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A seismic hazard model for South America, based on a smoothed (gridded) seismicity model, a subduction model, a crustal fault model, and a ground motion model, has been produced by the U.S. Geological Survey. These models are combined to account for ground shaking from earthquakes on known faults as well as earthquakes on un-modeled faults. This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.1 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for Modified Mercalli Intensity with a 50 percent probability of exceedance in 50 years. The maps and data were derived from PGA ground-motion conversions of Worden et al. (2012), and include soil amplification...
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A seismic hazard model for South America, based on a smoothed (gridded) seismicity model, a subduction model, a crustal fault model, and a ground motion model, has been produced by the U.S. Geological Survey. These models are combined to account for ground shaking from earthquakes on known faults as well as earthquakes on un-modeled faults. This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.1 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for horizontal spectral response acceleration for 0.2-second period with a 2 percent probability of exceedance in 50 years.
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A seismic hazard model for South America, based on a smoothed (gridded) seismicity model, a subduction model, a crustal fault model, and a ground motion model, has been produced by the U.S. Geological Survey. These models are combined to account for ground shaking from earthquakes on known faults as well as earthquakes on un-modeled faults. This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.1 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for peak ground acceleration with a 2 percent probability of exceedance in 50 years.
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The subduction model accounts for large earthquakes (M 7–9.5) that occur on the subduction interface. The subduction zones along the northern and western coast of South America, the Panama deformation zones, and the Lesser Antilles subduction zone of the Caribbean are considered in the subduction model of this hazard assessment. The subduction interface of the Nazca plate beneath the western coast of South America has been separated into five zones, down to a depth of 50 km. The five zones are based on the locations of impinging subduction ridges, dimensions of large earthquakes, and fault complications. An alternative model for Chile (Medina et al., 2017) is applied to the Nazca subduction zones 3–5. This...
The updated 2018 National Seismic Hazard Model includes new ground motion models, aleatory uncertainty, and soil amplification factors for the central and eastern U.S. and incorporates basin depths from local seismic velocity models in four western U.S. (WUS) urban areas. These additions allow us, for the first time, to calculate probabilistic seismic hazard curves for an expanded set of spectral periods (0.01 s to 10 s) and site classes (VS30 = 150 m/s to 1,500 m/s) for the conterminous U.S. (CONUS), as well as account for amplification of long-period ground motions in deep sedimentary basins in the Los Angeles, San Francisco Bay, Salt Lake City, and Seattle regions. Ground motion data for 2, 5, and 10 percent...
Each of the downloadable files below contains spectral response accelerations at 22 periods on a grid of latitudes and longitudes that cover this geographic region. See the parent item for how Risk-Targeted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) spectral response accelerations are derived from the data in these files.
Each of the downloadable files below contains peak ground accelerations on a grid of latitudes and longitudes that cover this geographic region. See the parent item for how Maximum Considered Earthquake Geometric Mean (MCEG) peak ground accelerations are derived from the data in these files.
For background, please see the Parent Item. The Risk-Targeted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) spectral response acceleration (SS and S1) values of the 2009 NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions, the 2010 ASCE/SEI 7 Standard, the 2013 ASCE/SEI 41 Standard, and the 2012 and 2015 editions of the International Building Code are calculated from the data in the downloadable files below, via the following equations: SS = min[ SSUH * CRS , max( SSD84th , 1.5 ) ]; S1 = min[ S1UH * CR1 , max( S1D84th , 0.6 ) ]; where SSUH & S1UH = uniform-hazard spectral accelerations at periods of 0.2 & 1.0 seconds, respectively; CRS & CR1 = risk coefficients at spectral periods of 0.2 & 1.0...
Categories: Data
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The b-value for the earthquake catalog from the Oklahoma-Kansas potentially induced earthquake zone is computed with the maximum likelihood method (MLE) (Aki, 1965). We use the minimum magnitude of completeness that is used for the seismicity rate models (Mc=2.7) and the earthquakes from 2016 and 2017 and find b=1.5 (1.48+/-0.05). However, we find that the b-value from the full (non-declustered) catalog is sensitive to the minimum magnitude of completeness, perhaps due to the moment magnitudes at these values being highly dependent on the conversion relations and the measurements of local magnitudes. Aki, K. (1965). Maximum likelihood estimate of b in the formula log N= a-bM and its confidence limits. Bull. Earthq....
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Risk-targeted maximum considered earthquake ground acceleration maps (MCER) are for the design of buildings and other structures. The maps are derived from the USGS seismic hazard maps in accordance with the site-specific ground-motion procedures of the NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions for New Building and Other Structures and the ASCE Minimum Design Loads for Buildings and Other Structures (also known as the ASCE 7 Standard; ASCE, 2016). The MCER ground motions are taken as the lesser of probabilistic and deterministic values, as explained in the Provisions. The gridded probabilistic and deterministic values for 0.2-second spectral response acceleration are available here.
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A seismic hazard model for South America, based on a smoothed (gridded) seismicity model, a subduction model, a crustal fault model, and a ground motion model, has been produced by the U.S. Geological Survey. These models are combined to account for ground shaking from earthquakes on known faults as well as earthquakes on un-modeled faults. This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.1 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period with a 50 percent probability of exceedance in 50 years.
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These data sets are the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. They represent the chance of experiencing potentially damaging ground shaking for fixed ground shaking levels that corresponds with MMI = VI. The values are obtained by averaging the probability of experiencing MMI = VI based on a peak ground acceleration value of 0.1155 g for site class D, and the probability of experiencing MMI = VI based on 1.0-second spectral acceleration value of 0.102 g for site class D. The data are for the Western United States.
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This maps portrays the spatial potential for damaging earthquake ground shaking quantified as moderate (MMI ≥ VII) in 100 years. The maps and data are based on the average of the results obtained from peak ground acceleration and 1.0-second horizontal spectral acceleration. Site specific soil factors based on Vs30 shear wave velocities were implemented using a simple topographic proxy technique (Allen and Wald, 2009) and site amplification based on the relationships of Seyhan and Stewart (2014). MMI ≥ VII is equivalent to peak ground acceleration of 0.22g and 1.0-second horizontal spectral acceleration of 0.23g (Worden et al., 2012). Allen, T.A. and Wald, D.J. 2009,. On the use of high-resolution topographic...
Each of the downloadable files below contains peak ground accelerations on a grid of latitudes and longitudes that cover this geographic region. See the parent item for how Maximum Considered Earthquake Geometric Mean (MCEG) peak ground accelerations are derived from the data in these files.
For designing buildings and other structures to safely resist earthquakes, the 2009 NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions and the 2010 ASCE/SEI 7 Standard contain maps of Risk-Targeted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) spectral response accelerations and maps of Maximum Considered Earthquake Geometric Mean (MCEG) peak ground accelerations. Identical values from the MCER maps are also in the 2013 ASCE/SEI 41 Standard and the 2012 and 2015 editions of the International Building Code. The MCER and MCEG ground motion maps are derived from USGS National Seismic Hazard Models via the gridded values of this data release. The data files in the "Child Items" below also underlie the corresponding USGS Seismic Design Web...
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A research model (RM) was prepared, which incorporates declustered rate grids that are scaled to account for the total number of earthquakes in the full catalog (with no declustering) using factors shown in Table 1 of Petersen et al. (2021), based on Marzocchi and Taroni (2014). A comparison of the 2021 research model and the 2021 National Seismic Hazard Model for Hawaii was performed by creating difference and ratio maps for a uniform-hazard with a 2% probability of excedance in 50 years for spectral accelerations at 0.2 and 1.0 second periods. The data are for a reference site condition of Vs30 equal to 760 m/s. The maps and gridded data used to make the maps are available here for download.
Categories: Data
The smoothed seismicity model is based on a uniform seismicity catalog that is used to assess the location and rate of future earthquakes. This catalog is declustered by removing foreshocks and aftershocks so that only independent events are considered, as required in the probabilistic probabilistic methodolgy used to assess seismic hazard. Future seismicity rates are estimated by counting historical earthquakes in a grid with a cell dimension of 0.1 degrees in latitude and longitude. These gridded earthquake rates are smoothed using a 50 kilometer fixed length smoothing kernel. Separate rate models were developed for the craton and active tectonic regions for earthquake depths between 0 and 50 km. Gridded...
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These data sets are the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. They represent the chance of experiencing potentially damaging ground shaking for fixed ground shaking levels that corresponds with MMI = VI. The values are obtained by averaging the probability of experiencing MMI = VI based on a peak ground acceleration value of 0.1155 g for site class D, and the probability of experiencing MMI = VI based on 1.0-second spectral acceleration value of 0.102 g for site class D. The data are for the Central and Eastern United States.
Each of the downloadable files below contains peak ground accelerations on a grid of latitudes and longitudes that cover this geographic region. See the parent item for how Maximum Considered Earthquake Geometric Mean (MCEG) peak ground accelerations are derived from the data in these files.
Each of the downloadable files below contains spectral response accelerations at 22 periods on a grid of latitudes and longitudes that cover this geographic region. See the parent item for how Risk-Targeted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) spectral response accelerations are derived from the data in these files.


map background search result map search result map Peak ground acceleration with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years 0.2-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years Subduction model 1.0-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 50% probability of exceedance in 50 years Modified Mercalli Intensity, based on peak ground acceleration, with a 50% probability of exceedance in 50 years Chance of potentially minor-damage ground shaking in 2018 based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration for the Central and Eastern United States Chance of potentially minor-damage ground shaking in 2018 based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration for the Western United States Data Release for Additional Period and Site Class Data for the 2018 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous United States (ver. 1.2, May 2021) 1.2 : Alaska 1.3 : Hawaii 2.2 : Alaska 2.4 : Puerto Rico & the United States Virgin Islands 2.6 : American Samoa 2.4 : Puerto Rico & the United States Virgin Islands 2.6 : American Samoa 1.3 : Hawaii Chance of potentially minor-damage ground shaking in 2018 based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration for the Western United States Chance of potentially minor-damage ground shaking in 2018 based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration for the Central and Eastern United States Data Release for Additional Period and Site Class Data for the 2018 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous United States (ver. 1.2, May 2021) Subduction model 0.2-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years 1.0-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 50% probability of exceedance in 50 years Peak ground acceleration with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years Modified Mercalli Intensity, based on peak ground acceleration, with a 50% probability of exceedance in 50 years 1.2 : Alaska 2.2 : Alaska