approximate, but argue that making these explicit within a framework will enable stakeholders and managers to conduct subsequent analyses to better support their decision making. Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, LCC Network Science Catalog, LCC Network Science Catalog, SRLCC, climate change, All tags... completed, environment, product, terrestrial, vulnerability, Fewer tags Final Reports: Modeling Woody Plant Regeneration and Debris Accumulation under Future Streamflow and Wildfire Scenarios in the DLCC Executive Summary: Riparian ecosystems are vital components of the semi-arid landscape because woody riparian plants provide resources that are absent in adjacent vegetation types. Historically, flood played a key role in shaping the composition and structure of riparian forests. In recent decades, however, the frequency and magnitude of floods has decreased and the timing of peak discharge has been altered. In addition, wildfire has increased in importance as an agent of disturbance along many streams. We initiated this study to increase our understanding of fire, flood, and drought processes at our Middle Rio Grande study sites and develop tools that managers of other systems can use to project the response of... Categories: Data; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, Acer negundo, Applications and Tools, Data.gov Desert LCC, Decision Support, All tags... EARTH SCIENCE > BIOSPHERE > VEGETATION > FOREST COMPOSITION/VEGETATION STRUCTURE, Federal resource managers, LCC Network Science Catalog, Middle Rio Grande, NM-01, NM-02, NM-03, New Mexico, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Populus spp, Publication, R, Report, Training/Outreach/Workshop, United States, Vulnerability Assessment, biota, boxelder, completed, cottonwood, debris, fire, population model, riparian, riparian obligates, vegetation, vulnerability, watershed management, wildlife, woody vegetation, Fewer tags Riparian Vulnerability, RCP 4.5 We represent vulnerability as matrix that relates impacts with adaptive capacity. Vulnerability is high when impact is high and adaptive capacity is low. Vulnerability is moderate when either the impact is high and adaptive capacity is high, or if impact is low and adaptive capacity is low. Vulnerability is low when impact is low and adaptive capacity is high. We represent these conceptually as categorical for ease of discussion, but in reality there is continuum of vulnerabilities, and a different adaptation strategies and likely conservation actions, depending on the characteristics of the vulnerability. Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, LCC Network Science Catalog, LCC Network Science Catalog, SRLCC, climate change, All tags... completed, environment, product, riparian, vulnerability, Fewer tags Vulnerability of Riparian Obligate Species in the Rio Grande to the Interactive Effects of Fire, Hydrological Variation and Climate Change The Grassland, Shrubland, Desert Program of the U.S. Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station intends to evaluate the interactive effects of fire and climate change on the presence and long-term persistence of native and non-native species within Rio Grande riparian and wetland habitats of the Desert and Southern Rockies LCCs. Decision support tools and maps will be produced that will help resource managers identify conditions and locations where biodiversity will be most affected by future changes and identify needs with respect to species conservation and invasive species management.This project was co-funded by multiple Landscape Conservation Cooperatives: Desert LCC and the Southern Rockies LCC. Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, Applications and Tools, Decision Support, Desert Landscape Conservation Cooperative, EARTH SCIENCE > HUMAN DIMENSIONS > ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS > CONSERVATION, All tags... Federal resource managers, Fire, Fire, Invasive species, Invasive species, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Methodology/Protocol, NM-01, NM-02, NM-03, New Mexico, New Mexico, New Mexico, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Project, Rio Grande, Rio Grande, Riparian, Riparian, Riparian obligates, Riparian obligates, Transboundary Madrean Watersheds Pilot Area, United States, Vulnerability, Vulnerability, Vulnerability Assessment, Wetlands, Wetlands, biota, completed, Fewer tags A Regional Model for Building Resilience to Climate Change: Development and Demonstration in Colorado The Gunnison Climate Working Group is a chartered partnership of 14 public and private organizations in Colorados Upper Gunnison Basin. The Southern Rockies LCC (SRLCC) funded The Nature Conservancy to complete a comprehensive vulnerability assessment identifying species and ecosystems most at risk from climate change. The assessment included a set of habitat adaptation strategies for priority species, such as the Gunnison sage-grouse. As a final product, local demonstration projects were designed and installed.The financial support and partnership provided by the SRLCC was critical to the Gunnison Climate Working Groups success and progress towards addressing climate change. As a direct result of the SRLCC involvement,... Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Applications and Tools, CO-03, Colorado, Colorado, Gunnison Basin, All tags... Gunnison Basin, Gunnison sage-grouse, Gunnison sage-grouse, Informing Conservation Delivery, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Native Fish, Private land owners, Project, Regional & county planners, Report, SRLCC, Sage-steppe, Southern Rockies LCC, State agencies, Streamflows, Vulnerability Assessment, adaption strategies, adaption strategies, brooding habitat, brooding habitat, climate change, climate change, completed, vulnerability, vulnerability, wet meadows, wet meadows, Fewer tags Terrestrial Vulnerability, RCP 8.5 We represent vulnerability as matrix that relates impacts with adaptive capacity. Vulnerability is high when impact is high and adaptive capacity is low. Vulnerability is moderate when either the impact is high and adaptive capacity is high, or if impact is low and adaptive capacity is low. Vulnerability is low when impact is low and adaptive capacity is high. We represent these conceptually as categorical for ease of discussion, but in reality there is continuum of vulnerabilities, and a different adaptation strategies and likely conservation actions, depending on the characteristics of the vulnerability. Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, LCC Network Science Catalog, LCC Network Science Catalog, SRLCC, climate change, All tags... completed, environment, product, terrestrial, vulnerability, Fewer tags Modeling Woody Plant Regeneration and Debris Accumulation under Future Streamflow and Wildfire Scenarios in the DLCC Perennial streams in the Desert LCC support riparian trees such as cottonwood (Populus spp) and box elder (Acer negundo) that are critical components of habitat for riparian obligate birds and other wildlife species (Webb et al. 2007). Trees, snags, and fallen woody debris provide nesting and foraging sites for a variety of riparian animals (Bateman et al. 2008, Smith et al. 2012). Riparian trees require occasional floods to create space suitable for germination and are dependent on accessible groundwater for growth and survival (Lytle and Merritt 2004). Studies along the Middle Rio Grande in New Mexico have shown that rates of woody debris accumulation are also influenced by hydrology because floods physically... Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, Acer negundo, Applications and Tools, Decision Support, Desert Landscape Conservation Cooperative, All tags... EARTH SCIENCE > BIOSPHERE > VEGETATION > FOREST COMPOSITION/VEGETATION STRUCTURE, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Middle Rio Grande, NM-01, NM-02, NM-03, New Mexico, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Populus spp, Project, Publication, R, Training/Outreach/Workshop, United States, Vulnerability Assessment, biota, boxelder, completed, cottonwood, debris, fire, population model, riparian, riparian obligates, vegetation, vulnerability, watershed management, wildlife, woody vegetation, Fewer tags Vulnerability of Riparian Obligate Species in the Rio Grande to the Interactive Effects of Fire, Hydrological Variation and Climate Change Modeling Woody Plant Regeneration and Debris Accumulation under Future Streamflow and Wildfire Scenarios in the SRLCC (Not listed in the LCC Science Catalog due to Desert LCC co-funding and catalog administering) We propose to identify future risk of wildlife population decline for species inhabiting the Rio Grande, New Mexico. Specifically, we will examine and quantify the interactive effect of fire and climate change on the presence and long-term persistence of native and nonnative species in residing within Rio Grande riparian and wetland habitats. We will build upon recent species vulnerability assessment work conducted for the Rio Grande and incorporate new data and model output regarding fire behavior under different climate scenarios. Predictions for future species distributions will be coupled with scores representing species adaptive capacity to quantify vulnerability to changing climate and disturbance regimes.... Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Applications and Tools, Conservation NGOs, Conservation Planning, Federal resource managers, GIS, All tags... GIS, LCC, Map, Middle Rio Grande, NM-01, NM-02, NM-03, New Mexico, New Mexico, Project, SRLCC, State agencies, Upper Rio Grande, Upper Rio Grande, Upper Rio Grande, Vulnerability Assessment, climate change, climate change, completed, decision support tools, decision support tools, fire, fire, native species, native species, non-native species, non-native species, riparian, riparian, riparian obligate species, riparian obligate species, species distribution, species distribution, vulnerability, vulnerability, wetlands, wetlands, Fewer tags Modeling Woody Plant Regeneration and Debris Accumulation under Future Streamflow and Wildfire Scenarios in the SRLCC Rivers in the SRLCC differ from one another in flow characteristics, levels of regulation, and vulnerability to wildfire; characteristics that will be influenced by climate change (Seager et al. 2007, Mortiz et al. 2012). An understanding of how changes in streamflow and wildfire frequency will affect structure of live and dead woody vegetation is needed to for managers assess the vulnerability of riparian obligate species to climate change. We are developing stochastic transition models for cottonwood trees and snags along the Middle Rio Grande by modifying Lytle and Merritts (2004) stage-structured cottonwood population model. By incorporating influences of flood and wildfire into stage transition rates, we can... Categories: Data, Project; Types: Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Conservation NGOs, Cultural Resources, Decision Support, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, Federal resource managers, All tags... Informing Conservation Delivery, LCC, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Middle Rio Grande, NM-01, NM-02, NM-02, NM-03, NM-03, New Mexico, Project, SRLCC, State agencies, Streamflows, Tribes, Upper Rio Grande, Upper Rio Grande, Upper Rio Grande, climate change, climate change, climate change, completed, cottonwood, cottonwood, cottonwood, debris, debris, debris, environment, fire, fire, population model, population model, population model, riparian, riparian, riparian, riparian obligates, riparian obligates, riparian obligates, vegetation, vegetation, vegetation, vulnerability, vulnerability, vulnerability, watershed management, watershed management, watershed management, wildlife, wildlife, woody vegetation, woody vegetation, woody vegetation, Fewer tags Riparian Vulnerability, RCP 8.5 We represent vulnerability as matrix that relates impacts with adaptive capacity. Vulnerability is high when impact is high and adaptive capacity is low. Vulnerability is moderate when either the impact is high and adaptive capacity is high, or if impact is low and adaptive capacity is low. Vulnerability is low when impact is low and adaptive capacity is high. We represent these conceptually as categorical for ease of discussion, but in reality there is continuum of vulnerabilities, and a different adaptation strategies and likely conservation actions, depending on the characteristics of the vulnerability. Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: Data.gov Southern Rockies Landscape Conservation Cooperative, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, LCC Network Science Catalog, LCC Network Science Catalog, SRLCC, All tags... climate change, completed, environment, product, riparian, vulnerability, Fewer tags Vulnerability and Connectivity of Natural Landscapes and Riparian Habitat in the SRLCC Land managers have incorporated threats to biodiversity for nearly two decades, but very few efforts have included threats from future conditions and fewer still have assessed vulnerability to climate change. This project will address two themes: 1) providing foundational information about habitat fragmentation and connectivity and 2) identifying the degree of vulnerability of key habitats to climate change.For development of understanding broadextent, a landscape-level pattern of climate change is an important complement to approaches to estimate rangeshifts for certain key focal species. Ecological system types (i.e. coarsefilters) are widely used in conservation planning because they contain valuable resources... Categories: Data, Project; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: AZ-01, AZ-04, Applications and Tools, CO-02, CO-03, All tags... CO-05, Conservation Planning, Cultural Resources, Datasets/Database, Federal resource managers, Four Corners, GIS, Green River Basin, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, NM-01, NM-02, NM-03, Native Fish, Private land owners, Project, SRLCC, SRLCC, Sage-steppe, State agencies, Streamflows, UT-01, UT-02, UT-03, Upper Rio Grande, Vulnerability Assessment, climate change, climate change, completed, connectivity, connectivity, energy development, impact, impact, riparian habitat, riparian habitat, sensitivity, sensitivity, terrestrial habitat, terrestrial habitat, urban development, urban development, vulnerability, vulnerability, Fewer tags Terrestrial Vulnerability, RCP 4.5 We represent vulnerability as matrix that relates impacts with adaptive capacity. Vulnerability is high when impact is high and adaptive capacity is low. Vulnerability is moderate when either the impact is high and adaptive capacity is high, or if impact is low and adaptive capacity is low. Vulnerability is low when impact is low and adaptive capacity is high. We represent these conceptually as categorical for ease of discussion, but in reality there is continuum of vulnerabilities, and a different adaptation strategies and likely conservation actions, depending on the characteristics of the vulnerability. Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service; Tags: EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, LCC Network Science Catalog, LCC Network Science Catalog, SRLCC, climate change, All tags... completed, environment, product, terrestrial, vulnerability, Fewer tags