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State-and-transition simulation models: a framework for forecasting landscape change

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Daniel, Colin, Frid, Leonardo, Sleeter, Benjamin, and Fortin, Marie-Josée, 2016, State-and-transition simulation models- a framework for forecasting landscape change: Methods in Ecology and Evolution, doi:10.1111/2041-210X.12597.

Summary

1. A wide range of spatially explicit simulation models have been developed to forecast landscape dynamics, including models for projecting changes in both vegetation and land use. While these models have generally been developed as separate applications, each with a separate purpose and audience, they share many common features. 2. We present a general framework, called a state-and-transition simulation model (STSM), which captures a number of these common features, accompanied by a software product, called ST-Sim, to build and run such models. The STSM method divides a landscape into a set of discrete spatial units and simulates the discrete state of each cell forward as a discrete-time-inhomogeneous stochastic process. The method [...]

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Colin J. Daniel

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  • LandCarbon

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