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In Alaska, recent research has identified particular areas of the state where both a lack of soil moisture and warming temperatures increase the likelihood of wildfire. While this is an important finding, this previous research did not take into account the important role that melting snow, ice, and frozen ground (permafrost) play in replenshing soil moisture in the spring and summer months. This project will address this gap in the characterization of fire risk using the newly developed monthly water balance model (MWBM). The MWBM takes into account rain, snow, snowmelt, glacier ice melt, and the permafrost layer to better calculate soil moisture replenishment and the amount of moisture that is lost to the atmosphere...
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Burn probability (BP) raster dataset predicted for the 2080-2100 period in the Rio Grande area was generated using: 1) data developed from the 2014 Fire Program Analysis (FPA) system; 2) geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the US Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory to estimate probabilistic components of wildfire risk (Finney et al. 2011); and 3) climate predictions developed using the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) method (Abatzoglou and Brown 2011) which downscaled model output from the GFDL-ESM-2m global climate model of the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project 5 for the 8.5 Representative Concentration Pathway.
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Burn probability (BP) for Fireline Intensity Class 6 (FIL6) with flame lengths in the range of 3.7-15 m predicted for the 2080-2100 period in the Rio Grande area. This raster dataset was generated using: 1) data developed from the 2014 Fire Program Analysis (FPA) system; 2) geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the US Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory to estimate probabilistic components of wildfire risk (Finney et al. 2011); and 3) climate predictions developed using the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) method (Abatzoglou and Brown 2011) which downscaled model output from the GFDL-ESM-2m global climate model of the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project 5 for the 8.5...
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Burn probability (BP) for Fireline Intensity Class 2 (FIL2) with flame lengths in the range of 0.6-1.2 m predicted for the 2050-2070 period in the Rio Grande area. This raster dataset was generated using: 1) data developed from the 2014 Fire Program Analysis (FPA) system; 2) geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the US Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory to estimate probabilistic components of wildfire risk (Finney et al. 2011); and 3) climate predictions developed using the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) method (Abatzoglou and Brown 2011) which downscaled model output from the GFDL-ESM-2m global climate model of the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project 5 for the...
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Burn probability (BP) for Fireline Intensity Class 5 (FIL5) with flame lengths in the range of 2.4-3.7 m predicted for the 2080-2100 period in the Rio Grande area. This raster dataset was generated using: 1) data developed from the 2014 Fire Program Analysis (FPA) system; 2) geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the US Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory to estimate probabilistic components of wildfire risk (Finney et al. 2011); and 3) climate predictions developed using the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) method (Abatzoglou and Brown 2011) which downscaled model output from the GFDL-ESM-2m global climate model of the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project 5 for the...
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Burn probability (BP) for Fireline Intensity Class 4 (FIL4) with flame lengths in the range of 1.8-2.4 m predicted for the 2050-2070 period in the Rio Grande area. This raster dataset was generated using: 1) data developed from the 2014 Fire Program Analysis (FPA) system; 2) geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the US Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory to estimate probabilistic components of wildfire risk (Finney et al. 2011); and 3) climate predictions developed using the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) method (Abatzoglou and Brown 2011) which downscaled model output from the GFDL-ESM-2m global climate model of the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project 5 for the...
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Wildfire and fuel treatment locations for the USFWS Pacific Southwest Region (California, Nevada, Klamath Basin OR) extracted from the Fire Management Information System (FMIS) on October 23, 2015, for fiscal years 1980-2015.
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The National Park Service (NPS) requests burn severity assessments through an agreement with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to be completed by analysts with the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (MTBS) Program. The MTBS Program assesses the frequency, extent, and magnitude (size and severity) of all large wildland fires (wildfires and prescribed fires) in the conterminous United States (CONUS), Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico for the period 1984 and beyond. All fires reported as greater than 1,000 acres in the western U.S. and greater than 500 acres in the eastern U.S. are mapped across all ownerships. MTBS produces a series of geospatial and tabular data for analysis at a range of spatial, temporal, and thematic...
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These data products are preliminary burn severity assessments derived from data obtained from suitable imagery (including Landsat TM, Landsat ETM+, Landsat OLI, Sentinel 2A, and Sentinel 2B). The pre-fire and post-fire subsets included were used to create a differenced Normalized Burn Ratio (dNBR) image. The dNBR image attempts to portray the variation of burn severity within a fire. The severity ratings are influenced by the effects to the canopy. The severity rating is based upon a composite of the severity to the understory (grass, shrub layers), midstory trees and overstory trees. Because there is often a strong correlation between canopy consumption and soil effects, this algorithm works in many cases for Burned...
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The National Park Service (NPS) requests burn severity assessments through an agreement with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to be completed by analysts with the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (MTBS) Program. The MTBS Program assesses the frequency, extent, and magnitude (size and severity) of all large wildland fires (wildfires and prescribed fires) in the conterminous United States (CONUS), Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico for the period 1984 and beyond. All fires reported as greater than 1,000 acres in the western U.S. and greater than 500 acres in the eastern U.S. are mapped across all ownerships. MTBS produces a series of geospatial and tabular data for analysis at a range of spatial, temporal, and thematic...
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The National Park Service (NPS) requests burn severity assessments through an agreement with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to be completed by analysts with the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (MTBS) Program. The MTBS Program assesses the frequency, extent, and magnitude (size and severity) of all large wildland fires (wildfires and prescribed fires) in the conterminous United States (CONUS), Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico for the period 1984 and beyond. All fires reported as greater than 1,000 acres in the western U.S. and greater than 500 acres in the eastern U.S. are mapped across all ownerships. MTBS produces a series of geospatial and tabular data for analysis at a range of spatial, temporal, and thematic...
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The National Park Service (NPS) requests burn severity assessments through an agreement with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to be completed by analysts with the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (MTBS) Program. The MTBS Program assesses the frequency, extent, and magnitude (size and severity) of all large wildland fires (wildfires and prescribed fires) in the conterminous United States (CONUS), Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico for the period 1984 and beyond. All fires reported as greater than 1,000 acres in the western U.S. and greater than 500 acres in the eastern U.S. are mapped across all ownerships. MTBS produces a series of geospatial and tabular data for analysis at a range of spatial, temporal, and thematic...
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The National Park Service (NPS) requests burn severity assessments through an agreement with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to be completed by analysts with the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (MTBS) Program. The MTBS Program assesses the frequency, extent, and magnitude (size and severity) of all large wildland fires (wildfires and prescribed fires) in the conterminous United States (CONUS), Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico for the period 1984 and beyond. All fires reported as greater than 1,000 acres in the western U.S. and greater than 500 acres in the eastern U.S. are mapped across all ownerships. MTBS produces a series of geospatial and tabular data for analysis at a range of spatial, temporal, and thematic...
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First, we would like to thank the wildland fire advisory group. Their wisdom and guidance helped us build the dataset as it currently exists. Currently, there are multiple, freely available wildland fire datasets that identify wildfire and prescribed fire areas across the United States. However, these datasets are all limited in some way. Time periods, spatial extents, attributes, and maintenance for these datasets are highly variable, and none of the existing datasets provide a comprehensive picture of wildfires that have burned since the 1800s. Utilizing a series of both manual processes and ArcGIS Python (arcpy) scripts, we merged 40 of these disparate datasets into a single dataset that encompasses the known...
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Globally, changing fire regimes due to climate is one of the greatest threats to ecosystems and society. This dataset presents projections of historic and future fire probability for the southcentral U.S. using downscaled climate projections and the Physical Chemistry Fire Frequency Model (PC2FM, Guyette et al., 2012). Climate data from 1900-1929 and projected climate data for 2040-2069 and 2070-2099 were used as model inputs to the Physical Chemistry Fire Frequency Model (Guyette et al. 2012) to estimate fire probability. Baseline and future time period data are from three global climate models (GCMs): CGCM, GFDL, and HadCM3. The nine associated data sets (tiffs) represent estimated change in mean fire probability...
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In the North Central region, invasive species and climate change are intricately linked to changing fire regimes, and together, these drivers can have pronounced effects on ecosystems. When fires burn too hot or too frequently, they can prevent slow-growing native plants from regrowing. When this happens, the landscape can transform into a new type of ecosystem, such as a forest becoming a grassland. This process is known as “ecosystem transformation”. This project will explore key management priorities including native community resilience and management of invasive species, wildfire, and ecosystem change, in a collaboration of researchers working directly with land managers and other stakeholders through the...
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Conditional Flame Length (CFL) is an estimate of the mean flame lengths for each pixel, and was predicted for the 2050-2070 period in the Rio Grande area using: 1) data developed from the 2014 Fire Program Analysis (FPA) system; 2) geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the US Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory to estimate probabilistic components of wildfire risk (Finney et al. 2011); and 3) climate predictions developed using the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) method (Abatzoglou and Brown 2011) which downscaled model output from the GFDL-ESM-2m global climate model of the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project 5 for the 8.5 Representative Concentration Pathway. CFL...
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Fire type predicted for the 2020-2040 period in the Rio Grande area with five classes: 1) shrub vegetation with torching flames; 2) shrub vegetation without torching flames; 3) forest with torching flames; 4) forest without torching flames; 5) grass or non-vegetation. This raster dataset was generated using: 1) data developed from the 2014 Fire Program Analysis (FPA) system; 2) geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the US Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory to estimate probabilistic components of wildfire risk (Finney et al. 2011); and 3) climate predictions developed using the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) method (Abatzoglou and Brown 2011) which downscaled model...
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Burn probability (BP) raster dataset predicted for the 2020-2040 period in the Rio Grande area was generated using: 1) data developed from the 2014 Fire Program Analysis (FPA) system; 2) geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the US Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory to estimate probabilistic components of wildfire risk (Finney et al. 2011); and 3) climate predictions developed using the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) method (Abatzoglou and Brown 2011) which downscaled model output from the GFDL-ESM-2m global climate model of the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project 5 for the 8.5 Representative Concentration Pathway.
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Burn probability (BP) for Fireline Intensity Class 1 (FIL1) with flame lengths in the range of 0-0.6 m predicted for the 2080-2100 period in the Rio Grande area. This raster dataset was generated using: 1) data developed from the 2014 Fire Program Analysis (FPA) system; 2) geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the US Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory to estimate probabilistic components of wildfire risk (Finney et al. 2011); and 3) climate predictions developed using the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) method (Abatzoglou and Brown 2011) which downscaled model output from the GFDL-ESM-2m global climate model of the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project 5 for the 8.5...


map background search result map search result map Burn Probability for Fireline Intensity Class 1, predicted for 2080 to 2100 for Rio Grande study area Burn Probability for Fireline Intensity Class 2, predicted for 2050 to 2070 for Rio Grande study area Burn Probability for Fireline Intensity Class 4, predicted for 2050 to 2070 for Rio Grande study area Burn Probability for Fireline Intensity Class 5, predicted for 2080 to 2100 for Rio Grande study area Burn Probability for Fireline Intensity Class 6, predicted for 2080 to 2100 for Rio Grande study area Burn Probability predicted for 2020 to 2040 for Rio Grande study area Burn Probability predicted for 2080 to 2100 for Rio Grande study area Conditional Flame Length predicted for 2050 to 2070 for Rio Grande study area Fire type predicted for 2020 to 2040 for Rio Grande study area Region 8 FMIS Wildfire and Fuel Treatment Locations 1980-2015 Improving Characterizations of Future Wildfire Risk in Alaska Fire probability for 1900-1929 using GFDL baseline climate values National Park Service Thematic Burn Severity Mosaic in 2018 (ver. 6.0, January 2024) National Park Service Thematic Burn Severity Mosaic in 2013 (ver. 6.0, January 2024) National Park Service Thematic Burn Severity Mosaic in 2006 (ver. 6.0, January 2024) National Park Service Thematic Burn Severity Mosaic in 1996 (ver. 6.0, January 2024) National Park Service Thematic Burn Severity Mosaic in 1995 (ver. 6.0, January 2024) Managing Ecological Transformation to Enhance Carbon Storage and Biodiversity Burned Area Reflectance Classification Thematic Burn Severity Mosaic for 2023 (ver. 6.0, January 2024) Burn Probability for Fireline Intensity Class 1, predicted for 2080 to 2100 for Rio Grande study area Burn Probability for Fireline Intensity Class 2, predicted for 2050 to 2070 for Rio Grande study area Burn Probability for Fireline Intensity Class 4, predicted for 2050 to 2070 for Rio Grande study area Burn Probability for Fireline Intensity Class 5, predicted for 2080 to 2100 for Rio Grande study area Burn Probability for Fireline Intensity Class 6, predicted for 2080 to 2100 for Rio Grande study area Conditional Flame Length predicted for 2050 to 2070 for Rio Grande study area Fire type predicted for 2020 to 2040 for Rio Grande study area Burn Probability predicted for 2020 to 2040 for Rio Grande study area Burn Probability predicted for 2080 to 2100 for Rio Grande study area Managing Ecological Transformation to Enhance Carbon Storage and Biodiversity Fire probability for 1900-1929 using GFDL baseline climate values Region 8 FMIS Wildfire and Fuel Treatment Locations 1980-2015 Improving Characterizations of Future Wildfire Risk in Alaska Burned Area Reflectance Classification Thematic Burn Severity Mosaic for 2023 (ver. 6.0, January 2024) National Park Service Thematic Burn Severity Mosaic in 1995 (ver. 6.0, January 2024) National Park Service Thematic Burn Severity Mosaic in 2013 (ver. 6.0, January 2024) National Park Service Thematic Burn Severity Mosaic in 1996 (ver. 6.0, January 2024) National Park Service Thematic Burn Severity Mosaic in 2018 (ver. 6.0, January 2024) National Park Service Thematic Burn Severity Mosaic in 2006 (ver. 6.0, January 2024)